The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 24059Quebec
Québec Centre
Québec-Centre
Québec Centre is a federal riding in Quebec. Jean-Yves Duclos (Liberal, first elected to the House in 2015) represents Québec Centre. Jean-Yves Duclos (Liberal) held Québec Centre for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 7,677 votes (13.6 points), with 49.5% of the vote. Simon Bérubé (Bloc Québécois) was second with 35.9%, on a turnout of 70.1% of 82,857 electors. Member as of .
Who represents Québec Centre
Jean-Yves Duclos
Member of Parliament for Québec Centre
Liberal
MP since · 4 terms
- Chair, Public Safety and National Security committee
- Chair, Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
- Liaison committee
- Public Safety and National Security committee
86 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Apology to Those Whose Land Was Expropriated in Mirabel.
The 2025 result: Liberal hold
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Québec Centre, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Yves Duclos | Liberal | 27,880 | 49.5% |
| Simon Bérubé | Bloc Québécois | 20,203 | 35.9% |
| Tommy Bureau | New Democratic | 4,400 | 7.8% |
| Daniel Brisson | People's Party | 2,818 | 5.0% |
| Patrick Kerr | Independent | 1,018 | 1.8% |
Jean-Yves Duclos (Liberal) won Québec Centre on with 27,880 votes, 49.5% of the 56,319 valid votes. Simon Bérubé (Bloc Québécois) was second with 20,203 (35.9%), 7,677 votes and 13.6 points behind.
Of the 56,319 valid votes, Jean-Yves Duclos (Liberal) took 49.5%, Simon Bérubé (Bloc Québécois) 35.9%, Tommy Bureau (New Democratic) 7.8%, Daniel Brisson (People's Party) 5.0% and Patrick Kerr (Independent) 1.8%. Turnout was 70.1% of 82,857 electors: 58,101 ballots cast, 56,319 of them valid, for 5 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 14.5 (35.0% to 49.5%), the Bloc Québécois up 7.4 (28.5% to 35.9%), the New Democrats down 4.7 (12.5% to 7.8%), the People's Party up 3.4 (1.6% to 5.0%) and the independents up 1.8 (0.0% to 1.8%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: no party has held it
The party first in Québec Centre at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Bloc Québécois50.2%by 22.8 points over the Liberals
- 2006Bloc Québécois41.1%by 11.1 points over the Conservatives
- 2008Bloc Québécois41.5%by 15.6 points over the Conservatives
- 2011changed handsNew Democratic42.4%by 14.7 points over the Bloc Québécois
- 2015changed handsLiberal29.2%by 2.5 points over the New Democrats
- 2019†Liberal33.7%by 1.2 points over the Bloc Québécois
- 2021Liberal35.0%by 6.6 points over the Bloc Québécois
- 2025Liberal49.5%by 13.6 points over the Bloc Québécois
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Bloc Québécois | 50.2% | Liberal | 22.8 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Bloc Québécois | 41.1% | Conservative | 11.1 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Bloc Québécois | 41.5% | Conservative | 15.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | New Democratic | 42.4% | Bloc Québécois | 14.7 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | Liberal | 29.2% | New Democratic | 2.5 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019† | Liberal | 33.7% | Bloc Québécois | 1.2 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Liberal | 35.0% | Bloc Québécois | 6.6 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Liberal | 49.5% | Bloc Québécois | 13.6 | official result |
The Liberals were first at four of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Bloc Québécois at three and the NDP at one; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Liberals took 49.5% of the vote here, 26.1 points above their average of 23.4% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Bloc Québécois were first here in 2004 (50.2%), 2006 (41.1%) and 2008 (41.5%), the NDP in 2011 (42.4%) and the Liberals in 2015 (29.2%), 2019 (33.7%), 2021 (35.0%) and 2025 (49.5%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2019 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.
- 2021 Liberal · Jean-Yves Duclos, by 3,308 votes (6.4 pts)
- 2019 Liberal · Jean-Yves Duclos, by 325 votes (0.6 pts)
- 2015 Liberal · Jean-Yves Duclos, by 1,000 votes (1.9 pts)
In Québec on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Québec Centre lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Québec Centre is
- Population
- 103,9802021 census
- Area
- 45km²
- Density
- 2,326people per km²
- Electors
- 82,857on the 2025 lists
- 5th-smallest households1.7 people per household, 5th lowest of 343 (Average household size, 2021 census)
- 6th-lowest household incomeMedian household income $58,800, 6th lowest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)
- Median total household income is $58,800 — about 70 percent of the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest6th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 34.8% — about 49 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest13th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 88.6% — about 55.4 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest34th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 44.0% — about 1.6 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest68th highest of 343
- Median age is 44.4 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest87th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 10.0% — about 58 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest117th lowest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 95% of the 2025 electors in today's Québec Centre lived in the old Québec; by area, 12% of the riding came from other ridings.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Yves Duclos | Liberal | 27,880 | 49.5% | 35.0% | +14.5 |
| Simon Bérubé | Bloc Québécois | 20,203 | 35.9% | 28.5% | +7.4 |
| Tommy Bureau | New Democratic | 4,400 | 7.8% | 12.5% | −4.7 |
| Daniel Brisson | People's | 2,818 | 5.0% | 1.6% | +3.4 |
| Patrick Kerr | Independent | 1,018 | 1.8% | 0.0% | +1.8 |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 3,839 voters switching from Liberal to Bloc Québécois — 6.8% of the 56,319 valid votes, 6.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 59.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Liberals took 45.5%, the Bloc Québécois 37.8%, the New Democrats 9.1%, the People's Party 5.5% and the independents 2.2%; in advance and special ballots, 55.3%, 33.1%, 5.9%, 4.4% and 1.3%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Québec Centre, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 45.5% | 55.3% | +9.8 |
| Bloc Québécois | 37.8% | 33.1% | −4.7 |
| New Democratic | 9.1% | 5.9% | −3.2 |
| People's Party | 5.5% | 4.4% | −1.1 |
| Independent | 2.2% | 1.3% | −0.9 |