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The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 12010Nova Scotia

South Shore—St. Margarets

South Shore—St. Margarets is a federal riding in Nova Scotia. Jessica Fancy (Liberal) has represented South Shore—St. Margarets since the 2025 election. Jessica Fancy-Landry (Liberal) took South Shore—St. Margarets from the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 6,967 votes (13.8 points), with 54.9% of the vote. Rick Perkins (Conservative) was second with 41.1%, on a turnout of 72.2% of 70,712 electors. Member as of .

Fig. 1 — South Shore—St. Margarets on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents South Shore—St. Margarets

LJessica Fancy
Jessica Fancy's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Jessica Fancy

Member of Parliament for South Shore—St. Margarets

Liberal

MP since · first term

  • Procedure and House Affairs committee
  • Transport, Infrastructure and Communities committee

67 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 2.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal gain from the Conservatives

Share of the valid votes by candidate, South Shore—St. Margarets, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by candidate, South Shore—St. Margarets, April 28, 2025Of the 50,711 valid votes, Jessica Fancy-Landry (Liberal) took 54.9%, Rick Perkins (Conservative) 41.1%, Mark Embrett (Green) 1.6%, Patrick Shea Boyd (People's Party) 1.4% and Hayden Henderson (Independent) 1.0%.2025Turnout 72.2% of 70,712 electorsJessica Fancy-LandryLiberal54.9% · 27,8316,967 votes ahead · 13.7 ptsRick PerkinsConservative41.1% · 20,864Mark EmbrettGreen1.6% · 818Patrick Shea BoydPeople's Party1.4% · 698Hayden HendersonIndependent1.0% · 500050%100%
Share of the valid votes by candidate, South Shore—St. Margarets, April 28, 2025Of the 50,711 valid votes, Jessica Fancy-Landry (Liberal) took 54.9%, Rick Perkins (Conservative) 41.1%, Mark Embrett (Green) 1.6%, Patrick Shea Boyd (People's Party) 1.4% and Hayden Henderson (Independent) 1.0%.2025Turnout 72.2% of 70,712 electorsJessica Fancy-LandryLiberal54.9% · 27,8316,967 votes ahead · 13.7 ptsRick PerkinsConservative41.1% · 20,864Mark EmbrettGreen1.6% · 818Patrick Shea BoydPeople's Party1.4% · 698Hayden HendersonIndependent1.0% · 500050%100%
Shares of the 50,711 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Jessica Fancy-LandryLiberal27,83154.9%
Rick PerkinsConservative20,86441.1%
Mark EmbrettGreen8181.6%
Patrick Shea BoydPeople's Party6981.4%
Hayden HendersonIndependent5001.0%

Jessica Fancy-Landry (Liberal) won South Shore—St. Margarets on with 27,831 votes, 54.9% of the 50,711 valid votes. Rick Perkins (Conservative) was second with 20,864 (41.1%), 6,967 votes and 13.8 points behind.

Of the 50,711 valid votes, Jessica Fancy-Landry (Liberal) took 54.9%, Rick Perkins (Conservative) 41.1%, Mark Embrett (Green) 1.6%, Patrick Shea Boyd (People's Party) 1.4% and Hayden Henderson (Independent) 1.0%. Turnout was 72.2% of 70,712 electors: 51,087 ballots cast, 50,711 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 19.6 (35.3% to 54.9%), the Conservatives down 2.0 (43.1% to 41.1%), the Greens down 1.2 (2.8% to 1.6%) and the People's Party up 1.4 (0.0% to 1.4%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in South Shore—St. Margarets at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

  1. 2004Conservative37.9%by 5.8 points over the Liberals
  2. 2006Conservative36.9%by 8.3 points over the New Democrats
  3. 2008Conservative36.0%by 2.3 points over the New Democrats
  4. 2011Conservative43.2%by 7.0 points over the New Democrats
  5. 2015changed handsLiberal56.9%by 34.3 points over the Conservatives
  6. 2019Liberal41.7%by 13.6 points over the Conservatives
  7. 2021changed handsConservative43.1%by 7.8 points over the Liberals
  8. 2025changed handsLiberal54.9%by 13.8 points over the Conservatives
Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.
The figures
YearFirstShareSecondMargin (pts)Basis
2004Conservative37.9%Liberal5.8carried, our estimate
2006Conservative36.9%New Democratic8.3carried, our estimate
2008Conservative36.0%New Democratic2.3carried, our estimate
2011Conservative43.2%New Democratic7.0carried, our estimate
2015Liberal56.9%Conservative34.3carried, our estimate
2019Liberal41.7%Conservative13.6carried, our estimate
2021Conservative43.1%Liberal7.8transposed by Elections Canada
2025Liberal54.9%Conservative13.8official result

The Conservatives were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at three; it changed hands three times. In 2025 the Liberals took 54.9% of the vote here, 21.3 points above their average of 33.6% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (37.9%), 2006 (36.9%), 2008 (36.0%), 2011 (43.2%) and 2021 (43.1%) and the Liberals in 2015 (56.9%), 2019 (41.7%) and 2025 (54.9%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025
  • 2021 Conservative · Rick Perkins, by 1,879 votes (3.8 pts)
  • 2019 Liberal · Bernadette Jordan, by 7,142 votes (13.6 pts)
  • 2015 Liberal · Bernadette Jordan, by 18,140 votes (34.3 pts)

In the old South Shore—St. Margarets on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's South Shore—St. Margarets lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place South Shore—St. Margarets is

Population
79,1302021 census
Area
11,715km²
Density
6.8people per km²
Electors
70,712on the 2025 lists
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • 9th-oldest median age: Median age 53.2, 9th highest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)9th
    9th-oldest median age
    Median age 53.2, 9th highest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (2 of 11 in Nova Scotia)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (2 of 11 in Nova Scotia)
  • Median age is 53.2 — about 1.3 times the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest9th highest of 343
  • Median total household income is $65,500 — about 78 percent of the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest37th lowest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 81.4% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest48th highest of 343
  • Share who are immigrants is 5.7% — about 33 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest63rd lowest of 343
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 19.8% — about 70 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest95th lowest of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.2% — about 75 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest126th lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's South Shore—St. Margarets, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old South Shore—St. Margarets, but it is only 95% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
100.0%South Shore—St. Margarets 100.0% of the area · 95% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Jessica Fancy-LandryLiberal27,83154.9%35.3%+19.6
Rick PerkinsConservative20,86441.1%43.1%−2.0
Mark EmbrettGreen8181.6%2.8%−1.2
Patrick Shea BoydPeople's6981.4%0.0%+1.4
Hayden HendersonIndependent5001.0%—+1.0
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
818 votes
Green took fewer than the 6,967-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
91 of 196
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (104) · ■ won by another party (91) · ▨ tied (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 3,484 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 6.9% of the 50,711 valid votes, 6.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal27,831
Conservative20,864
Still Liberal by 6,967 votes. Actual margin: 6,967.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 52.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 47.6%, the Conservatives 47.2%, the Greens 2.1% and the People's Party 1.9%; in advance and special ballots, 62.9%, 34.5%, 1.1% and 0.8%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, South Shore—St. Margarets, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, South Shore—St. Margarets, April 28, 2025On election day the Liberals took 47.6%, the Conservatives 47.2%, the Greens 2.1% and the People's Party 1.9%; in advance and special ballots, 62.9%, 34.5%, 1.1% and 0.8%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapLiberal47.6%62.9%+15.3 ptsConservative47.2%34.5%−12.7 ptsGreen2.1%1.1%−1.0 ptsPeople's Party1.9%0.8%−1.1 pts050%100%
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, South Shore—St. Margarets, April 28, 2025On election day the Liberals took 47.6%, the Conservatives 47.2%, the Greens 2.1% and the People's Party 1.9%; in advance and special ballots, 62.9%, 34.5%, 1.1% and 0.8%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapLiberal47.6%62.9%+15.3 ptsConservative47.2%34.5%−12.7 ptsGreen2.1%1.1%−1.0 ptsPeople's Party1.9%0.8%−1.1 pts050%100%
Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
PartyElection dayAdvance and specialGap
Liberal47.6%62.9%+15.3
Conservative47.2%34.5%−12.7
Green2.1%1.1%−1.0
People's Party1.9%0.8%−1.1
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — South Shore—St. Margarets and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"South Shore—St. Margarets — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/south-shore-st-margarets/ Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.