The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 12010Nova Scotia
South Shore— St. Margarets
South Shore—
Who represents South Shore— St. Margarets
Jessica Fancy
Member of Parliament for South Shore—
Liberal
MP since · first term
- Procedure and House Affairs committee
- Transport, Infrastructure and Communities committee
67 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 2.
The 2025 result: Liberal gain from the Conservatives
Share of the valid votes by candidate, South Shore—St. Margarets, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Fancy-Landry | Liberal | 27,831 | 54.9% |
| Rick Perkins | Conservative | 20,864 | 41.1% |
| Mark Embrett | Green | 818 | 1.6% |
| Patrick Shea Boyd | People's Party | 698 | 1.4% |
| Hayden Henderson | Independent | 500 | 1.0% |
Jessica Fancy-Landry (Liberal) won South Shore—
Of the 50,711 valid votes, Jessica Fancy-Landry (Liberal) took 54.9%, Rick Perkins (Conservative) 41.1%, Mark Embrett (Green) 1.6%, Patrick Shea Boyd (People's Party) 1.4% and Hayden Henderson (Independent) 1.0%. Turnout was 72.2% of 70,712 electors: 51,087 ballots cast, 50,711 of them valid, for 5 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 19.6 (35.3% to 54.9%), the Conservatives down 2.0 (43.1% to 41.1%), the Greens down 1.2 (2.8% to 1.6%) and the People's Party up 1.4 (0.0% to 1.4%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: no party has held it
The party first in South Shore—St. Margarets at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Conservative37.9%by 5.8 points over the Liberals
- 2006Conservative36.9%by 8.3 points over the New Democrats
- 2008Conservative36.0%by 2.3 points over the New Democrats
- 2011Conservative43.2%by 7.0 points over the New Democrats
- 2015changed handsLiberal56.9%by 34.3 points over the Conservatives
- 2019Liberal41.7%by 13.6 points over the Conservatives
- 2021changed handsConservative43.1%by 7.8 points over the Liberals
- 2025changed handsLiberal54.9%by 13.8 points over the Conservatives
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Conservative | 37.9% | Liberal | 5.8 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Conservative | 36.9% | New Democratic | 8.3 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Conservative | 36.0% | New Democratic | 2.3 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | Conservative | 43.2% | New Democratic | 7.0 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | Liberal | 56.9% | Conservative | 34.3 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Liberal | 41.7% | Conservative | 13.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Conservative | 43.1% | Liberal | 7.8 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Liberal | 54.9% | Conservative | 13.8 | official result |
The Conservatives were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at three; it changed hands three times. In 2025 the Liberals took 54.9% of the vote here, 21.3 points above their average of 33.6% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (37.9%), 2006 (36.9%), 2008 (36.0%), 2011 (43.2%) and 2021 (43.1%) and the Liberals in 2015 (56.9%), 2019 (41.7%) and 2025 (54.9%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.
- 2021 Conservative · Rick Perkins, by 1,879 votes (3.8 pts)
- 2019 Liberal · Bernadette Jordan, by 7,142 votes (13.6 pts)
- 2015 Liberal · Bernadette Jordan, by 18,140 votes (34.3 pts)
In the old South Shore—St. Margarets on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's South Shore—St. Margarets lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place South Shore— St. Margarets is
- Population
- 79,1302021 census
- Area
- 11,715km²
- Density
- 6.8people per km²
- Electors
- 70,712on the 2025 lists
- 9th-oldest median ageMedian age 53.2, 9th highest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (2 of 11 in Nova Scotia)
- Median age is 53.2 — about 1.3 times the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest9th highest of 343
- Median total household income is $65,500 — about 78 percent of the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest37th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 81.4% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest48th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 5.7% — about 33 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest63rd lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 19.8% — about 70 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest95th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.2% — about 75 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest126th lowest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's South Shore—St. Margarets, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old South Shore—St. Margarets, but it is only 95% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Fancy-Landry | Liberal | 27,831 | 54.9% | 35.3% | +19.6 |
| Rick Perkins | Conservative | 20,864 | 41.1% | 43.1% | −2.0 |
| Mark Embrett | Green | 818 | 1.6% | 2.8% | −1.2 |
| Patrick Shea Boyd | People's | 698 | 1.4% | 0.0% | +1.4 |
| Hayden Henderson | Independent | 500 | 1.0% | — | +1.0 |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 3,484 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 6.9% of the 50,711 valid votes, 6.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 52.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Liberals took 47.6%, the Conservatives 47.2%, the Greens 2.1% and the People's Party 1.9%; in advance and special ballots, 62.9%, 34.5%, 1.1% and 0.8%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, South Shore—St. Margarets, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 47.6% | 62.9% | +15.3 |
| Conservative | 47.2% | 34.5% | −12.7 |
| Green | 2.1% | 1.1% | −1.0 |
| People's Party | 1.9% | 0.8% | −1.1 |