The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

South Shore—St. Margarets

Federal riding · NS · No. 12010 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — South Shore—St. Margarets, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Jessica Fancy Liberal
2025 result
Liberal gain by 6,967 votes
Turnout
72.2% of 70,712 electors
Population
79,130 2021 census
Area
11,715 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Oldest median age: Median age 53.2, 9th highest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)9th
    Oldest median age
    Median age 53.2, 9th highest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (2 of 11 in Nova Scotia)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (2 of 11 in Nova Scotia)
  • Population, smallest first: 79,130 people, 2021 census · 23rd of 343 in Canada23rd
    Population, smallest first
    79,130 people, 2021 census · 23rd of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Jessica Fancy-Landry took the seat for the Liberals by 6,967 votes (+13.8 points).
  2. The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 95% of the old South Shore—St. Margarets.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 52.5% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median age is the 9th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Jessica Fancy
Liberal · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
  • Member: Procedure and House Affairs
  • Member: Transport, Infrastructure and Communities
58 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 2.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's South Shore—St. Margarets comes from the old South Shore—St. Margarets, but it is only 95% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%South Shore—St. Margarets 95% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal gain
Elected
Jessica Fancy-Landry
Liberal
27,831
54.9% of valid votes
Margin
6,967
votes · +13.8 pts
Runner-up
Rick Perkins
Conservative
20,864
41.1% of valid votes
Liberal 54.9% · Conservative 41.1% · Green 1.6% · People's 1.4% · Independent 1.0%
Turnout72.2% of 70,712 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Jessica Fancy-LandryLiberal27,83154.9%35.3%+19.6
Rick PerkinsConservative20,86441.1%43.1%−2.0
Mark EmbrettGreen8181.6%2.8%−1.2
Patrick Shea BoydPeople's6981.4%0.0%+1.4
Hayden HendersonIndependent5001.0%—+1.0
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
6.9 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
818 votes
Green took fewer than the 6,967-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
91 of 196
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (104) · ■ won by another party (91) · ▨ tied (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 3,484 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 6.9% of the 50,711 valid votes, 6.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal27,831
Conservative20,864
Still Liberal by 6,967 votes. Actual margin: 6,967.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 52.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal47.6%62.9%+15.3
Conservative47.2%34.5%−12.7
Green2.1%1.1%−1.0
People's1.9%0.8%−1.1
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — South Shore—St. Margarets and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 12010NS · 2025
South Shore—St. Margarets
Jessica Fancy
Result
Liberal gain by 6,967
Turnout
72.2%
Population
79,130
Area
11,715 km²
Oldest median age: Median age 53.2, 9th highest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)9thOldest median ageChanged hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (2 of 11 in Nova Scotia)58Changed hands in 2025Population, smallest first: 79,130 people, 2021 census · 23rd of 343 in Canada23rdPopulation, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.