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The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 59037British Columbia

Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby

Vancouver Fraserview—Burnaby-Sud

Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby is a federal riding in British Columbia. Gregor Robertson (Liberal) has represented Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby since the 2025 election. Gregor Robertson (Liberal) held Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 8,617 votes (16.6 points), with 52.3% of the vote. Avi Nayyar (Conservative) was second with 35.7%, on a turnout of 61.8% of 84,489 electors. Member as of .

Burnaby Central · LiberalNew Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville · LiberalRichmond East—Steveston · LiberalVancouver Granville · LiberalVancouver Kingsway · New DemocraticVancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby
Fig. 1 — Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby

LGregor Robertson
Gregor Robertson's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Gregor Robertson

Member of Parliament for Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby

Liberal

MP since · first term

  • Minister of Housing and Infrastructure
  • Minister responsible for Pacific Economic Development Canada

386 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby, April 28, 2025Of the 51,845 valid votes, Gregor Robertson (Liberal) took 52.3%, Avi Nayyar (Conservative) 35.7%, Manoj Bhangu (New Democratic) 9.8% and Alexander Dow (Green) 1.3%; one other candidate took 0.9%.2025Turnout 61.8% of 84,489 electorsGregor RobertsonLiberal52.3% · 27,1178,617 votes ahead · 16.6 ptsAvi NayyarConservative35.7% · 18,500Manoj BhanguNew Democratic9.8% · 5,088Alexander DowGreen1.3% · 658Other (1)0.9% · 482050%100%
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby, April 28, 2025Of the 51,845 valid votes, Gregor Robertson (Liberal) took 52.3%, Avi Nayyar (Conservative) 35.7%, Manoj Bhangu (New Democratic) 9.8% and Alexander Dow (Green) 1.3%; one other candidate took 0.9%.2025Turnout 61.8% of 84,489 electorsGregor RobertsonLiberal52.3% · 27,1178,617 votes ahead · 16.6 ptsAvi NayyarConservative35.7% · 18,500Manoj BhanguNew Democratic9.8% · 5,088Alexander DowGreen1.3% · 658Other (1)0.9% · 482050%100%
Shares of the 51,845 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Gregor RobertsonLiberal27,11752.3%
Avi NayyarConservative18,50035.7%
Manoj BhanguNew Democratic5,0889.8%
Alexander DowGreen6581.3%
Other (1)4820.9%

Gregor Robertson (Liberal) won Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby on with 27,117 votes, 52.3% of the 51,845 valid votes. Avi Nayyar (Conservative) was second with 18,500 (35.7%), 8,617 votes and 16.6 points behind.

Of the 51,845 valid votes, Gregor Robertson (Liberal) took 52.3%, Avi Nayyar (Conservative) 35.7%, Manoj Bhangu (New Democratic) 9.8% and Alexander Dow (Green) 1.3%; one other candidate took 0.9%. Turnout was 61.8% of 84,489 electors: 52,220 ballots cast, 51,845 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 10.4 (41.9% to 52.3%), the Conservatives up 14.0 (21.7% to 35.7%), the New Democrats down 21.0 (30.8% to 9.8%) and the Greens up 0.3 (1.0% to 1.3%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

  1. 2004Liberal40.4%by 12.3 points over the New Democrats
  2. 2006Liberal41.7%by 14.1 points over the New Democrats
  3. 2008changed handsConservative35.3%by 5.0 points over the Liberals
  4. 2011Conservative40.2%by 9.6 points over the New Democrats
  5. 2015changed handsLiberal43.3%by 12.3 points over the Conservatives
  6. 2019Liberal35.2%by 3.6 points over the Conservatives
  7. 2021Liberal41.9%by 11.1 points over the New Democrats
  8. 2025Liberal52.3%by 16.6 points over the Conservatives
Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.
The figures
YearFirstShareSecondMargin (pts)Basis
2004Liberal40.4%New Democratic12.3carried, our estimate
2006Liberal41.7%New Democratic14.1carried, our estimate
2008Conservative35.3%Liberal5.0carried, our estimate
2011Conservative40.2%New Democratic9.6carried, our estimate
2015Liberal43.3%Conservative12.3carried, our estimate
2019Liberal35.2%Conservative3.6carried, our estimate
2021Liberal41.9%New Democratic11.1transposed by Elections Canada
2025Liberal52.3%Conservative16.6official result

The Liberals were first at six of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at two; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Liberals took 52.3% of the vote here, 15.4 points above their average of 36.9% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (40.4%), 2006 (41.7%), 2015 (43.3%), 2019 (35.2%), 2021 (41.9%) and 2025 (52.3%) and the Conservatives in 2008 (35.3%) and 2011 (40.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025
  • 2021 Liberal · Harjit S. Sajjan, by 9,988 votes (24.8 pts)
  • 2019 Liberal · Harjit S. Sajjan, by 3,420 votes (7.9 pts)
  • 2015 Liberal · Harjit S. Sajjan, by 6,658 votes (14.9 pts)

In Vancouver South on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby is

Population
117,4852021 census
Area
34km²
Density
3,507people per km²
Electors
84,489on the 2025 lists
  • Share who are immigrants is 54.1% — about 3.1 times the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest21st highest of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.6% — about 37 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest30th lowest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 60.7% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest89th lowest of 343
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 41.2% — about 1.5 times the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest90th highest of 343
  • Median total household income is $88,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest128th highest of 343
  • Median age is 42.0 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest155th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 66% of the 2025 electors in today's Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby lived in the old Vancouver South; by area, 53% of the riding came from the old Burnaby South.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
65.8%Vancouver South 43.0% of the area · 68% of it kept
25.2%Burnaby South 53.1% of the area · 38% of it kept
9.0%New Westminster—Burnaby 3.9% of the area · 5% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Gregor RobertsonLiberal27,11752.3%41.9%+10.4
Avi NayyarConservative18,50035.7%21.7%+14.0
Manoj BhanguNew Democratic5,0889.8%30.8%−21.0
Alexander DowGreen6581.3%1.0%+0.3
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Desiderio Magtanggol 'Bonn' ReyesPeople's4820.9%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
5,088 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 8,617-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
51 of 189
4 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (134) · ■ won by another party (51) · ▨ tied (4).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 4,309 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 8.3% of the 51,845 valid votes, 8.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal27,117
Conservative18,500
Still Liberal by 8,617 votes. Actual margin: 8,617.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 47.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 47.6%, the Conservatives 39.0%, the New Democrats 10.8% and the Greens 1.4%; in advance and special ballots, 56.5%, 32.7%, 8.9% and 1.1%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby, April 28, 2025On election day the Liberals took 47.6%, the Conservatives 39.0%, the New Democrats 10.8% and the Greens 1.4%; in advance and special ballots, 56.5%, 32.7%, 8.9% and 1.1%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapLiberal47.6%56.5%+8.9 ptsConservative39.0%32.7%−6.3 ptsNew Democratic10.8%8.9%−1.9 ptsGreen1.4%1.1%−0.3 pts050%100%
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby, April 28, 2025On election day the Liberals took 47.6%, the Conservatives 39.0%, the New Democrats 10.8% and the Greens 1.4%; in advance and special ballots, 56.5%, 32.7%, 8.9% and 1.1%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapLiberal47.6%56.5%+8.9 ptsConservative39.0%32.7%−6.3 ptsNew Democratic10.8%8.9%−1.9 ptsGreen1.4%1.1%−0.3 pts050%100%
Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
PartyElection dayAdvance and specialGap
Liberal47.6%56.5%+8.9
Conservative39.0%32.7%−6.3
New Democratic10.8%8.9%−1.9
Green1.4%1.1%−0.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/vancouver-fraserview-south-burnaby/ Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.