The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Airdrie—Cochrane

Federal riding · AB · No. 48001 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Airdrie—Cochrane, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Blake Richards Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 33,538 votes
Turnout
74.7% of 95,076 electors
Population
115,240 2021 census
Area
579 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Won every election-day poll: All 180 election-day polls went to the winner · one of 15 of 34315
    Won every election-day poll
    All 180 election-day polls went to the winner · one of 15 of 343
  • Width of the margin: Won by 47.5 points (33,538 votes) · 22nd of 343 in Canada22nd
    Width of the margin
    Won by 47.5 points (33,538 votes) · 22nd of 343 in Canada
  • Turnout: 74.7% of 95,076 electors voted · 37th of 343 in Canada37th
    Turnout
    74.7% of 95,076 electors voted · 37th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Blake Richards held the seat for the Conservatives by 33,538 votes (+47.5 points).
  2. The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 5% of the old Banff—Airdrie.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 51.7% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median total household income is the 31st highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Blake Richards
Conservative · first elected 2008-10-14 · 6 terms
  • Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
  • Member: Veterans Affairs
  • Vice-Chair: Veterans Affairs
58 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Committees of the House — Veterans Affairs.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Airdrie—Cochrane comes from the old Banff—Airdrie, but it is only 5% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.9%Banff—Airdrie 5% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Blake Richards
Conservative
50,252
71.2% of valid votes
Margin
33,538
votes · +47.5 pts
Runner-up
Sean Secord
Liberal
16,714
23.7% of valid votes
Conservative 71.2% · Liberal 23.7% · New Democratic 3.7%
Turnout74.7% of 95,076 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Blake RichardsConservative50,25271.2%59.6%+11.6
Sean SecordLiberal16,71423.7%10.1%+13.6
Sarah ZagodaNew Democratic2,5913.7%14.9%−11.2
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
David SabineOther6230.9%
Christopher BellOther3800.5%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
23.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,591 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 33,538-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
0 of 180
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (180) · ■ won by another party (0).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 16,770 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 23.8% of the 70,560 valid votes, 23.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative50,252
Liberal16,714
Still Conservative by 33,538 votes. Actual margin: 33,538.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 51.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative71.3%71.1%−0.2
Liberal23.2%24.2%+1.0
New Democratic3.9%3.5%−0.4
Other1.6%1.2%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Airdrie—Cochrane and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 48001AB · 2025
Airdrie—Cochrane
Blake Richards
Result
Conservative hold by 33,538
Turnout
74.7%
Population
115,240
Area
579 km²
Won every election-day poll: All 180 election-day polls went to the winner · one of 15 of 34315Won every election-day pollWidth of the margin: Won by 47.5 points (33,538 votes) · 22nd of 343 in Canada22ndWidth of the marginTurnout: 74.7% of 95,076 electors voted · 37th of 343 in Canada37thTurnout
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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