The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Calgary Crowfoot

Federal riding · AB · No. 48006 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Calgary Crowfoot, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Pat Kelly Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 14,585 votes
Turnout
73.9% of 92,358 electors
Population
117,345 2021 census
Area
73 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Turnout: 73.9% of 92,358 electors voted · 52nd of 343 in Canada52nd
    Turnout
    73.9% of 92,358 electors voted · 52nd of 343 in Canada
  • Length of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61st
    Length of the ballot
    6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
  • Population, largest first: 117,345 people, 2021 census · 94th of 343 in Canada94th
    Population, largest first
    117,345 people, 2021 census · 94th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Pat Kelly held the seat for the Conservatives by 14,585 votes (+21.4 points).
  2. 1% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 43.5% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median total household income is the 21st highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Pat Kelly
Conservative · first elected 2015-10-19 · 4 terms
  • Member: Finance
199 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Food Inflation and Budgetary Policy — Opposition Motion—Canada Carbon Rebate and Payment to Quebec — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 1% of today's Calgary Crowfoot came from ridings other than the old Calgary Rocky Ridge.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
98.7%Calgary Rocky Ridge 79% of it kept
0.6%Banff—Airdrie 0% of it kept
0.4%Calgary Confederation 1% of it kept
0.3%Calgary Signal Hill 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Pat Kelly
Conservative
39,971
58.8% of valid votes
Margin
14,585
votes · +21.4 pts
Runner-up
Shahnaz Munir
Liberal
25,386
37.4% of valid votes
Conservative 58.8% · Liberal 37.4% · New Democratic 2.6%
Turnout73.9% of 92,358 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Pat KellyConservative39,97158.8%54.6%+4.2
Shahnaz MunirLiberal25,38637.4%21.6%+15.8
Jim SamuelsonNew Democratic1,7412.6%16.1%−13.5
3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Yvonne SnyderPeople's3600.5%
Nanette NerlandGreen3460.5%
Lachlan Van EgmondIndependent1310.2%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
10.7 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,741 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 14,585-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
3 of 139
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (136) · ■ won by another party (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 7,293 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 10.7% of the 67,935 valid votes, 10.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative39,971
Liberal25,386
Still Conservative by 14,585 votes. Actual margin: 14,585.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 43.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative60.3%57.7%−2.6
Liberal35.6%38.7%+3.1
New Democratic2.7%2.4%−0.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Calgary Crowfoot and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 48006AB · 2025
Calgary Crowfoot
Pat Kelly
Result
Conservative hold by 14,585
Turnout
73.9%
Population
117,345
Area
73 km²
Turnout: 73.9% of 92,358 electors voted · 52nd of 343 in Canada52ndTurnoutLength of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61stLength of the ballotPopulation, largest first: 117,345 people, 2021 census · 94th of 343 in Canada94thPopulation, largest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.