The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 48006Alberta

Calgary Crowfoot

Calgary Crowfoot is a federal riding in Alberta. Pat Kelly (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2015) represents Calgary Crowfoot. Pat Kelly (Conservative) held Calgary Crowfoot for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 14,585 votes (21.4 points), with 58.8% of the vote. Shahnaz Munir (Liberal) was second with 37.4%, on a turnout of 73.9% of 92,358 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Calgary Crowfoot on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Calgary Crowfoot

Pat Kelly's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Pat Kelly

Member of Parliament for Calgary Crowfoot

Conservative

MP since 2015-10-19 · 4 terms

Finance committee

223 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Food Inflation and Budgetary Policy — Opposition Motion—Canada Carbon Rebate and Payment to Quebec — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Calgary Crowfoot, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 67,935 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Pat Kelly	Conservative	39,971	58.8%
Shahnaz Munir	Liberal	25,386	37.4%
Jim Samuelson	New Democratic	1,741	2.6%
Others (3)		837	1.2%

Pat Kelly (Conservative) won Calgary Crowfoot on April 28, 2025 with 39,971 votes, 58.8% of the 67,935 valid votes. Shahnaz Munir (Liberal) was second with 25,386 (37.4%), 14,585 votes and 21.4 points behind.

Of the 67,935 valid votes, Pat Kelly (Conservative) took 58.8%, Shahnaz Munir (Liberal) 37.4% and Jim Samuelson (New Democratic) 2.6%; the 3 other candidates took 1.2% together. Turnout was 73.9% of 92,358 electors: 68,293 ballots cast, 67,935 of them valid, for 6 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 4.2 (54.6% to 58.8%), the Liberals up 15.8 (21.6% to 37.4%) and the New Democrats down 13.5 (16.1% to 2.6%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: a Conservative stronghold

The party first in Calgary Crowfoot at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Conservative61.9%by 37.3 points over the Liberals
2006Conservative65.6%by 47.1 points over the Liberals
2008Conservative66.0%by 50.3 points over the Liberals
2011Conservative67.8%by 54.7 points over the Liberals
2015Conservative60.4%by 28.7 points over the Liberals
2019Conservative68.3%by 49.9 points over the Liberals
2021Conservative54.6%by 33.1 points over the Liberals
2025Conservative58.8%by 21.4 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Conservative	61.9%	Liberal	37.3	carried, our estimate
2006	Conservative	65.6%	Liberal	47.1	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	66.0%	Liberal	50.3	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	67.8%	Liberal	54.7	carried, our estimate
2015	Conservative	60.4%	Liberal	28.7	carried, our estimate
2019	Conservative	68.3%	Liberal	49.9	carried, our estimate
2021	Conservative	54.6%	Liberal	33.1	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	58.8%	Liberal	21.4	official result

The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 40.3 points over the next party. In 2025 the Conservatives took 58.8% of the vote here, 4.7 points below their average of 63.5% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (61.9%), 2006 (65.6%), 2008 (66.0%), 2011 (67.8%), 2015 (60.4%), 2019 (68.3%), 2021 (54.6%) and 2025 (58.8%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · Pat Kelly, by 21,341 votes (32.3 pts)
2019 Conservative · Pat Kelly, by 35,241 votes (49.9 pts)
2015 Conservative · Pat Kelly, by 18,191 votes (28.7 pts)

In Calgary Rocky Ridge on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Calgary Crowfoot lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Calgary Crowfoot is

Population: 117,3452021 census
Area: 73km²
Density: 1,619people per km²
Electors: 92,358on the 2025 lists

Median total household income is $119,000 — about 1.4 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest21st highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 84.1% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest21st highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 52.5% — about 1.9 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest36th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 33.9% — about 2.0 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest82nd highest of 343
Median age is 39.2 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest96th lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.2% — about 75 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest126th lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 100% of the 2025 electors in today's Calgary Crowfoot lived in the old Calgary Rocky Ridge; by area, 1% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

100.0%Calgary Rocky Ridge 98.7% of the area · 79% of it kept

0.0%Banff—Airdrie 0.6% of the area · under 0.1% of it kept

0.0%Calgary Confederation 0.4% of the area · 1% of it kept

0.0%Calgary Signal Hill 0.3% of the area · 0.3% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Pat Kelly	Conservative	39,971	58.8%	54.6%	+4.2
Shahnaz Munir	Liberal	25,386	37.4%	21.6%	+15.8
Jim Samuelson	New Democratic	1,741	2.6%	16.1%	−13.5

3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

Yvonne Snyder	People's	360	0.5%
Nanette Nerland	Green	346	0.5%
Lachlan Van Egmond	Independent	131	0.2%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,741 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 14,585-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

3 of 139

No poll ended in a tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (136) · ■ won by another party (3).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 7,293 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 10.7% of the 67,935 valid votes, 10.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0014,586

Conservative39,971

Liberal25,386

Still Conservative by 14,585 votes. Actual margin: 14,585.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 43.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 60.3%, the Liberals 35.6% and the New Democrats 2.7%; in advance and special ballots, 57.7%, 38.7% and 2.4%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Calgary Crowfoot, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Conservative	60.3%	57.7%	−2.6
Liberal	35.6%	38.7%	+3.1
New Democratic	2.7%	2.4%	−0.3

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Calgary Crowfoot and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Calgary Crowfoot — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/calgary-crowfoot/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.