Conservative · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
Member: International Trade
139 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.
IDid this riding change?
Essentially no. Today's Beauce covers almost exactly the same ground as the Beauce riding it replaced.
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Jason Groleau
Conservative
37,604
59.7% of valid votes
Margin
25,547
votes · +40.6 pts
Runner-up
Maryelle-Henriette Doumbia
Liberal
12,057
19.1% of valid votes
Conservative 59.7% · Liberal 19.1% · Bloc Québécois 13.6% · People's 5.8% · New Democratic 1.7%
Turnout71.8% of 89,069 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Jason Groleau
Conservative
37,604
59.7%
47.5%
+12.2
Maryelle-Henriette Doumbia
Liberal
12,057
19.1%
12.1%
+7.0
Gaétan Mathieu
Bloc Québécois
8,595
13.6%
14.9%
−1.3
Maxime Bernier
People's
3,626
5.8%
17.9%
−12.1
Annabelle Lafond-Poirier
New Democratic
1,100
1.7%
2.9%
−1.2
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
20.3 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
8,595 votes
Bloc Québécois took fewer than the 25,547-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
6 of 212
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (206) · ■ won by another party (6).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 12,774 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 20.3% of the 62,982 valid votes, 20.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative37,604
Liberal12,057
Still Conservative by 25,547 votes. Actual margin: 25,547.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 70.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative62.3%53.5%−8.8
Liberal17.2%23.8%+6.6
Bloc Québécois12.9%15.3%+2.4
People's5.8%5.7%−0.1
New Democratic1.8%1.6%−0.2
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $69,500 — about 83 percent of the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest57th lowest of 343
Median age is 43.6 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest106th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 14.6% — about 52 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest25th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 1.5% — about 9 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest15th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 72.4% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest154th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 97.2% — about 60.8 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest5th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
Most French mother tongueBoundaries unchanged in 2023Width of the margin
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.