The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Brampton—Chinguacousy Park
Federal riding · ON · No. 35010 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Shafqat Ali Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 1,941 votes
- Turnout
- 63.0% of 70,674 electors
- Population
- 115,565 2021 census
- Area
- 39 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Length of the ballot7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada
- Closeness of the raceWon by 1,941 votes (4.4 pts) · 40th of 343 in Canada
- Turnout, lowest first63.0% of 70,674 electors voted · 46th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Shafqat Ali
- President of the Treasury Board
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 29% of today's Brampton—Chinguacousy Park came from ridings other than the old Brampton Centre.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
71.2%Brampton Centre 60% of it kept
28.8%Brampton North 32% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Shafqat Ali
Liberal
21,532
48.8% of valid votes
Margin
1,941
votes · +4.4 pts
Runner-up
Tim Iqbal
Conservative
19,591
44.4% of valid votes
Liberal 48.8% · Conservative 44.4% · New Democratic 2.7% · People's 1.7% · Green 1.2%
Turnout63.0% of 70,674 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shafqat Ali | Liberal | 21,532 | 48.8% | 50.1% | −1.3 |
| Tim Iqbal | Conservative | 19,591 | 44.4% | 30.6% | +13.8 |
| Teresa Yeh | New Democratic | 1,173 | 2.7% | 16.6% | −13.9 |
| Jayesh Brahmbhatt | People's | 741 | 1.7% | — | +1.7 |
| Mike Dancy | Green | 521 | 1.2% | — | +1.2 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Avi Dhaliwal | Independent | 328 | 0.7% |
| Hafiz Muneeb Ahmad | Other | 194 | 0.4% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
2.2 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,173 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 1,941-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
80 of 180
4 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 971 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 2.2% of the 44,080 valid votes, 2.2 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal21,532
Conservative19,591
Still Liberal by 1,941 votes. Actual margin: 1,941.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 62.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal47.3%51.4%+4.1
Conservative45.7%42.3%−3.4
New Democratic2.7%2.6%−0.1
People's1.7%1.6%−0.1
Green1.3%1.0%−0.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $98,000 — about 1.2 times the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest76th highest of 343
- Median age is 37.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest52nd lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 31.7% — a little higher than the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest147th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 49.5% — about 2.9 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest32nd highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 71.6% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest165th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.7% — about 44 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest48th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 35010ON · 2025
Brampton—Chinguacousy Park
Shafqat Ali
- Result
- Liberal hold by 1,941
- Turnout
- 63.0%
- Population
- 115,565
- Area
- 39 km²
Length of the ballotCloseness of the raceTurnout, lowest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.