The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35010Ontario

Brampton—Chinguacousy Park

Brampton—Chinguacousy Park is a federal riding in Ontario. Shafqat Ali (Liberal, first elected to the House in 2021) represents Brampton—Chinguacousy Park. Shafqat Ali (Liberal) held Brampton—Chinguacousy Park for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 1,941 votes (4.4 points), with 48.8% of the vote. Tim Iqbal (Conservative) was second with 44.4%, on a turnout of 63.0% of 70,674 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Brampton—Chinguacousy Park on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Brampton—Chinguacousy Park

Shafqat Ali's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Shafqat Ali

Member of Parliament for Brampton—Chinguacousy Park

Liberal

MP since 2021-09-20 · 2 terms

President of the Treasury Board

219 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—GC Strategies Inc. — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Brampton—Chinguacousy Park, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 44,080 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Shafqat Ali	Liberal	21,532	48.8%
Tim Iqbal	Conservative	19,591	44.4%
Teresa Yeh	New Democratic	1,173	2.7%
Jayesh Brahmbhatt	People's Party	741	1.7%
Mike Dancy	Green	521	1.2%
Others (2)		522	1.2%

Shafqat Ali (Liberal) won Brampton—Chinguacousy Park on April 28, 2025 with 21,532 votes, 48.8% of the 44,080 valid votes. Tim Iqbal (Conservative) was second with 19,591 (44.4%), 1,941 votes and 4.4 points behind.

Of the 44,080 valid votes, Shafqat Ali (Liberal) took 48.8%, Tim Iqbal (Conservative) 44.4%, Teresa Yeh (New Democratic) 2.7%, Jayesh Brahmbhatt (People's Party) 1.7% and Mike Dancy (Green) 1.2%; the 2 other candidates took 1.2% together. Turnout was 63.0% of 70,674 electors: 44,553 ballots cast, 44,080 of them valid, for 7 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are down 1.3 (50.1% to 48.8%), the Conservatives up 13.8 (30.6% to 44.4%) and the New Democrats down 13.9 (16.6% to 2.7%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: usually Liberal

The party first in Brampton—Chinguacousy Park at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal48.8%by 19.5 points over the Conservatives
2006Liberal49.3%by 17.4 points over the Conservatives
2008Liberal43.4%by 5.3 points over the Conservatives
2011changed handsConservative40.3%by 12.1 points over the Liberals
2015changed handsLiberal48.5%by 15.1 points over the Conservatives
2019Liberal49.1%by 21.8 points over the Conservatives
2021Liberal50.1%by 19.5 points over the Conservatives
2025Liberal48.8%by 4.4 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	48.8%	Conservative	19.5	carried, our estimate
2006	Liberal	49.3%	Conservative	17.4	carried, our estimate
2008	Liberal	43.4%	Conservative	5.3	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	40.3%	Liberal	12.1	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	48.5%	Conservative	15.1	carried, our estimate
2019	Liberal	49.1%	Conservative	21.8	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	50.1%	Conservative	19.5	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	48.8%	Conservative	4.4	official result

The Liberals were first here at seven of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025; the Conservatives were first in 2011. In 2025 the Liberals took 48.8% of the vote here, 3.5 points above their average of 45.3% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (48.8%), 2006 (49.3%), 2008 (43.4%), 2015 (48.5%), 2019 (49.1%), 2021 (50.1%) and 2025 (48.8%) and the Conservatives in 2011 (40.3%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 83 of the 343 ridings are usually one party's. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Shafqat Ali, by 5,163 votes (15.2 pts)
2019 Liberal · Ramesh Sangha, by 8,075 votes (20.3 pts)
2015 Liberal · Ramesh Sangha, by 5,932 votes (14.9 pts)

In Brampton Centre on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Brampton—Chinguacousy Park lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Brampton—Chinguacousy Park is

Population: 115,5652021 census
Area: 39km²
Density: 2,971people per km²
Electors: 70,674on the 2025 lists

Share who are immigrants is 49.5% — about 2.9 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest32nd highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.7% — about 44 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest48th lowest of 343
Median age is 37.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest52nd lowest of 343
Median total household income is $98,000 — about 1.2 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest76th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 31.7% — a little higher than the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest147th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 71.6% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest165th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 55% of the 2025 electors in today's Brampton—Chinguacousy Park lived in the old Brampton Centre; by area, 29% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

55.1%Brampton Centre 71.2% of the area · 60% of it kept

44.9%Brampton North 28.8% of the area · 32% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Shafqat Ali	Liberal	21,532	48.8%	50.1%	−1.3
Tim Iqbal	Conservative	19,591	44.4%	30.6%	+13.8
Teresa Yeh	New Democratic	1,173	2.7%	16.6%	−13.9
Jayesh Brahmbhatt	People's	741	1.7%	—	+1.7
Mike Dancy	Green	521	1.2%	—	+1.2

2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

Avi Dhaliwal	Independent	328	0.7%
Hafiz Muneeb Ahmad	Other	194	0.4%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,173 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 1,941-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

80 of 180

4 polls ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (96) · ■ won by another party (80) · ▨ tied (4).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 971 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 2.2% of the 44,080 valid votes, 2.2 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 001,942

Liberal21,532

Conservative19,591

Still Liberal by 1,941 votes. Actual margin: 1,941.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 62.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 47.3%, the Conservatives 45.7%, the New Democrats 2.7%, the People's Party 1.7% and the Greens 1.3%; in advance and special ballots, 51.4%, 42.3%, 2.6%, 1.6% and 1.0%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Brampton—Chinguacousy Park, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	47.3%	51.4%	+4.1
Conservative	45.7%	42.3%	−3.4
New Democratic	2.7%	2.6%	−0.1
People's Party	1.7%	1.6%	−0.1
Green	1.3%	1.0%	−0.3

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Brampton—Chinguacousy Park and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Brampton—Chinguacousy Park — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/brampton-chinguacousy-park/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.