The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35012Ontario

Brampton North—Caledon

Brampton-Nord—Caledon

Brampton North—Caledon is a federal riding in Ontario. Ruby Sahota (Liberal, first elected to the House in 2015) represents Brampton North—Caledon. Ruby Sahota (Liberal) held Brampton North—Caledon for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 742 votes (1.6 points), with 49.0% of the vote. Amandeep Judge (Conservative) was second with 47.4%, on a turnout of 67.2% of 70,012 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Brampton North—Caledon on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Brampton North—Caledon

Ruby Sahota's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Ruby Sahota

Member of Parliament for Brampton North—Caledon

Liberal

MP since 2015-10-19 · 4 terms

Secretary of State (Combatting Crime)

309 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Public Safety.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Brampton North—Caledon, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 46,595 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Ruby Sahota	Liberal	22,847	49.0%
Amandeep Judge	Conservative	22,105	47.4%
Ruby Zaman	New Democratic	1,008	2.2%
Sat Anand	People's Party	635	1.4%

Ruby Sahota (Liberal) won Brampton North—Caledon on April 28, 2025 with 22,847 votes, 49.0% of the 46,595 valid votes. Amandeep Judge (Conservative) was second with 22,105 (47.4%), 742 votes and 1.6 points behind.

Of the 46,595 valid votes, Ruby Sahota (Liberal) took 49.0%, Amandeep Judge (Conservative) 47.4%, Ruby Zaman (New Democratic) 2.2% and Sat Anand (People's Party) 1.4%. Turnout was 67.2% of 70,012 electors: 47,044 ballots cast, 46,595 of them valid, for 4 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are down 1.9 (50.9% to 49.0%), the Conservatives up 14.5 (32.9% to 47.4%), the New Democrats down 11.6 (13.8% to 2.2%) and the People's Party up 0.4 (1.0% to 1.4%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Brampton North—Caledon at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal45.7%by 14.0 points over the Conservatives
2006Liberal43.6%by 8.8 points over the Conservatives
2008changed handsConservative42.4%by 6.2 points over the Liberals
2011Conservative50.4%by 25.4 points over the Liberals
2015changed handsLiberal46.7%by 11.7 points over the Conservatives
2019Liberal47.0%by 16.5 points over the Conservatives
2021Liberal50.9%by 18.1 points over the Conservatives
2025Liberal49.0%by 1.6 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	45.7%	Conservative	14.0	carried, our estimate
2006	Liberal	43.6%	Conservative	8.8	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	42.4%	Liberal	6.2	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	50.4%	Liberal	25.4	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	46.7%	Conservative	11.7	carried, our estimate
2019	Liberal	47.0%	Conservative	16.5	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	50.9%	Conservative	18.1	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	49.0%	Conservative	1.6	official result

The Liberals were first at six of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at two; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Liberals took 49.0% of the vote here, 6.8 points above their average of 42.2% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (45.7%), 2006 (43.6%), 2015 (46.7%), 2019 (47.0%), 2021 (50.9%) and 2025 (49.0%) and the Conservatives in 2008 (42.4%) and 2011 (50.4%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Ruby Sahota, by 10,123 votes (23.5 pts)
2019 Liberal · Ruby Sahota, by 11,997 votes (23.7 pts)
2015 Liberal · Ruby Sahota, by 7,409 votes (15.4 pts)

In Brampton North on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Brampton North—Caledon lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Brampton North—Caledon is

Population: 106,7602021 census
Area: 160km²
Density: 669people per km²
Electors: 70,012on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

3rd-largest households
3.7 people per household, 3rd highest of 343 (Average household size, 2021 census)
7th-most home owners
87.6% of households own their home, 7th highest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)
Decided before election day
On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343

Share of households that own their home is 87.6% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest7th highest of 343
Median total household income is $120,000 — about 1.4 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest19th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.5% — about 31 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest20th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 50.1% — about 2.9 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest31st highest of 343
Median age is 36.4 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest37th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 38.1% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest113th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 68% of the 2025 electors in today's Brampton North—Caledon lived in the old Brampton North; by area, 82% of the riding came from the old Dufferin—Caledon.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

68.3%Brampton North 15.2% of the area · 69% of it kept

22.0%Dufferin—Caledon 82.3% of the area · 6% of it kept

9.7%Brampton East 2.4% of the area · 4% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Ruby Sahota	Liberal	22,847	49.0%	50.9%	−1.9
Amandeep Judge	Conservative	22,105	47.4%	32.9%	+14.5
Ruby Zaman	New Democratic	1,008	2.2%	13.8%	−11.6
Sat Anand	People's	635	1.4%	1.0%	+0.4

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,008 votes

New Democratic took more than the 742-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.

Election-day polls won by others

72 of 133

2 polls ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (59) · ■ won by another party (72) · ▨ tied (2).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 372 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 0.8% of the 46,595 valid votes, 0.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 00744

Liberal22,847

Conservative22,105

Still Liberal by 742 votes. Actual margin: 742.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 60.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.

On election day the Liberals took 47.4%, the Conservatives 48.9%, the New Democrats 2.1% and the People's Party 1.6%; in advance and special ballots, 51.4%, 45.3%, 2.2% and 1.1%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Brampton North—Caledon, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	47.4%	51.4%	+4.0
Conservative	48.9%	45.3%	−3.6
New Democratic	2.1%	2.2%	+0.1
People's Party	1.6%	1.1%	−0.5

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Brampton North—Caledon and its 7 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Brampton North—Caledon — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/brampton-north-caledon/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.