The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Brampton North—Caledon

Brampton-Nord—Caledon
Federal riding · ON · No. 35012 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Brampton North—Caledon, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Ruby Sahota Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 742 votes
Turnout
67.2% of 70,012 electors
Population
106,760 2021 census
Area
160 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Largest households: 3.7 people per household, 3rd highest of 343 (Average household size, 2021 census)3rd
    Largest households
    3.7 people per household, 3rd highest of 343 (Average household size, 2021 census)
  • Most home owners: 87.6% of households own their home, 7th highest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)7th
    Most home owners
    87.6% of households own their home, 7th highest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)
  • Decided before election day: On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 34327
    Decided before election day
    On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343
In brief
  1. Ruby Sahota held the seat for the Liberals by 742 votes (+1.6 points).
  2. 18% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. On election day alone, the Conservatives led; advance and special ballots decided it.
  4. Share of households that own their home is the 7th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Ruby Sahota
Liberal · first elected 2015-10-19 · 4 terms
  • Secretary of State (Combatting Crime)

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 18% of today's Brampton North—Caledon came from ridings other than the old Dufferin—Caledon.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
82.3%Dufferin—Caledon 6% of it kept
15.2%Brampton North 69% of it kept
2.4%Brampton East 4% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Ruby Sahota
Liberal
22,847
49.0% of valid votes
Margin
742
votes · +1.6 pts
Runner-up
Amandeep Judge
Conservative
22,105
47.4% of valid votes
Liberal 49.0% · Conservative 47.4% · New Democratic 2.2% · People's 1.4%
Turnout67.2% of 70,012 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Ruby SahotaLiberal22,84749.0%50.9%−1.9
Amandeep JudgeConservative22,10547.4%32.9%+14.5
Ruby ZamanNew Democratic1,0082.2%13.8%−11.6
Sat AnandPeople's6351.4%1.0%+0.4
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
0.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,008 votes
New Democratic took more than the 742-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
72 of 133
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (59) · ■ won by another party (72) · ▨ tied (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 372 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 0.8% of the 46,595 valid votes, 0.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal22,847
Conservative22,105
Still Liberal by 742 votes. Actual margin: 742.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 60.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative48.9%45.3%−3.6
Liberal47.4%51.4%+4.0
New Democratic2.1%2.2%+0.1
People's1.6%1.1%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Brampton North—Caledon and its 7 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35012ON · 2025
Brampton North—Caledon
Ruby Sahota
Result
Liberal hold by 742
Turnout
67.2%
Population
106,760
Area
160 km²
Largest households: 3.7 people per household, 3rd highest of 343 (Average household size, 2021 census)3rdLargest householdsMost home owners: 87.6% of households own their home, 7th highest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)7thMost home ownersDecided before election day: On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 34327Decided before election day
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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