The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Cape Spear
Federal riding · NL · No. 10002 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Tom Osborne Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 19,544 votes
- Turnout
- 66.5% of 69,828 electors
- Population
- 85,165 2021 census
- Area
- 195 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Widest margin in Newfoundland and LabradorWon by 42.5 points (19,544 votes) · 1st of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 40th of 343 in Canada
- Most candidates on the ballot in Newfoundland and Labrador5 candidates stood · 1st of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 156th of 343 in Canada
- Smallest by area in Newfoundland and Labrador195 km² · 1st of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 159th of 343 in Canada
- Most populous in Newfoundland and Labrador85,165 people, 2021 census · 1st of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 306th of 343 in Canada
- Highest turnout in Newfoundland and Labrador66.5% of 69,828 electors voted · 3rd of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 240th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Tom Osborne
- Parliamentary Secretary to the President of the Treasury Board
- Member: Public Accounts
- Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 17% of today's Cape Spear came from ridings other than the old St. John's South—Mount Pearl.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
83.3%St. John's South—Mount Pearl 26% of it kept
14.8%Avalon 0% of it kept
1.8%St. John's East 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Tom Osborne
Liberal
31,388
68.3% of valid votes
Margin
19,544
votes · +42.5 pts
Runner-up
Corey Curtis
Conservative
11,844
25.8% of valid votes
Liberal 68.3% · Conservative 25.8% · New Democratic 5.3%
Turnout66.5% of 69,828 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Osborne | Liberal | 31,388 | 68.3% | 54.1% | +14.2 |
| Corey Curtis | Conservative | 11,844 | 25.8% | 20.2% | +5.6 |
| Brenda Walsh | New Democratic | 2,446 | 5.3% | 22.9% | −17.6 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Mike Peach | Other | 170 | 0.4% |
| Kaelem Tingate | Green | 140 | 0.3% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
21.3 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,446 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 19,544-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
2 of 154
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 9,773 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 21.3% of the 45,988 valid votes, 21.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal31,388
Conservative11,844
Still Liberal by 19,544 votes. Actual margin: 19,544.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 56.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal63.3%74.7%+11.4
Conservative29.6%20.6%−9.0
New Democratic6.2%4.2%−2.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $81,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest160th lowest of 343
- Median age is 42.8 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest132nd highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 28.0% — about the same as the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest170th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 3.1% — about 18 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest31st lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 67.1% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest125th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.4% — about 25 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest12th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 10002NL · 2025
Cape Spear
Tom Osborne
- Result
- Liberal hold by 19,544
- Turnout
- 66.5%
- Population
- 85,165
- Area
- 195 km²
Widest margin in Newfoundland and LabradorMost candidates on the ballot in Newfoundland and LabradorSmallest by area in Newfoundland and LabradorMost populous in Newfoundland and LabradorHighest turnout in Newfoundland and Labrador
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
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