The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Edmonton Manning

Federal riding · AB · No. 48018 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Edmonton Manning, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Ziad Aboultaif Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 8,842 votes
Turnout
61.2% of 82,238 electors
Population
112,175 2021 census
Area
152 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Turnout, lowest first: 61.2% of 82,238 electors voted · 31st of 343 in Canada31st
    Turnout, lowest first
    61.2% of 82,238 electors voted · 31st of 343 in Canada
  • Area, smallest first: 152 km² · 150th of 343 in Canada150th
    Area, smallest first
    152 km² · 150th of 343 in Canada
  • Width of the margin: Won by 17.8 points (8,842 votes) · 156th of 343 in Canada156th
    Width of the margin
    Won by 17.8 points (8,842 votes) · 156th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Ziad Aboultaif held the seat for the Conservatives by 8,842 votes (+17.8 points).
  2. The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 96% of the old Edmonton Manning.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 56.1% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median age is the 26th lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Ziad Aboultaif
Conservative · first elected 2015-10-19 · 4 terms
  • Member: Foreign Affairs and International Development
120 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Living Donor Recognition Medal Act.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Edmonton Manning comes from the old Edmonton Manning, but it is only 96% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.8%Edmonton Manning 96% of it kept
0.1%Sturgeon River—Parkland 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Ziad Aboultaif
Conservative
26,445
53.1% of valid votes
Margin
8,842
votes · +17.8 pts
Runner-up
Blair-Marie Coles
Liberal
17,603
35.3% of valid votes
Conservative 53.1% · Liberal 35.3% · New Democratic 9.9% · People's 1.7%
Turnout61.2% of 82,238 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Ziad AboultaifConservative26,44553.1%40.8%+12.3
Blair-Marie ColesLiberal17,60335.3%20.4%+14.9
Lesley ThompsonNew Democratic4,9359.9%30.8%−20.9
Robert BardPeople's8241.7%7.0%−5.3
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
8.9 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
4,935 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 8,842-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
6 of 110
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (104) · ■ won by another party (6).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 4,422 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 8.9% of the 49,807 valid votes, 8.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative26,445
Liberal17,603
Still Conservative by 8,842 votes. Actual margin: 8,842.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 56.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative53.4%52.7%−0.7
Liberal34.5%36.4%+1.9
New Democratic10.4%9.3%−1.1
People's1.7%1.6%−0.1
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Edmonton Manning and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 48018AB · 2025
Edmonton Manning
Ziad Aboultaif
Result
Conservative hold by 8,842
Turnout
61.2%
Population
112,175
Area
152 km²
Turnout, lowest first: 61.2% of 82,238 electors voted · 31st of 343 in Canada31stTurnout, lowest firstArea, smallest first: 152 km² · 150th of 343 in Canada150thArea, smallest firstWidth of the margin: Won by 17.8 points (8,842 votes) · 156th of 343 in Canada156thWidth of the margin
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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