The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 48018Alberta

Edmonton Manning

Edmonton Manning is a federal riding in Alberta. Ziad Aboultaif (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2015) represents Edmonton Manning. Ziad Aboultaif (Conservative) held Edmonton Manning for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 8,842 votes (17.8 points), with 53.1% of the vote. Blair-Marie Coles (Liberal) was second with 35.3%, on a turnout of 61.2% of 82,238 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Edmonton Manning on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Edmonton Manning

Ziad Aboultaif's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Ziad Aboultaif

Member of Parliament for Edmonton Manning

Conservative

MP since 2015-10-19 · 4 terms

Foreign Affairs and International Development committee

130 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Living Donor Recognition Medal Act.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Edmonton Manning, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 49,807 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Ziad Aboultaif	Conservative	26,445	53.1%
Blair-Marie Coles	Liberal	17,603	35.3%
Lesley Thompson	New Democratic	4,935	9.9%
Robert Bard	People's Party	824	1.7%

Ziad Aboultaif (Conservative) won Edmonton Manning on April 28, 2025 with 26,445 votes, 53.1% of the 49,807 valid votes. Blair-Marie Coles (Liberal) was second with 17,603 (35.3%), 8,842 votes and 17.8 points behind.

Of the 49,807 valid votes, Ziad Aboultaif (Conservative) took 53.1%, Blair-Marie Coles (Liberal) 35.3%, Lesley Thompson (New Democratic) 9.9% and Robert Bard (People's Party) 1.7%. Turnout was 61.2% of 82,238 electors: 50,312 ballots cast, 49,807 of them valid, for 4 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 12.3 (40.8% to 53.1%), the Liberals up 14.9 (20.4% to 35.3%), the New Democrats down 20.9 (30.8% to 9.9%) and the People's Party down 5.3 (7.0% to 1.7%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: a Conservative stronghold

The party first in Edmonton Manning at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Conservative53.6%by 26.3 points over the Liberals
2006Conservative59.0%by 40.5 points over the Liberals
2008Conservative41.4%by 20.5 points over the independents
2011Conservative47.5%by 24.9 points over the New Democrats
2015Conservative45.2%by 17.6 points over the Liberals
2019Conservative55.9%by 34.4 points over the Liberals
2021Conservative40.8%by 10.0 points over the New Democrats
2025Conservative53.1%by 17.8 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Conservative	53.6%	Liberal	26.3	carried, our estimate
2006	Conservative	59.0%	Liberal	40.5	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	41.4%	Independent	20.5	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	47.5%	New Democratic	24.9	carried, our estimate
2015	Conservative	45.2%	Liberal	17.6	carried, our estimate
2019	Conservative	55.9%	Liberal	34.4	carried, our estimate
2021	Conservative	40.8%	New Democratic	10.0	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	53.1%	Liberal	17.8	official result

The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 24.0 points over the next party. In 2025 the Conservatives took 53.1% of the vote here, 4.0 points above their average of 49.1% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (53.6%), 2006 (59.0%), 2008 (41.4%), 2011 (47.5%), 2015 (45.2%), 2019 (55.9%), 2021 (40.8%) and 2025 (53.1%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · Ziad Aboultaif, by 5,220 votes (10.6 pts)
2019 Conservative · Ziad Aboultaif, by 18,733 votes (34.4 pts)
2015 Conservative · Ziad Aboultaif, by 8,657 votes (17.6 pts)

In the old Edmonton Manning on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Edmonton Manning lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Edmonton Manning is

Population: 112,1752021 census
Area: 152km²
Density: 739people per km²
Electors: 82,238on the 2025 lists

Median age is 35.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest26th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 33.2% — about 1.9 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest88th highest of 343
Median total household income is $94,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest93rd highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 22.6% — about 80 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest125th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 70.6% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest164th lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.6% — about the same as the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest165th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Edmonton Manning, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old Edmonton Manning, but it is only 96% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

100.0%Edmonton Manning 99.8% of the area · 96% of it kept

0.0%Sturgeon River—Parkland 0.1% of the area · under 0.1% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Ziad Aboultaif	Conservative	26,445	53.1%	40.8%	+12.3
Blair-Marie Coles	Liberal	17,603	35.3%	20.4%	+14.9
Lesley Thompson	New Democratic	4,935	9.9%	30.8%	−20.9
Robert Bard	People's	824	1.7%	7.0%	−5.3

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

4,935 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 8,842-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

6 of 110

No poll ended in a tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (104) · ■ won by another party (6).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 4,422 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 8.9% of the 49,807 valid votes, 8.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 008,844

Conservative26,445

Liberal17,603

Still Conservative by 8,842 votes. Actual margin: 8,842.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 56.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 53.4%, the Liberals 34.5%, the New Democrats 10.4% and the People's Party 1.7%; in advance and special ballots, 52.7%, 36.4%, 9.3% and 1.6%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Edmonton Manning, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Conservative	53.4%	52.7%	−0.7
Liberal	34.5%	36.4%	+1.9
New Democratic	10.4%	9.3%	−1.1
People's Party	1.7%	1.6%	−0.1

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Edmonton Manning and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Edmonton Manning — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/edmonton-manning/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.