Conservative · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
Member: Indigenous and Northern Affairs
104 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 45% of today's Edmonton Northwest came from ridings other than the old St. Albert—Edmonton.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
54.7%St. Albert—Edmonton 54% of it kept
41.1%Edmonton West 40% of it kept
2.6%Edmonton Manning 2% of it kept
1.5%Edmonton Griesbach 3% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Billy Morin
Conservative
29,194
53.4% of valid votes
Margin
8,287
votes · +15.1 pts
Runner-up
Lindsey Machona
Liberal
20,907
38.3% of valid votes
Conservative 53.4% · Liberal 38.3% · New Democratic 6.6% · People's 1.1%
Turnout64.4% of 85,387 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Billy Morin
Conservative
29,194
53.4%
42.8%
+10.6
Lindsey Machona
Liberal
20,907
38.3%
22.7%
+15.6
Omar Abubakar
New Democratic
3,597
6.6%
27.5%
−20.9
Albert Carson
People's
593
1.1%
6.2%
−5.1
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Colleen Rice
Green
335
0.6%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
7.5 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
3,597 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 8,287-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
20 of 163
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (141) · ■ won by another party (20) · ▨ tied (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 4,144 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 7.6% of the 54,626 valid votes, 7.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative29,194
Liberal20,907
Still Conservative by 8,287 votes. Actual margin: 8,287.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 58.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative53.8%52.9%−0.9
Liberal37.1%39.9%+2.8
New Democratic7.2%5.7%−1.5
People's1.2%0.9%−0.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $101,000 — about 1.2 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest61st highest of 343
Median age is 36.4 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest37th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 29.3% — a little higher than the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest164th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 34.7% — about 2.0 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest79th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 78.0% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest83rd highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.4% — a little lower than the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest152nd lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Edmonton Northwest and its 6 neighbouring ridings.
Turnout, lowest firstArea, smallest firstLength of the ballot
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.