The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 59014British Columbia
Kamloops— Shuswap— Central Rockies
Kamloops—
Who represents Kamloops— Shuswap— Central Rockies
Mel Arnold
Member of Parliament for Kamloops—
Conservative
MP since · 4 terms
- Fisheries and Oceans committee
- Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
- Vice-Chair, Fisheries and Oceans committee
108 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Citizenship Act.
The 2025 result: Conservative hold
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mel Arnold | Conservative | 35,556 | 52.2% |
| Ken Robertson | Liberal | 26,529 | 39.0% |
| Phaedra Idzan | New Democratic | 3,730 | 5.5% |
| Owen Madden | Green | 1,639 | 2.4% |
| Other (1) | 602 | 0.9% |
Mel Arnold (Conservative) won Kamloops—
Of the 68,056 valid votes, Mel Arnold (Conservative) took 52.2%, Ken Robertson (Liberal) 39.0%, Phaedra Idzan (New Democratic) 5.5% and Owen Madden (Green) 2.4%; one other candidate took 0.9%. Turnout was 73.7% of 92,788 electors: 68,376 ballots cast, 68,056 of them valid, for 5 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 7.4 (44.8% to 52.2%), the Liberals up 22.5 (16.5% to 39.0%), the New Democrats down 19.4 (24.9% to 5.5%) and the Greens down 2.7 (5.1% to 2.4%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: held by the Conservatives
The party first in Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Conservative45.5%by 20.8 points over the New Democrats
- 2006Conservative44.6%by 16.9 points over the New Democrats
- 2008Conservative51.3%by 26.6 points over the New Democrats
- 2011Conservative54.6%by 24.3 points over the New Democrats
- 2015Conservative37.8%by 9.1 points over the New Democrats
- 2019Conservative47.1%by 25.1 points over the Liberals
- 2021Conservative44.8%by 19.9 points over the New Democrats
- 2025Conservative52.2%by 13.2 points over the Liberals
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Conservative | 45.5% | New Democratic | 20.8 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Conservative | 44.6% | New Democratic | 16.9 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Conservative | 51.3% | New Democratic | 26.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | Conservative | 54.6% | New Democratic | 24.3 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | Conservative | 37.8% | New Democratic | 9.1 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Conservative | 47.1% | Liberal | 25.1 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Conservative | 44.8% | New Democratic | 19.9 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Conservative | 52.2% | Liberal | 13.2 | official result |
The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 19.5 points over the next party, short of the 20 a stronghold needs. In 2025 the Conservatives took 52.2% of the vote here, 5.7 points above their average of 46.5% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (45.5%), 2006 (44.6%), 2008 (51.3%), 2011 (54.6%), 2015 (37.8%), 2019 (47.1%), 2021 (44.8%) and 2025 (52.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 23 of the 343 ridings are held without being strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.
- 2021 Conservative · Mel Arnold, by 19,697 votes (27.2 pts)
- 2019 Conservative · Mel Arnold, by 19,371 votes (26.2 pts)
- 2015 Conservative · Mel Arnold, by 6,541 votes (9.4 pts)
In North Okanagan—Shuswap on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Kamloops— Shuswap— Central Rockies is
- Population
- 109,2202021 census
- Area
- 33,574km²
- Density
- 3.3people per km²
- Electors
- 92,788on the 2025 lists
- Median age is 47.2 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest47th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 78.8% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest70th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 9.5% — about 55 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest108th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 21.1% — about 75 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest109th lowest of 343
- Median total household income is $81,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest160th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.6% — about the same as the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest165th highest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 57% of the 2025 electors in today's Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies lived in the old North Okanagan—Shuswap; by area, 71% of the riding came from the old Kootenay—Columbia.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mel Arnold | Conservative | 35,556 | 52.2% | 44.8% | +7.4 |
| Ken Robertson | Liberal | 26,529 | 39.0% | 16.5% | +22.5 |
| Phaedra Idzan | New Democratic | 3,730 | 5.5% | 24.9% | −19.4 |
| Owen Madden | Green | 1,639 | 2.4% | 5.1% | −2.7 |
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
| John Michael Henry | People's | 602 | 0.9% |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 4,514 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 6.6% of the 68,056 valid votes, 6.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 50.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Conservatives took 54.7%, the Liberals 35.5%, the New Democrats 5.8%, the Greens 2.9% and the People's Party 1.1%; in advance and special ballots, 49.8%, 42.5%, 5.1%, 1.9% and 0.6%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 54.7% | 49.8% | −4.9 |
| Liberal | 35.5% | 42.5% | +7.0 |
| New Democratic | 5.8% | 5.1% | −0.7 |
| Green | 2.9% | 1.9% | −1.0 |
| People's Party | 1.1% | 0.6% | −0.5 |