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The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 59013British Columbia

Fleetwood—Port Kells

Fleetwood—Port Kells is a federal riding in British Columbia. Gurbux Saini (Liberal) has represented Fleetwood—Port Kells since the 2025 election. Gurbux Saini (Liberal) held Fleetwood—Port Kells for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 1,811 votes (3.7 points), with 47.9% of the vote. Sukh Pandher (Conservative) was second with 44.2%, on a turnout of 63.7% of 76,806 electors. Member as of .

Cloverdale—Langley City · ConservativeLangley Township—Fraser Heights · ConservativeSurrey Centre · LiberalSurrey Newton · LiberalFleetwood—Port Kells
Fig. 1 — Fleetwood—Port Kells on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents Fleetwood—Port Kells

LGurbux Saini
Gurbux Saini's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Gurbux Saini

Member of Parliament for Fleetwood—Port Kells

Liberal

MP since · first term

  • Human Resources, Skills and Social Development and the Status of Persons with Disabilities committee
  • Library of Parliament committee
  • Natural Resources committee

35 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on National Framework for Food Price Transparency Act.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Fleetwood—Port Kells, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Fleetwood—Port Kells, April 28, 2025Of the 48,533 valid votes, Gurbux Saini (Liberal) took 47.9%, Sukh Pandher (Conservative) 44.2%, Shannon Permal (New Democratic) 5.9% and John Hetherington (People's Party) 1.0%; one other candidate took 0.9%.2025Turnout 63.7% of 76,806 electorsGurbux SainiLiberal47.9% · 23,2501,811 votes ahead · 3.7 ptsSukh PandherConservative44.2% · 21,439Shannon PermalNew Democratic5.9% · 2,885John HetheringtonPeople's Party1.0% · 499Other (1)0.9% · 460050%100%
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Fleetwood—Port Kells, April 28, 2025Of the 48,533 valid votes, Gurbux Saini (Liberal) took 47.9%, Sukh Pandher (Conservative) 44.2%, Shannon Permal (New Democratic) 5.9% and John Hetherington (People's Party) 1.0%; one other candidate took 0.9%.2025Turnout 63.7% of 76,806 electorsGurbux SainiLiberal47.9% · 23,2501,811 votes ahead · 3.7 ptsSukh PandherConservative44.2% · 21,439Shannon PermalNew Democratic5.9% · 2,885John HetheringtonPeople's Party1.0% · 499Other (1)0.9% · 460050%100%
Shares of the 48,533 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Gurbux SainiLiberal23,25047.9%
Sukh PandherConservative21,43944.2%
Shannon PermalNew Democratic2,8855.9%
John HetheringtonPeople's Party4991.0%
Other (1)4600.9%

Gurbux Saini (Liberal) won Fleetwood—Port Kells on with 23,250 votes, 47.9% of the 48,533 valid votes. Sukh Pandher (Conservative) was second with 21,439 (44.2%), 1,811 votes and 3.7 points behind.

Of the 48,533 valid votes, Gurbux Saini (Liberal) took 47.9%, Sukh Pandher (Conservative) 44.2%, Shannon Permal (New Democratic) 5.9% and John Hetherington (People's Party) 1.0%; one other candidate took 0.9%. Turnout was 63.7% of 76,806 electors: 48,937 ballots cast, 48,533 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 2.4 (45.5% to 47.9%), the Conservatives up 15.9 (28.3% to 44.2%), the New Democrats down 14.2 (20.1% to 5.9%) and the People's Party down 1.9 (2.9% to 1.0%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Fleetwood—Port Kells at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

  1. 2004Conservative32.0%by 4.7 points over the New Democrats
  2. 2006Conservative32.5%by 2.9 points over the Liberals
  3. 2008Conservative43.8%by 18.9 points over the New Democrats
  4. 2011Conservative45.6%by 11.7 points over the New Democrats
  5. 2015changed handsLiberal46.7%by 18.1 points over the Conservatives
  6. 2019Liberal37.5%by 4.3 points over the Conservatives
  7. 2021Liberal45.5%by 17.2 points over the Conservatives
  8. 2025Liberal47.9%by 3.7 points over the Conservatives
Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.
The figures
YearFirstShareSecondMargin (pts)Basis
2004Conservative32.0%New Democratic4.7carried, our estimate
2006Conservative32.5%Liberal2.9carried, our estimate
2008Conservative43.8%New Democratic18.9carried, our estimate
2011Conservative45.6%New Democratic11.7carried, our estimate
2015Liberal46.7%Conservative18.1carried, our estimate
2019Liberal37.5%Conservative4.3carried, our estimate
2021Liberal45.5%Conservative17.2transposed by Elections Canada
2025Liberal47.9%Conservative3.7official result

The Conservatives were first at four of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at four; it changed hands once. In 2025 the Liberals took 47.9% of the vote here, 15.4 points above their average of 32.5% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (32.0%), 2006 (32.5%), 2008 (43.8%) and 2011 (45.6%) and the Liberals in 2015 (46.7%), 2019 (37.5%), 2021 (45.5%) and 2025 (47.9%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025
  • 2021 Liberal · Ken Hardie, by 6,797 votes (14.4 pts)
  • 2019 Liberal · Ken Hardie, by 1,883 votes (3.8 pts)
  • 2015 Liberal · Ken Hardie, by 8,596 votes (17.6 pts)

In the old Fleetwood—Port Kells on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Fleetwood—Port Kells lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Fleetwood—Port Kells is

Population
117,4202021 census
Area
53km²
Density
2,199people per km²
Electors
76,806on the 2025 lists
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Decided before election day: On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 34327
    Decided before election day
    On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.4% — about 25 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest12th lowest of 343
  • Share who are immigrants is 51.6% — about 3.0 times the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest26th highest of 343
  • Median total household income is $98,000 — about 1.2 times the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest76th highest of 343
  • Median age is 39.2 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest96th lowest of 343
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 33.7% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest130th highest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 70.3% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest157th lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 91% of the 2025 electors in today's Fleetwood—Port Kells lived in the old Fleetwood—Port Kells; by area, 15% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
90.8%Fleetwood—Port Kells 85.0% of the area · 61% of it kept
7.6%Surrey Centre 2.5% of the area · 3% of it kept
1.7%Cloverdale—Langley City 12.5% of the area · 11% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Gurbux SainiLiberal23,25047.9%45.5%+2.4
Sukh PandherConservative21,43944.2%28.3%+15.9
Shannon PermalNew Democratic2,8855.9%20.1%−14.2
John HetheringtonPeople's4991.0%2.9%−1.9
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Murali KrishnanGreen4600.9%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
2,885 votes
New Democratic took more than the 1,811-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
72 of 148
5 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (71) · ■ won by another party (72) · ▨ tied (5).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 906 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 1.9% of the 48,533 valid votes, 1.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal23,250
Conservative21,439
Still Liberal by 1,811 votes. Actual margin: 1,811.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 45.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.

On election day the Liberals took 45.6%, the Conservatives 45.8% and the New Democrats 6.4%; in advance and special ballots, 49.9%, 42.8% and 5.5%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Fleetwood—Port Kells, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Fleetwood—Port Kells, April 28, 2025On election day the Liberals took 45.6%, the Conservatives 45.8% and the New Democrats 6.4%; in advance and special ballots, 49.9%, 42.8% and 5.5%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapLiberal45.6%49.9%+4.3 ptsConservative45.8%42.8%−3.0 ptsNew Democratic6.4%5.5%−0.9 pts050%100%
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Fleetwood—Port Kells, April 28, 2025On election day the Liberals took 45.6%, the Conservatives 45.8% and the New Democrats 6.4%; in advance and special ballots, 49.9%, 42.8% and 5.5%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapLiberal45.6%49.9%+4.3 ptsConservative45.8%42.8%−3.0 ptsNew Democratic6.4%5.5%−0.9 pts050%100%
Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
PartyElection dayAdvance and specialGap
Liberal45.6%49.9%+4.3
Conservative45.8%42.8%−3.0
New Democratic6.4%5.5%−0.9
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Fleetwood—Port Kells and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Fleetwood—Port Kells — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/fleetwood-port-kells/ Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.