The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Fleetwood—Port Kells

Federal riding · BC · No. 59013 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Fleetwood—Port Kells, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Gurbux Saini Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 1,811 votes
Turnout
63.7% of 76,806 electors
Population
117,420 2021 census
Area
53 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Decided before election day: On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 34327
    Decided before election day
    On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343
  • Closeness of the race: Won by 1,811 votes (3.7 pts) · 36th of 343 in Canada36th
    Closeness of the race
    Won by 1,811 votes (3.7 pts) · 36th of 343 in Canada
  • Turnout, lowest first: 63.7% of 76,806 electors voted · 61st of 343 in Canada61st
    Turnout, lowest first
    63.7% of 76,806 electors voted · 61st of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Gurbux Saini held the seat for the Liberals by 1,811 votes (+3.7 points).
  2. 15% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. On election day alone, the Conservatives led; advance and special ballots decided it.
  4. Share with French as a mother tongue is the 12th lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Gurbux Saini
Liberal · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
  • Member: Human Resources, Skills and Social Development and the Status of Persons with Disabilities
  • Member: Library of Parliament
  • Member: Natural Resources
32 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on National Framework for Food Price Transparency Act.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 15% of today's Fleetwood—Port Kells came from ridings other than the old Fleetwood—Port Kells.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
85.0%Fleetwood—Port Kells 61% of it kept
12.5%Cloverdale—Langley City 11% of it kept
2.5%Surrey Centre 3% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Gurbux Saini
Liberal
23,250
47.9% of valid votes
Margin
1,811
votes · +3.7 pts
Runner-up
Sukh Pandher
Conservative
21,439
44.2% of valid votes
Liberal 47.9% · Conservative 44.2% · New Democratic 5.9% · People's 1.0%
Turnout63.7% of 76,806 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Gurbux SainiLiberal23,25047.9%45.5%+2.4
Sukh PandherConservative21,43944.2%28.3%+15.9
Shannon PermalNew Democratic2,8855.9%20.1%−14.2
John HetheringtonPeople's4991.0%2.9%−1.9
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Murali KrishnanGreen4600.9%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
1.9 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,885 votes
New Democratic took more than the 1,811-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
72 of 148
5 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (71) · ■ won by another party (72) · ▨ tied (5).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 906 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 1.9% of the 48,533 valid votes, 1.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal23,250
Conservative21,439
Still Liberal by 1,811 votes. Actual margin: 1,811.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 45.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative45.8%42.8%−3.0
Liberal45.6%49.9%+4.3
New Democratic6.4%5.5%−0.9
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Fleetwood—Port Kells and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 59013BC · 2025
Fleetwood—Port Kells
Gurbux Saini
Result
Liberal hold by 1,811
Turnout
63.7%
Population
117,420
Area
53 km²
Decided before election day: On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 34327Decided before election dayCloseness of the race: Won by 1,811 votes (3.7 pts) · 36th of 343 in Canada36thCloseness of the raceTurnout, lowest first: 63.7% of 76,806 electors voted · 61st of 343 in Canada61stTurnout, lowest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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