The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Laurier—Sainte-Marie
Federal riding · QC · No. 24037 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Vacant
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 17,430 votes
- Turnout
- 64.0% of 82,797 electors
- Population
- 115,700 2021 census
- Area
- 21 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Most candidates on the ballot in Canada11 candidates stood · 2nd of 343
- Fewest home owners28.1% of households own their home, 3rd lowest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)
- Smallest households1.7 people per household, 5th lowest of 343 (Average household size, 2021 census)
- Lowest household incomeMedian household income $59,200, 8th lowest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)
In brief
- Steven Guilbeault held the seat for the Liberals by 17,430 votes (+33.3 points).
- 48% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 58.7% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share of households that own their home is the 3rd lowest of 343 ridings.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 48% of today's Laurier—Sainte-Marie came from ridings other than the old Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
52.0%Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs 28% of it kept
48.0%Laurier—Sainte-Marie 90% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Steven Guilbeault
Liberal
27,286
52.1% of valid votes
Margin
17,430
votes · +33.3 pts
Runner-up
Nimâ Machouf
New Democratic
9,856
18.8% of valid votes
Liberal 52.1% · New Democratic 18.8% · Bloc Québécois 15.4% · Conservative 9.2% · Green 2.8%
Turnout64.0% of 82,797 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Guilbeault | Liberal | 27,286 | 52.1% | 39.0% | +13.1 |
| Nimâ Machouf | New Democratic | 9,856 | 18.8% | 30.1% | −11.3 |
| Emmanuel Lapierre | Bloc Québécois | 8,079 | 15.4% | 19.9% | −4.5 |
| Mathieu Fournier | Conservative | 4,796 | 9.2% | 4.4% | +4.8 |
| Dylan Perceval-Maxwell | Green | 1,452 | 2.8% | 2.2% | +0.6 |
6 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Michel Labelle | Other | 269 | 0.5% |
| Eugène Duplessis | People's | 253 | 0.5% |
| Chantal Poulin | Other | 195 | 0.4% |
| Adrien Welsh | Other | 115 | 0.2% |
| Simon-Pierre Lauzon | Independent | 62 | 0.1% |
| Dimitri Mourkes | Independent | 38 | 0.1% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
16.6 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
8,079 votes
Bloc Québécois took fewer than the 17,430-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
4 of 173
No poll ended in a tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 8,716 voters switching from Liberal to New Democratic — 16.6% of the 52,401 valid votes, 16.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal27,286
New Democratic9,856
Still Liberal by 17,430 votes. Actual margin: 17,430.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 58.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal48.7%56.9%+8.2
New Democratic19.9%17.3%−2.6
Bloc Québécois15.7%15.0%−0.7
Conservative10.4%7.3%−3.1
Green3.4%1.9%−1.5
Other1.0%1.2%+0.2
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $59,200 — about 70 percent of the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest8th lowest of 343
- Median age is 35.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest26th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 60.2% — about 2.1 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest15th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 25.0% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest129th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 28.1% — about 39 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest3rd lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 62.7% — about 39.2 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest57th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 24037QC · 2025
Laurier—Sainte-Marie
- Result
- Liberal hold by 17,430
- Turnout
- 64.0%
- Population
- 115,700
- Area
- 21 km²
Most candidates on the ballot in CanadaFewest home ownersSmallest householdsLowest household income
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.