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The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35054Ontario

London—Fanshawe

London—Fanshawe is a federal riding in Ontario. Kurt Holman (Conservative) has represented London—Fanshawe since the 2025 election. Kurt Holman (Conservative) took London—Fanshawe from the New Democrats in the 2025 election by 5,886 votes (10.1 points), with 40.6% of the vote. Najam Naqvi (Liberal) was second with 30.5%, on a turnout of 63.3% of 93,354 electors. Member as of .

Elgin—St. Thomas—London South · ConservativeLondon Centre · LiberalLondon West · LiberalMiddlesex—London · ConservativeLondon—Fanshawe
Fig. 1 — London—Fanshawe on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents London—Fanshawe

CKurt Holman
Kurt Holman's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Kurt Holman

Member of Parliament for London—Fanshawe

Conservative

MP since · first term

  • Library of Parliament committee

132 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Canadian Space Launch Act.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative gain from the New Democrats

Share of the valid votes by candidate, London—Fanshawe, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by candidate, London—Fanshawe, April 28, 2025Of the 58,523 valid votes, Kurt Holman (Conservative) took 40.6%, Najam Naqvi (Liberal) 30.5%, Lindsay Mathyssen (New Democratic) 27.6% and Daniel Buta (People's Party) 1.3%.2025Turnout 63.3% of 93,354 electorsKurt HolmanConservative40.6% · 23,7495,886 votes ahead · 10.1 ptsNajam NaqviLiberal30.5% · 17,863Lindsay MathyssenNew Democratic27.6% · 16,135Daniel ButaPeople's Party1.3% · 776050%100%
Share of the valid votes by candidate, London—Fanshawe, April 28, 2025Of the 58,523 valid votes, Kurt Holman (Conservative) took 40.6%, Najam Naqvi (Liberal) 30.5%, Lindsay Mathyssen (New Democratic) 27.6% and Daniel Buta (People's Party) 1.3%.2025Turnout 63.3% of 93,354 electorsKurt HolmanConservative40.6% · 23,7495,886 votes ahead · 10.1 ptsNajam NaqviLiberal30.5% · 17,863Lindsay MathyssenNew Democratic27.6% · 16,135Daniel ButaPeople's Party1.3% · 776050%100%
Shares of the 58,523 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Kurt HolmanConservative23,74940.6%
Najam NaqviLiberal17,86330.5%
Lindsay MathyssenNew Democratic16,13527.6%
Daniel ButaPeople's Party7761.3%

Kurt Holman (Conservative) won London—Fanshawe on with 23,749 votes, 40.6% of the 58,523 valid votes. Najam Naqvi (Liberal) was second with 17,863 (30.5%), 5,886 votes and 10.1 points behind.

Of the 58,523 valid votes, Kurt Holman (Conservative) took 40.6%, Najam Naqvi (Liberal) 30.5%, Lindsay Mathyssen (New Democratic) 27.6% and Daniel Buta (People's Party) 1.3%. Turnout was 63.3% of 93,354 electors: 59,119 ballots cast, 58,523 of them valid, for 4 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 16.6 (24.0% to 40.6%), the Liberals up 7.7 (22.8% to 30.5%), the New Democrats down 15.5 (43.1% to 27.6%) and the People's Party down 7.8 (9.1% to 1.3%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in London—Fanshawe at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

  1. 2004Liberal38.3%by 8.9 points over the New Democrats
  2. 2006†changed handsNew Democratic33.2%by 0.2 points over the Liberals
  3. 2008New Democratic40.4%by 8.8 points over the Conservatives
  4. 2011New Democratic48.1%by 13.6 points over the Conservatives
  5. 2015New Democratic37.8%by 6.4 points over the Liberals
  6. 2019New Democratic40.8%by 13.9 points over the Liberals
  7. 2021New Democratic43.1%by 19.0 points over the Conservatives
  8. 2025changed handsConservative40.6%by 10.1 points over the Liberals
Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.
The figures
YearFirstShareSecondMargin (pts)Basis
2004Liberal38.3%New Democratic8.9carried, our estimate
2006†New Democratic33.2%Liberal0.2carried, our estimate
2008New Democratic40.4%Conservative8.8carried, our estimate
2011New Democratic48.1%Conservative13.6carried, our estimate
2015New Democratic37.8%Liberal6.4carried, our estimate
2019New Democratic40.8%Liberal13.9carried, our estimate
2021New Democratic43.1%Conservative19.0transposed by Elections Canada
2025Conservative40.6%Liberal10.1official result

The NDP were first at six of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at one and the Conservatives at one; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Conservatives took 40.6% of the vote here, 12.2 points above their average of 28.4% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (38.3%), the NDP in 2006 (33.2%), 2008 (40.4%), 2011 (48.1%), 2015 (37.8%), 2019 (40.8%) and 2021 (43.1%) and the Conservatives in 2025 (40.6%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2006 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025
  • 2021 New Democratic · Lindsay Mathyssen, by 9,850 votes (19.1 pts)
  • 2019 New Democratic · Lindsay Mathyssen, by 7,747 votes (13.9 pts)
  • 2015 New Democratic · Irene Mathyssen, by 3,470 votes (6.4 pts)

In the old London—Fanshawe on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's London—Fanshawe lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place London—Fanshawe is

Population
126,2852021 census
Area
115km²
Density
1,096people per km²
Electors
93,354on the 2025 lists
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 19.1% — about 68 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest81st lowest of 343
  • Median age is 38.8 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest89th lowest of 343
  • Median total household income is $74,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest92nd lowest of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.1% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest112th lowest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 66.9% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest121st lowest of 343
  • Share who are immigrants is 24.7% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest130th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's London—Fanshawe, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old London—Fanshawe, but it is only 93% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
100.0%London—Fanshawe 100.0% of the area · 93% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Kurt HolmanConservative23,74940.6%24.0%+16.6
Najam NaqviLiberal17,86330.5%22.8%+7.7
Lindsay MathyssenNew Democratic16,13527.6%43.1%−15.5
Daniel ButaPeople's7761.3%9.1%−7.8
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
16,135 votes
New Democratic took more than the 5,886-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
24 of 205
4 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (177) · ■ won by another party (24) · ▨ tied (4).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,944 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 5.0% of the 58,523 valid votes, 5.0 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative23,749
Liberal17,863
Still Conservative by 5,886 votes. Actual margin: 5,886.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 59.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 42.6%, the Liberals 28.9%, the New Democrats 27.1% and the People's Party 1.5%; in advance and special ballots, 37.7%, 32.9%, 28.3% and 1.1%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, London—Fanshawe, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, London—Fanshawe, April 28, 2025On election day the Conservatives took 42.6%, the Liberals 28.9%, the New Democrats 27.1% and the People's Party 1.5%; in advance and special ballots, 37.7%, 32.9%, 28.3% and 1.1%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapConservative42.6%37.7%−4.9 ptsLiberal28.9%32.9%+4.0 ptsNew Democratic27.1%28.3%+1.2 ptsPeople's Party1.5%1.1%−0.4 pts050%100%
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, London—Fanshawe, April 28, 2025On election day the Conservatives took 42.6%, the Liberals 28.9%, the New Democrats 27.1% and the People's Party 1.5%; in advance and special ballots, 37.7%, 32.9%, 28.3% and 1.1%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapConservative42.6%37.7%−4.9 ptsLiberal28.9%32.9%+4.0 ptsNew Democratic27.1%28.3%+1.2 ptsPeople's Party1.5%1.1%−0.4 pts050%100%
Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
PartyElection dayAdvance and specialGap
Conservative42.6%37.7%−4.9
Liberal28.9%32.9%+4.0
New Democratic27.1%28.3%+1.2
People's Party1.5%1.1%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — London—Fanshawe and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"London—Fanshawe — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/london-fanshawe/ Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.