The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
London—Fanshawe
Federal riding · ON · No. 35054 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Kurt Holman Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative gain by 5,886 votes
- Turnout
- 63.3% of 93,354 electors
- Population
- 126,285 2021 census
- Area
- 115 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)
- Population, largest first126,285 people, 2021 census · 20th of 343 in Canada
- Turnout, lowest first63.3% of 93,354 electors voted · 52nd of 343 in Canada
In brief
- Kurt Holman took the seat for the Conservatives by 5,886 votes (+10.1 points).
- The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 93% of the old London—Fanshawe.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 59.0% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 81st lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Kurt Holman
- Member: Library of Parliament
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's London—Fanshawe comes from the old London—Fanshawe, but it is only 93% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%London—Fanshawe 93% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative gain
Elected
Kurt Holman
Conservative
23,749
40.6% of valid votes
Margin
5,886
votes · +10.1 pts
Runner-up
Najam Naqvi
Liberal
17,863
30.5% of valid votes
Conservative 40.6% · Liberal 30.5% · New Democratic 27.6% · People's 1.3%
Turnout63.3% of 93,354 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Holman | Conservative | 23,749 | 40.6% | 24.0% | +16.6 |
| Najam Naqvi | Liberal | 17,863 | 30.5% | 22.8% | +7.7 |
| Lindsay Mathyssen | New Democratic | 16,135 | 27.6% | 43.1% | −15.5 |
| Daniel Buta | People's | 776 | 1.3% | 9.1% | −7.8 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
5.0 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
16,135 votes
New Democratic took more than the 5,886-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
24 of 205
4 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 2,944 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 5.0% of the 58,523 valid votes, 5.0 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative23,749
Liberal17,863
Still Conservative by 5,886 votes. Actual margin: 5,886.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 59.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative42.6%37.7%−4.9
Liberal28.9%32.9%+4.0
New Democratic27.1%28.3%+1.2
People's1.5%1.1%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $74,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest92nd lowest of 343
- Median age is 38.8 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest89th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 19.1% — about 68 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest81st lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 24.7% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest130th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 66.9% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest121st lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.1% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest112th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 35054ON · 2025
London—Fanshawe
Kurt Holman
- Result
- Conservative gain by 5,886
- Turnout
- 63.3%
- Population
- 126,285
- Area
- 115 km²
Changed hands in 2025Population, largest firstTurnout, lowest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.