The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 59018British Columbia

Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford

Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford is a federal riding in British Columbia. Brad Vis (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2019) represents Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford. Brad Vis (Conservative) held Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 11,953 votes (20.1 points), with 56.7% of the vote. Jeff Howe (Liberal) was second with 36.6%, on a turnout of 70.2% of 85,337 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford

Brad Vis's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Brad Vis

Member of Parliament for Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford

Conservative

MP since 2019-10-21 · 3 terms

287 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Small Business.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 59,599 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Brad Vis	Conservative	33,791	56.7%
Jeff Howe	Liberal	21,838	36.6%
Jules Côté	New Democratic	2,745	4.6%
John Kidder	Green	723	1.2%
Other (1)		502	0.8%

Brad Vis (Conservative) won Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford on April 28, 2025 with 33,791 votes, 56.7% of the 59,599 valid votes. Jeff Howe (Liberal) was second with 21,838 (36.6%), 11,953 votes and 20.1 points behind.

Of the 59,599 valid votes, Brad Vis (Conservative) took 56.7%, Jeff Howe (Liberal) 36.6%, Jules Côté (New Democratic) 4.6% and John Kidder (Green) 1.2%; one other candidate took 0.8%. Turnout was 70.2% of 85,337 electors: 59,945 ballots cast, 59,599 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 9.9 (46.8% to 56.7%), the Liberals up 12.5 (24.1% to 36.6%), the New Democrats down 13.3 (17.9% to 4.6%) and the Greens down 2.5 (3.7% to 1.2%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: a Conservative stronghold

The party first in Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Conservative53.1%by 32.6 points over the New Democrats
2006Conservative55.0%by 31.7 points over the New Democrats
2008Conservative59.4%by 39.1 points over the New Democrats
2011Conservative60.9%by 35.1 points over the New Democrats
2015Conservative39.7%by 4.0 points over the Liberals
2019Conservative45.6%by 20.7 points over the Liberals
2021Conservative46.8%by 22.7 points over the Liberals
2025Conservative56.7%by 20.1 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Conservative	53.1%	New Democratic	32.6	carried, our estimate
2006	Conservative	55.0%	New Democratic	31.7	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	59.4%	New Democratic	39.1	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	60.9%	New Democratic	35.1	carried, our estimate
2015	Conservative	39.7%	Liberal	4.0	carried, our estimate
2019	Conservative	45.6%	Liberal	20.7	carried, our estimate
2021	Conservative	46.8%	Liberal	22.7	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	56.7%	Liberal	20.1	official result

The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 25.8 points over the next party. In 2025 the Conservatives took 56.7% of the vote here, 5.2 points above their average of 51.5% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (53.1%), 2006 (55.0%), 2008 (59.4%), 2011 (60.9%), 2015 (39.7%), 2019 (45.6%), 2021 (46.8%) and 2025 (56.7%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · Brad Vis, by 8,310 votes (19.3 pts)
2019 Conservative · Brad Vis, by 7,236 votes (15.7 pts)
2015 Liberal · Jati Sidhu, by 1,038 votes (2.3 pts)

In Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford is

Population: 118,5452021 census
Area: 4,814km²
Density: 25people per km²
Electors: 85,337on the 2025 lists

Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.6% — about 37 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest30th lowest of 343
Median total household income is $105,000 — about 1.3 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest47th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 78.5% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest74th highest of 343
Median age is 39.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest105th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 21.7% — about 77 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest115th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 23.1% — about 1.3 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest138th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 64% of the 2025 electors in today's Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford lived in the old Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon; by area, 3% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

63.9%Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon 97.0% of the area · 21% of it kept

34.6%Abbotsford 2.5% of the area · 70% of it kept

1.5%Langley—Aldergrove 0.5% of the area · 6% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Brad Vis	Conservative	33,791	56.7%	46.8%	+9.9
Jeff Howe	Liberal	21,838	36.6%	24.1%	+12.5
Jules Côté	New Democratic	2,745	4.6%	17.9%	−13.3
John Kidder	Green	723	1.2%	3.7%	−2.5

1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote

Kevin Sinclair

People's

502

0.8%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

2,745 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 11,953-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

9 of 190

1 poll ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (180) · ■ won by another party (9) · ▨ tied (1).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 5,977 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 10.0% of the 59,599 valid votes, 10.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0011,954

Conservative33,791

Liberal21,838

Still Conservative by 11,953 votes. Actual margin: 11,953.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 53.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 58.2%, the Liberals 34.2%, the New Democrats 5.2%, the Greens 1.4% and the People's Party 1.0%; in advance and special ballots, 55.0%, 39.5%, 3.9%, 1.0% and 0.7%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Conservative	58.2%	55.0%	−3.2
Liberal	34.2%	39.5%	+5.3
New Democratic	5.2%	3.9%	−1.3
Green	1.4%	1.0%	−0.4
People's Party	1.0%	0.7%	−0.3

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/mission-matsqui-abbotsford/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.