The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford
Federal riding · BC · No. 59018 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Brad Vis Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 11,953 votes
- Turnout
- 70.2% of 85,337 electors
- Population
- 118,545 2021 census
- Area
- 4,814 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Population, largest first118,545 people, 2021 census · 83rd of 343 in Canada
- Area, largest first4,814 km² · 93rd of 343 in Canada
- Width of the marginWon by 20.1 points (11,953 votes) · 137th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Brad Vis
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 3% of today's Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford came from ridings other than the old Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
97.0%Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon 21% of it kept
2.5%Abbotsford 70% of it kept
0.5%Langley—Aldergrove 6% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Brad Vis
Conservative
33,791
56.7% of valid votes
Margin
11,953
votes · +20.1 pts
Runner-up
Jeff Howe
Liberal
21,838
36.6% of valid votes
Conservative 56.7% · Liberal 36.6% · New Democratic 4.6% · Green 1.2%
Turnout70.2% of 85,337 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Vis | Conservative | 33,791 | 56.7% | 46.8% | +9.9 |
| Jeff Howe | Liberal | 21,838 | 36.6% | 24.1% | +12.5 |
| Jules Côté | New Democratic | 2,745 | 4.6% | 17.9% | −13.3 |
| John Kidder | Green | 723 | 1.2% | 3.7% | −2.5 |
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
| Kevin Sinclair | People's | 502 | 0.8% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
10.1 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,745 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 11,953-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
9 of 190
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 5,977 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 10.0% of the 59,599 valid votes, 10.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative33,791
Liberal21,838
Still Conservative by 11,953 votes. Actual margin: 11,953.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 53.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative58.2%55.0%−3.2
Liberal34.2%39.5%+5.3
New Democratic5.2%3.9%−1.3
Green1.4%1.0%−0.4
People's1.0%0.7%−0.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $105,000 — about 1.3 times the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest47th highest of 343
- Median age is 39.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest105th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 21.7% — about 77 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest115th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 23.1% — about 1.3 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest138th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 78.5% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest74th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.6% — about 37 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest30th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 59018BC · 2025
Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford
Brad Vis
- Result
- Conservative hold by 11,953
- Turnout
- 70.2%
- Population
- 118,545
- Area
- 4,814 km²
Population, largest firstArea, largest firstWidth of the margin
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.