The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 59019British Columbia
Nanaimo— Ladysmith
Nanaimo—
Who represents Nanaimo— Ladysmith
Tamara Kronis
Member of Parliament for Nanaimo—
Conservative
MP since · first term
- Subcommittee on International Human Rights
302 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.
The 2025 result: Conservative gain from the New Democrats
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Nanaimo—Ladysmith, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tamara Kronis | Conservative | 26,381 | 35.5% |
| Michelle Corfield | Liberal | 20,656 | 27.8% |
| Lisa Marie Barron | New Democratic | 13,586 | 18.3% |
| Paul Manly | Green | 13,485 | 18.1% |
| Other (1) | 289 | 0.4% |
Tamara Kronis (Conservative) won Nanaimo—
Of the 74,397 valid votes, Tamara Kronis (Conservative) took 35.5%, Michelle Corfield (Liberal) 27.8%, Lisa Marie Barron (New Democratic) 18.3% and Paul Manly (Green) 18.1%; one other candidate took 0.4%. Turnout was 72.6% of 102,856 electors: 74,658 ballots cast, 74,397 of them valid, for 5 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 9.0 (26.5% to 35.5%), the Liberals up 14.7 (13.1% to 27.8%), the New Democrats down 11.0 (29.3% to 18.3%) and the Greens down 7.7 (25.8% to 18.1%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: no party has held it
The party first in Nanaimo—Ladysmith at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004New Democratic39.3%by 4.1 points over the Conservatives
- 2006New Democratic41.1%by 5.4 points over the Conservatives
- 2008†changed handsConservative41.1%by 1.1 points over the New Democrats
- 2011changed handsNew Democratic44.8%by 3.4 points over the Conservatives
- 2015New Democratic33.2%by 9.7 points over the Liberals
- 2019changed handsGreen34.6%by 8.7 points over the Conservatives
- 2021changed handsNew Democratic29.3%by 2.8 points over the Conservatives
- 2025changed handsConservative35.5%by 7.7 points over the Liberals
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | New Democratic | 39.3% | Conservative | 4.1 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | New Democratic | 41.1% | Conservative | 5.4 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008† | Conservative | 41.1% | New Democratic | 1.1 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | New Democratic | 44.8% | Conservative | 3.4 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | New Democratic | 33.2% | Liberal | 9.7 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Green | 34.6% | Conservative | 8.7 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | New Democratic | 29.3% | Conservative | 2.8 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Conservative | 35.5% | Liberal | 7.7 | official result |
The NDP were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at two and the Greens at one; it changed hands five times. In 2025 the Conservatives took 35.5% of the vote here, 2.7 points above their average of 32.8% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the NDP were first here in 2004 (39.3%), 2006 (41.1%), 2011 (44.8%), 2015 (33.2%) and 2021 (29.3%), the Conservatives in 2008 (41.1%) and 2025 (35.5%) and the Greens in 2019 (34.6%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2008 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.
- 2021 New Democratic · Lisa Marie Barron, by 1,199 votes (1.7 pts)
- 2019 Green · Paul Manly, by 6,210 votes (8.7 pts)
- 2015 New Democratic · Sheila Malcolmson, by 6,898 votes (9.7 pts)
In the old Nanaimo—Ladysmith on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Nanaimo—Ladysmith lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Nanaimo— Ladysmith is
- Population
- 122,8552021 census
- Area
- 2,745km²
- Density
- 45people per km²
- Electors
- 102,856on the 2025 lists
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (14 of 43 in British Columbia)
- Median age is 46.8 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest53rd highest of 343
- Median total household income is $76,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest104th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.2% — about 75 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest126th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 70.2% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest156th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 26.3% — a little lower than the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest157th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 14.5% — about 84 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest160th lowest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Nanaimo—Ladysmith, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old Nanaimo—Ladysmith, but it is only 99% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamara Kronis | Conservative | 26,381 | 35.5% | 26.5% | +9.0 |
| Michelle Corfield | Liberal | 20,656 | 27.8% | 13.1% | +14.7 |
| Lisa Marie Barron | New Democratic | 13,586 | 18.3% | 29.3% | −11.0 |
| Paul Manly | Green | 13,485 | 18.1% | 25.8% | −7.7 |
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
| Stephen Welton | People's | 289 | 0.4% |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 2,863 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 3.8% of the 74,397 valid votes, 3.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 47.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Conservatives took 35.4%, the Liberals 22.8%, the New Democrats 19.3% and the Greens 22.0%; in advance and special ballots, 35.5%, 32.3%, 17.3% and 14.6%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Nanaimo—Ladysmith, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 35.4% | 35.5% | +0.1 |
| Liberal | 22.8% | 32.3% | +9.5 |
| New Democratic | 19.3% | 17.3% | −2.0 |
| Green | 22.0% | 14.6% | −7.4 |