Conservative · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
Member: Subcommittee on International Human Rights
247 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Nanaimo—Ladysmith comes from the old Nanaimo—Ladysmith, but it is only 99% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Nanaimo—Ladysmith 99% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative gain
Elected
Tamara Kronis
Conservative
26,381
35.5% of valid votes
Margin
5,725
votes · +7.7 pts
Runner-up
Michelle Corfield
Liberal
20,656
27.8% of valid votes
Conservative 35.5% · Liberal 27.8% · New Democratic 18.3% · Green 18.1%
Turnout72.6% of 102,856 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Tamara Kronis
Conservative
26,381
35.5%
26.5%
+9.0
Michelle Corfield
Liberal
20,656
27.8%
13.1%
+14.7
Lisa Marie Barron
New Democratic
13,586
18.3%
29.3%
−11.0
Paul Manly
Green
13,485
18.1%
25.8%
−7.7
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Stephen Welton
People's
289
0.4%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
3.9 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
13,586 votes
New Democratic took more than the 5,725-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
33 of 172
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (136) · ■ won by another party (33) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 2,863 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 3.8% of the 74,397 valid votes, 3.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative26,381
Liberal20,656
Still Conservative by 5,725 votes. Actual margin: 5,725.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 47.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative35.4%35.5%+0.1
Liberal22.8%32.3%+9.5
Green22.0%14.6%−7.4
New Democratic19.3%17.3%−2.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $76,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest104th lowest of 343
Median age is 46.8 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest53rd highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 26.3% — a little lower than the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest157th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 14.5% — about 84 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest160th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 70.2% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest156th lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.2% — about 75 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest126th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Nanaimo—Ladysmith and its 4 neighbouring ridings.
Changed hands in 2025Population, largest firstTurnout
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.