The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Nanaimo—Ladysmith

Federal riding · BC · No. 59019 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Nanaimo—Ladysmith, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Tamara Kronis Conservative
2025 result
Conservative gain by 5,725 votes
Turnout
72.6% of 102,856 electors
Population
122,855 2021 census
Area
2,745 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (14 of 43 in British Columbia)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (14 of 43 in British Columbia)
  • Population, largest first: 122,855 people, 2021 census · 40th of 343 in Canada40th
    Population, largest first
    122,855 people, 2021 census · 40th of 343 in Canada
  • Turnout: 72.6% of 102,856 electors voted · 85th of 343 in Canada85th
    Turnout
    72.6% of 102,856 electors voted · 85th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Tamara Kronis took the seat for the Conservatives by 5,725 votes (+7.7 points).
  2. The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 99% of the old Nanaimo—Ladysmith.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 47.7% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median age is the 53rd highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Tamara Kronis
Conservative · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
  • Member: Subcommittee on International Human Rights
247 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Nanaimo—Ladysmith comes from the old Nanaimo—Ladysmith, but it is only 99% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Nanaimo—Ladysmith 99% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative gain
Elected
Tamara Kronis
Conservative
26,381
35.5% of valid votes
Margin
5,725
votes · +7.7 pts
Runner-up
Michelle Corfield
Liberal
20,656
27.8% of valid votes
Conservative 35.5% · Liberal 27.8% · New Democratic 18.3% · Green 18.1%
Turnout72.6% of 102,856 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Tamara KronisConservative26,38135.5%26.5%+9.0
Michelle CorfieldLiberal20,65627.8%13.1%+14.7
Lisa Marie BarronNew Democratic13,58618.3%29.3%−11.0
Paul ManlyGreen13,48518.1%25.8%−7.7
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Stephen WeltonPeople's2890.4%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
3.9 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
13,586 votes
New Democratic took more than the 5,725-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
33 of 172
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (136) · ■ won by another party (33) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,863 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 3.8% of the 74,397 valid votes, 3.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative26,381
Liberal20,656
Still Conservative by 5,725 votes. Actual margin: 5,725.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 47.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative35.4%35.5%+0.1
Liberal22.8%32.3%+9.5
Green22.0%14.6%−7.4
New Democratic19.3%17.3%−2.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Nanaimo—Ladysmith and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 59019BC · 2025
Nanaimo—Ladysmith
Tamara Kronis
Result
Conservative gain by 5,725
Turnout
72.6%
Population
122,855
Area
2,745 km²
Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (14 of 43 in British Columbia)58Changed hands in 2025Population, largest first: 122,855 people, 2021 census · 40th of 343 in Canada40thPopulation, largest firstTurnout: 72.6% of 102,856 electors voted · 85th of 343 in Canada85thTurnout
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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