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The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 59021British Columbia

North Island—Powell River

North Island—Powell River is a federal riding in British Columbia. Aaron Gunn (Conservative) has represented North Island—Powell River since the 2025 election. Aaron Gunn (Conservative) took North Island—Powell River from the New Democrats in the 2025 election by 4,999 votes (6.1 points), with 38.7% of the vote. Tanille Johnston (NDP) was second with 32.6%, on a turnout of 73.8% of 110,017 electors. Member as of .

Cariboo—Prince George—Omineca · ConservativeCourtenay—Alberni · New DemocraticKamloops—Thompson—Nicola · ConservativeSkeena—Bulkley Valley · ConservativeWest Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country · LiberalNorth Island—Powell River
Fig. 1 — North Island—Powell River on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents North Island—Powell River

CAaron Gunn
Aaron Gunn's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Aaron Gunn

Member of Parliament for North Island—Powell River

Conservative

MP since · first term

  • Exercise of Powers Under the Building Canada Act committee
  • Fisheries and Oceans committee

89 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Main Estimates, 2025-26.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative gain from the New Democrats

Share of the valid votes by candidate, North Island—Powell River, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by candidate, North Island—Powell River, April 28, 2025Of the 80,929 valid votes, Aaron Gunn (Conservative) took 38.7%, Tanille Johnston (New Democratic) 32.6%, Jennifer Lash (Liberal) 26.2% and Jessica Wegg (Green) 1.9%; the 2 other candidates took 0.6% together.2025Turnout 73.8% of 110,017 electorsAaron GunnConservative38.7% · 31,3564,999 votes ahead · 6.2 ptsTanille JohnstonNew Democratic32.6% · 26,357Jennifer LashLiberal26.2% · 21,218Jessica WeggGreen1.9% · 1,505Others (2)0.6% · 493050%100%
Share of the valid votes by candidate, North Island—Powell River, April 28, 2025Of the 80,929 valid votes, Aaron Gunn (Conservative) took 38.7%, Tanille Johnston (New Democratic) 32.6%, Jennifer Lash (Liberal) 26.2% and Jessica Wegg (Green) 1.9%; the 2 other candidates took 0.6% together.2025Turnout 73.8% of 110,017 electorsAaron GunnConservative38.7% · 31,3564,999 votes ahead · 6.2 ptsTanille JohnstonNew Democratic32.6% · 26,357Jennifer LashLiberal26.2% · 21,218Jessica WeggGreen1.9% · 1,505Others (2)0.6% · 493050%100%
Shares of the 80,929 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Aaron GunnConservative31,35638.7%
Tanille JohnstonNew Democratic26,35732.6%
Jennifer LashLiberal21,21826.2%
Jessica WeggGreen1,5051.9%
Others (2)4930.6%

Aaron Gunn (Conservative) won North Island—Powell River on with 31,356 votes, 38.7% of the 80,929 valid votes. Tanille Johnston (New Democratic) was second with 26,357 (32.6%), 4,999 votes and 6.1 points behind.

Of the 80,929 valid votes, Aaron Gunn (Conservative) took 38.7%, Tanille Johnston (New Democratic) 32.6%, Jennifer Lash (Liberal) 26.2% and Jessica Wegg (Green) 1.9%; the 2 other candidates took 0.6% together. Turnout was 73.8% of 110,017 electors: 81,240 ballots cast, 80,929 of them valid, for 6 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 2.7 (36.0% to 38.7%), the New Democrats down 6.6 (39.2% to 32.6%), the Liberals up 13.0 (13.2% to 26.2%) and the Greens down 3.9 (5.8% to 1.9%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in North Island—Powell River at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

  1. 2004Conservative35.4%by 2.7 points over the New Democrats
  2. 2006†Conservative40.0%by 1.3 points over the New Democrats
  3. 2008Conservative45.6%by 8.1 points over the New Democrats
  4. 2011Conservative46.0%by 5.8 points over the New Democrats
  5. 2015changed handsNew Democratic40.0%by 13.6 points over the Conservatives
  6. 2019New Democratic38.2%by 5.6 points over the Conservatives
  7. 2021New Democratic39.2%by 3.2 points over the Conservatives
  8. 2025changed handsConservative38.7%by 6.1 points over the New Democrats
Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.
The figures
YearFirstShareSecondMargin (pts)Basis
2004Conservative35.4%New Democratic2.7carried, our estimate
2006†Conservative40.0%New Democratic1.3carried, our estimate
2008Conservative45.6%New Democratic8.1carried, our estimate
2011Conservative46.0%New Democratic5.8carried, our estimate
2015New Democratic40.0%Conservative13.6carried, our estimate
2019New Democratic38.2%Conservative5.6carried, our estimate
2021New Democratic39.2%Conservative3.2transposed by Elections Canada
2025Conservative38.7%New Democratic6.1official result

The Conservatives were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the NDP at three; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Conservatives took 38.7% of the vote here, 1.3 points above their average of 37.4% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (35.4%), 2006 (40.0%), 2008 (45.6%), 2011 (46.0%) and 2025 (38.7%) and the NDP in 2015 (40.0%), 2019 (38.2%) and 2021 (39.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2006 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025
  • 2021 New Democratic · Rachel Blaney, by 2,163 votes (3.5 pts)
  • 2019 New Democratic · Rachel Blaney, by 3,332 votes (5.3 pts)
  • 2015 New Democratic · Rachel Blaney, by 8,500 votes (14.0 pts)

In the old North Island—Powell River on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's North Island—Powell River lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place North Island—Powell River is

Population
125,7752021 census
Area
72,389km²
Density
1.7people per km²
Electors
110,017on the 2025 lists
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Most populous in British Columbia: 125,775 people, 2021 census · 1st of 43 in British Columbia · 22nd of 343 in Canada1st
    Most populous in British Columbia
    125,775 people, 2021 census · 1st of 43 in British Columbia · 22nd of 343 in Canada
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (14 of 43 in British Columbia)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (14 of 43 in British Columbia)
  • Median age is 51.2 — about 1.2 times the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest17th highest of 343
  • Median total household income is $75,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest97th lowest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 76.8% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest99th highest of 343
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 20.5% — about 73 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest103rd lowest of 343
  • Share who are immigrants is 11.6% — about 67 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest132nd lowest of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.9% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest141st highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 89% of the 2025 electors in today's North Island—Powell River lived in the old North Island—Powell River; by area, nearly all of the riding came from it.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
89.4%North Island—Powell River 100.0% of the area
10.6%Courtenay—Alberni under 0.1% of the area · 0.2% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Aaron GunnConservative31,35638.7%36.0%+2.7
Tanille JohnstonNew Democratic26,35732.6%39.2%−6.6
Jennifer LashLiberal21,21826.2%13.2%+13.0
Jessica WeggGreen1,5051.9%5.8%−3.9
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Paul MacknightPeople's3410.4%
Glen StaplesIndependent1520.2%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
21,218 votes
Liberal took more than the 4,999-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
105 of 258
4 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (149) · ■ won by another party (105) · ▨ tied (4).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,500 voters switching from Conservative to New Democratic — 3.1% of the 80,929 valid votes, 3.0 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative31,356
New Democratic26,357
Still Conservative by 4,999 votes. Actual margin: 4,999.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 51.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 38.3%, the Liberals 22.9%, the New Democrats 35.8% and the Greens 2.3%; in advance and special ballots, 39.2%, 29.7%, 29.2% and 1.4%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, North Island—Powell River, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, North Island—Powell River, April 28, 2025On election day the Conservatives took 38.3%, the Liberals 22.9%, the New Democrats 35.8% and the Greens 2.3%; in advance and special ballots, 39.2%, 29.7%, 29.2% and 1.4%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapConservative38.3%39.2%+0.9 ptsLiberal22.9%29.7%+6.8 ptsNew Democratic35.8%29.2%−6.6 ptsGreen2.3%1.4%−0.9 pts050%100%
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, North Island—Powell River, April 28, 2025On election day the Conservatives took 38.3%, the Liberals 22.9%, the New Democrats 35.8% and the Greens 2.3%; in advance and special ballots, 39.2%, 29.7%, 29.2% and 1.4%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapConservative38.3%39.2%+0.9 ptsLiberal22.9%29.7%+6.8 ptsNew Democratic35.8%29.2%−6.6 ptsGreen2.3%1.4%−0.9 pts050%100%
Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
PartyElection dayAdvance and specialGap
Conservative38.3%39.2%+0.9
Liberal22.9%29.7%+6.8
New Democratic35.8%29.2%−6.6
Green2.3%1.4%−0.9
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — North Island—Powell River and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"North Island—Powell River — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/north-island-powell-river/ Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.