The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 59022British Columbia
North Vancouver— Capilano
North Vancouver—
Who represents North Vancouver— Capilano
Braeden Caley
Member of Parliament for North Vancouver—
Liberal
MP since the by-election of · first term
8 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Building Canada Strong Act.
The 2025 result: Liberal hold
Share of the valid votes by candidate, North Vancouver—Capilano, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Wilkinson | Liberal | 37,907 | 59.8% |
| Stephen Curran | Conservative | 21,339 | 33.7% |
| Tammy Bentz | New Democratic | 2,684 | 4.2% |
| Andrew Robinson | Green | 1,076 | 1.7% |
| Others (2) | 358 | 0.6% |
Jonathan Wilkinson (Liberal) won North Vancouver—
Of the 63,364 valid votes, Jonathan Wilkinson (Liberal) took 59.8%, Stephen Curran (Conservative) 33.7%, Tammy Bentz (New Democratic) 4.2% and Andrew Robinson (Green) 1.7%; the 2 other candidates took 0.6% together. Turnout was 71.7% of 88,977 electors: 63,754 ballots cast, 63,364 of them valid, for 6 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 15.4 (44.4% to 59.8%), the Conservatives up 4.5 (29.2% to 33.7%), the New Democrats down 14.7 (18.9% to 4.2%) and the Greens down 2.5 (4.2% to 1.7%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: no party has held it
The party first in North Vancouver—Capilano at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Liberal38.4%by 2.3 points over the Conservatives
- 2006Liberal41.3%by 4.7 points over the Conservatives
- 2008changed handsConservative42.8%by 7.7 points over the Liberals
- 2011Conservative47.9%by 19.9 points over the Liberals
- 2015changed handsLiberal56.4%by 29.6 points over the Conservatives
- 2019Liberal41.7%by 14.9 points over the Conservatives
- 2021Liberal44.4%by 15.2 points over the Conservatives
- 2025Liberal59.8%by 26.1 points over the Conservatives
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Liberal | 38.4% | Conservative | 2.3 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Liberal | 41.3% | Conservative | 4.7 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Conservative | 42.8% | Liberal | 7.7 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | Conservative | 47.9% | Liberal | 19.9 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | Liberal | 56.4% | Conservative | 29.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Liberal | 41.7% | Conservative | 14.9 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Liberal | 44.4% | Conservative | 15.2 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Liberal | 59.8% | Conservative | 26.1 | official result |
The Liberals were first at six of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at two; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Liberals took 59.8% of the vote here, 19.0 points above their average of 40.8% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (38.4%), 2006 (41.3%), 2015 (56.4%), 2019 (41.7%), 2021 (44.4%) and 2025 (59.8%) and the Conservatives in 2008 (42.8%) and 2011 (47.9%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.
- 2021 Liberal · Jonathan Wilkinson, by 10,085 votes (17.0 pts)
- 2019 Liberal · Jonathan Wilkinson, by 10,071 votes (16.0 pts)
- 2015 Liberal · Jonathan Wilkinson, by 19,157 votes (29.8 pts)
In North Vancouver on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's North Vancouver—Capilano lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place North Vancouver— Capilano is
- Population
- 116,0552021 census
- Area
- 330km²
- Density
- 351people per km²
- Electors
- 88,977on the 2025 lists
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 53.9% — about 1.9 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest33rd highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 38.2% — about 2.2 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest66th highest of 343
- Median age is 44.4 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest87th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 60.0% — about 84 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest88th lowest of 343
- Median total household income is $93,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest97th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.5% — a little lower than the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest166th lowest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 86% of the 2025 electors in today's North Vancouver—Capilano lived in the old North Vancouver; by area, 2% of the riding came from other ridings.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Wilkinson | Liberal | 37,907 | 59.8% | 44.4% | +15.4 |
| Stephen Curran | Conservative | 21,339 | 33.7% | 29.2% | +4.5 |
| Tammy Bentz | New Democratic | 2,684 | 4.2% | 18.9% | −14.7 |
| Andrew Robinson | Green | 1,076 | 1.7% | 4.2% | −2.5 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Ehsan Arjmand | People's | 256 | 0.4% |
| Oliver King | Independent | 102 | 0.2% |
The by-election of 2026-08-31Liberal hold
Braeden Caley (Liberal) held North Vancouver—Capilano for the Liberals at the by-election of 2026-08-31 by 11,948 votes (29.6 points) with 58.7% of the vote; Stephen Curran (Conservative) was second with 29.2%.
- Elected
- Braeden Caley Liberal · 23,739 votes · 58.7%
- Runner-up
- Stephen Curran Conservative · 11,791 votes · 29.2%
- Margin
- 11,948 votes 29.6 pts · of 40,421 valid votes
- Turnout
- 45.5% of 89,154 electors · 179 rejected ballots
The Liberal share here was 58.7% at the by-election of 2026-08-31 and 59.8% in the 2025 election, with 6 candidates on the ballot.
Source: Elections Canada, results validated by the returning officer, read 2026-10-08. Every candidate and the full result →
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 8,285 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 13.1% of the 63,364 valid votes, 13.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 44.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Liberals took 54.4%, the Conservatives 37.7%, the New Democrats 5.1% and the Greens 2.1%; in advance and special ballots, 64.2%, 30.4%, 3.5% and 1.4%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, North Vancouver—Capilano, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 54.4% | 64.2% | +9.8 |
| Conservative | 37.7% | 30.4% | −7.3 |
| New Democratic | 5.1% | 3.5% | −1.6 |
| Green | 2.1% | 1.4% | −0.7 |