The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

North Vancouver—Capilano

Federal riding · BC · No. 59022 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — North Vancouver—Capilano, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Braeden Caley Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 16,568 votes
Turnout
71.7% of 88,977 electors
Population
116,055 2021 census
Area
330 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Length of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61st
    Length of the ballot
    6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
  • Width of the margin: Won by 26.1 points (16,568 votes) · 103rd of 343 in Canada103rd
    Width of the margin
    Won by 26.1 points (16,568 votes) · 103rd of 343 in Canada
  • Turnout: 71.7% of 88,977 electors voted · 110th of 343 in Canada110th
    Turnout
    71.7% of 88,977 electors voted · 110th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Jonathan Wilkinson held the seat for the Liberals by 16,568 votes (+26.1 points).
  2. 2% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 44.8% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 33rd highest of 343 ridings.
Member of Parliament
Braeden Caley
Liberal · first elected 2026-08-31 · first term

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 2% of today's North Vancouver—Capilano came from ridings other than the old North Vancouver.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
97.6%North Vancouver 91% of it kept
2.4%West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Jonathan Wilkinson
Liberal
37,907
59.8% of valid votes
Margin
16,568
votes · +26.1 pts
Runner-up
Stephen Curran
Conservative
21,339
33.7% of valid votes
Liberal 59.8% · Conservative 33.7% · New Democratic 4.2% · Green 1.7%
Turnout71.7% of 88,977 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Jonathan WilkinsonLiberal37,90759.8%44.4%+15.4
Stephen CurranConservative21,33933.7%29.2%+4.5
Tammy BentzNew Democratic2,6844.2%18.9%−14.7
Andrew RobinsonGreen1,0761.7%4.2%−2.5
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Ehsan ArjmandPeople's2560.4%
Oliver KingIndependent1020.2%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
13.1 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,684 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 16,568-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
14 of 188
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (172) · ■ won by another party (14) · ▨ tied (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 8,285 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 13.1% of the 63,364 valid votes, 13.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal37,907
Conservative21,339
Still Liberal by 16,568 votes. Actual margin: 16,568.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 44.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal54.4%64.2%+9.8
Conservative37.7%30.4%−7.3
New Democratic5.1%3.5%−1.6
Green2.1%1.4%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — North Vancouver—Capilano and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 59022BC · 2025
North Vancouver—Capilano
Braeden Caley
Result
Liberal hold by 16,568
Turnout
71.7%
Population
116,055
Area
330 km²
Length of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61stLength of the ballotWidth of the margin: Won by 26.1 points (16,568 votes) · 103rd of 343 in Canada103rdWidth of the marginTurnout: 71.7% of 88,977 electors voted · 110th of 343 in Canada110thTurnout
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.