The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Papineau
Federal riding · QC · No. 24054 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Marjorie Michel Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 16,974 votes
- Turnout
- 65.6% of 72,069 electors
- Population
- 110,810 2021 census
- Area
- 10 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Smallest by area in Canada10 km² · 2nd of 343
- Fewest home owners27.9% of households own their home, 2nd lowest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)
- Lowest household incomeMedian household income $57,200, 5th lowest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)
In brief
- Marjorie Michel held the seat for the Liberals by 16,974 votes (+36.4 points).
- The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 99% of the old Papineau.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 66.3% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share of households that own their home is the 2nd lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Marjorie Michel
- Minister of Health
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Papineau comes from the old Papineau, but it is only 99% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.8%Papineau 99% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Marjorie Michel
Liberal
24,700
53.0% of valid votes
Margin
16,974
votes · +36.4 pts
Runner-up
Sophy Forget Bélec
Bloc Québécois
7,726
16.6% of valid votes
Liberal 53.0% · Bloc Québécois 16.6% · New Democratic 16.3% · Conservative 10.6% · Other 1.5% · People's 1.0%
Turnout65.6% of 72,069 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marjorie Michel | Liberal | 24,700 | 53.0% | 49.3% | +3.7 |
| Sophy Forget Bélec | Bloc Québécois | 7,726 | 16.6% | 14.8% | +1.8 |
| Niall Ricardo | New Democratic | 7,606 | 16.3% | 22.2% | −5.9 |
| Julio Rivera | Conservative | 4,927 | 10.6% | 4.8% | +5.8 |
| Xavier Watso | Other | 676 | 1.5% | 1.2% | +1.4 |
| Noah Cherney | People's | 455 | 1.0% | 2.3% | −1.3 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Stéphane Doucet | Other | 321 | 0.7% |
| Garnet Colly | Other | 208 | 0.4% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
18.2 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
7,606 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 16,974-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
1 of 168
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 8,488 voters switching from Liberal to Bloc Québécois — 18.2% of the 46,619 valid votes, 18.2 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal24,700
Bloc Québécois7,726
Still Liberal by 16,974 votes. Actual margin: 16,974.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 66.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal51.4%56.1%+4.7
New Democratic16.6%15.8%−0.8
Bloc Québécois16.3%17.2%+0.9
Conservative11.9%8.0%−3.9
Other2.8%2.1%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $57,200 — about 68 percent of the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest5th lowest of 343
- Median age is 36.8 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest40th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 44.2% — about 1.6 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest66th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 34.5% — about 2.0 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest81st highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 27.9% — about 39 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest2nd lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 47.2% — about 29.5 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest70th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 24054QC · 2025
Papineau
Marjorie Michel
- Result
- Liberal hold by 16,974
- Turnout
- 65.6%
- Population
- 110,810
- Area
- 10 km²
Smallest by area in CanadaFewest home ownersLowest household income
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.