The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 48033Alberta
Ponoka— Didsbury
Ponoka—
Who represents Ponoka— Didsbury
Blaine Calkins
Member of Parliament for Ponoka—
Conservative
MP since · 7 terms
- Procedure and House Affairs committee
123 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.
The 2025 result: Conservative hold
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Ponoka—Didsbury, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blaine Calkins | Conservative | 56,106 | 81.8% |
| Logan Hooley | New Democratic | 7,414 | 10.8% |
| Grant Abraham | United Party of Canada (UP) | 2,129 | 3.1% |
| Zarnab Zafar | No Affiliation | 1,641 | 2.4% |
| Larry Gratton | People's Party | 1,289 | 1.9% |
Blaine Calkins (Conservative) won Ponoka—
Of the 68,579 valid votes, Blaine Calkins (Conservative) took 81.8%, Logan Hooley (New Democratic) 10.8%, Grant Abraham (United Party of Canada (UP)) 3.1%, Zarnab Zafar (No Affiliation) 2.4% and Larry Gratton (People's Party) 1.9%. Turnout was 75.1% of 92,020 electors: 69,131 ballots cast, 68,579 of them valid, for 5 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 14.2 (67.6% to 81.8%), the New Democrats down 0.1 (10.9% to 10.8%), the others up 0.8 (2.3% to 3.1%), the independents up 1.6 (0.8% to 2.4%) and the People's Party down 11.4 (13.3% to 1.9%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: a Conservative stronghold
The party first in Ponoka—Didsbury at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Conservative73.5%by 61.5 points over the Liberals
- 2006Conservative74.8%by 65.6 points over the Liberals
- 2008Conservative75.2%by 65.8 points over the New Democrats
- 2011Conservative78.5%by 65.9 points over the New Democrats
- 2015Conservative71.9%by 57.4 points over the Liberals
- 2019Conservative80.0%by 71.6 points over the New Democrats
- 2021Conservative67.6%by 54.3 points over the People's Party
- 2025Conservative81.8%by 71.0 points over the New Democrats
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Conservative | 73.5% | Liberal | 61.5 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Conservative | 74.8% | Liberal | 65.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Conservative | 75.2% | New Democratic | 65.8 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | Conservative | 78.5% | New Democratic | 65.9 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | Conservative | 71.9% | Liberal | 57.4 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Conservative | 80.0% | New Democratic | 71.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Conservative | 67.6% | People's | 54.3 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Conservative | 81.8% | New Democratic | 71.0 | official result |
The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 64.1 points over the next party. In 2025 the Conservatives took 81.8% of the vote here, 7.3 points above their average of 74.5% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (73.5%), 2006 (74.8%), 2008 (75.2%), 2011 (78.5%), 2015 (71.9%), 2019 (80.0%), 2021 (67.6%) and 2025 (81.8%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.
- 2021 Conservative · Blaine Calkins, by 30,999 votes (50.0 pts)
- 2019 Conservative · Blaine Calkins, by 47,831 votes (70.9 pts)
- 2015 Conservative · Blaine Calkins, by 34,364 votes (55.7 pts)
In Red Deer—Lacombe on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Ponoka—Didsbury lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Ponoka— Didsbury is
- Population
- 114,5352021 census
- Area
- 9,688km²
- Density
- 12people per km²
- Electors
- 92,020on the 2025 lists
- 3rd-widest margin in CanadaWon by 71.0 points (48,692 votes) · 3rd of 343
- Won every election-day pollAll 177 election-day polls went to the winner · one of 15 of 343
- 3rd-highest turnout in Alberta75.1% of 92,020 electors voted · 3rd of 37 in Alberta · 30th of 343 in Canada
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 15.1% — about 54 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest34th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 77.5% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest91st highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 8.0% — about 46 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest95th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.0% — about 63 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest101st lowest of 343
- Median total household income is $88,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest128th highest of 343
- Median age is 40.8 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest141st lowest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 67% of the 2025 electors in today's Ponoka—Didsbury lived in the old Red Deer—Lacombe; by area, 39% of the riding came from other ridings.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaine Calkins | Conservative | 56,106 | 81.8% | 67.6% | +14.2 |
| Logan Hooley | New Democratic | 7,414 | 10.8% | 10.9% | −0.1 |
| Grant Abraham | Other | 2,129 | 3.1% | 2.3% | +0.8 |
| Zarnab Zafar | Independent | 1,641 | 2.4% | 0.8% | +1.6 |
| Larry Gratton | People's | 1,289 | 1.9% | 13.3% | −11.4 |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 24,347 voters switching from Conservative to New Democratic — 35.5% of the 68,579 valid votes, 35.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 53.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Conservatives took 81.4%, the New Democrats 10.5%, the others 3.6%, the independents 2.3% and the People's Party 2.1%; in advance and special ballots, 82.2%, 11.1%, 2.5%, 2.5% and 1.6%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Ponoka—Didsbury, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 81.4% | 82.2% | +0.8 |
| New Democratic | 10.5% | 11.1% | +0.6 |
| Other | 3.6% | 2.5% | −1.1 |
| Independent | 2.3% | 2.5% | +0.2 |
| People's Party | 2.1% | 1.6% | −0.5 |