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The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 47006Saskatchewan

Regina—Lewvan

Regina—Lewvan is a federal riding in Saskatchewan. Warren Steinley (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2019) represents Regina—Lewvan. Warren Steinley (Conservative) held Regina—Lewvan for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 3,095 votes (7.0 points), with 50.0% of the vote. Mac Hird (Liberal) was second with 43.0%, on a turnout of 71.7% of 61,753 electors. Member as of .

Fig. 1 — Regina—Lewvan on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents Regina—Lewvan

CWarren Steinley
Warren Steinley's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Warren Steinley

Member of Parliament for Regina—Lewvan

Conservative

MP since · 3 terms

172 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 1.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Regina—Lewvan, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Regina—Lewvan, April 28, 2025Of the 43,969 valid votes, Warren Steinley (Conservative) took 50.0%, Mac Hird (Liberal) 43.0% and Ray Aldinger (New Democratic) 5.9%; the 2 other candidates took 1.2% together.2025Turnout 71.7% of 61,753 electorsWarren SteinleyConservative50.0% · 21,9883,095 votes ahead · 7.0 ptsMac HirdLiberal43.0% · 18,893Ray AldingerNew Democratic5.9% · 2,573Others (2)1.2% · 515050%100%
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Regina—Lewvan, April 28, 2025Of the 43,969 valid votes, Warren Steinley (Conservative) took 50.0%, Mac Hird (Liberal) 43.0% and Ray Aldinger (New Democratic) 5.9%; the 2 other candidates took 1.2% together.2025Turnout 71.7% of 61,753 electorsWarren SteinleyConservative50.0% · 21,9883,095 votes ahead · 7.0 ptsMac HirdLiberal43.0% · 18,893Ray AldingerNew Democratic5.9% · 2,573Others (2)1.2% · 515050%100%
Shares of the 43,969 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Warren SteinleyConservative21,98850.0%
Mac HirdLiberal18,89343.0%
Ray AldingerNew Democratic2,5735.9%
Others (2)5151.2%

Warren Steinley (Conservative) won Regina—Lewvan on with 21,988 votes, 50.0% of the 43,969 valid votes. Mac Hird (Liberal) was second with 18,893 (43.0%), 3,095 votes and 7.0 points behind.

Of the 43,969 valid votes, Warren Steinley (Conservative) took 50.0%, Mac Hird (Liberal) 43.0% and Ray Aldinger (New Democratic) 5.9%; the 2 other candidates took 1.2% together. Turnout was 71.7% of 61,753 electors: 44,264 ballots cast, 43,969 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 4.0 (46.0% to 50.0%), the Liberals up 28.8 (14.2% to 43.0%) and the New Democrats down 28.8 (34.7% to 5.9%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: held by the Conservatives

The party first in Regina—Lewvan at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

  1. 2004Conservative34.4%by 3.8 points over the New Democrats
  2. 2006Conservative42.5%by 12.2 points over the New Democrats
  3. 2008Conservative48.0%by 17.2 points over the New Democrats
  4. 2011Conservative50.5%by 10.2 points over the New Democrats
  5. 2015†Conservative35.6%by 0.8 points over the New Democrats
  6. 2019Conservative53.2%by 25.0 points over the New Democrats
  7. 2021Conservative46.0%by 11.3 points over the New Democrats
  8. 2025Conservative50.0%by 7.0 points over the Liberals
Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.
The figures
YearFirstShareSecondMargin (pts)Basis
2004Conservative34.4%New Democratic3.8carried, our estimate
2006Conservative42.5%New Democratic12.2carried, our estimate
2008Conservative48.0%New Democratic17.2carried, our estimate
2011Conservative50.5%New Democratic10.2carried, our estimate
2015†Conservative35.6%New Democratic0.8carried, our estimate
2019Conservative53.2%New Democratic25.0carried, our estimate
2021Conservative46.0%New Democratic11.3transposed by Elections Canada
2025Conservative50.0%Liberal7.0official result

The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 10.9 points over the next party, short of the 20 a stronghold needs. In 2025 the Conservatives took 50.0% of the vote here, 5.7 points above their average of 44.3% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (34.4%), 2006 (42.5%), 2008 (48.0%), 2011 (50.5%), 2015 (35.6%), 2019 (53.2%), 2021 (46.0%) and 2025 (50.0%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 23 of the 343 ridings are held without being strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2015 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025
  • 2021 Conservative · Warren Steinley, by 5,612 votes (12.3 pts)
  • 2019 Conservative · Warren Steinley, by 12,321 votes (23.9 pts)
  • 2015 New Democratic · Erin Weir, by 132 votes (0.3 pts)

In the old Regina—Lewvan on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Regina—Lewvan lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Regina—Lewvan is

Population
86,9002021 census
Area
84km²
Density
1,037people per km²
Electors
61,753on the 2025 lists
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • 2nd-closest race in Saskatchewan: Won by 3,095 votes (7.0 pts) · 2nd of 14 in Saskatchewan · 62nd of 343 in Canada2nd
    2nd-closest race in Saskatchewan
    Won by 3,095 votes (7.0 pts) · 2nd of 14 in Saskatchewan · 62nd of 343 in Canada
  • 2nd-most candidates on the ballot in Saskatchewan: 5 candidates stood · 2nd of 14 in Saskatchewan · 156th of 343 in Canada2nd
    2nd-most candidates on the ballot in Saskatchewan
    5 candidates stood · 2nd of 14 in Saskatchewan · 156th of 343 in Canada
  • Median age is 37.2 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest46th lowest of 343
  • Median total household income is $96,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest85th highest of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.0% — about 63 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest101st lowest of 343
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 38.6% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest109th highest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 69.6% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest153rd lowest of 343
  • Share who are immigrants is 19.1% — a little higher than the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest166th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 97% of the 2025 electors in today's Regina—Lewvan lived in the old Regina—Lewvan; by area, 37% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
96.5%Regina—Lewvan 62.8% of the area · 91% of it kept
3.5%Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan 37.1% of the area · 0.1% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Warren SteinleyConservative21,98850.0%46.0%+4.0
Mac HirdLiberal18,89343.0%14.2%+28.8
Ray AldingerNew Democratic2,5735.9%34.7%−28.8
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Michael WrightGreen2720.6%
Godwin EzizorPeople's2430.6%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
2,573 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 3,095-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
36 of 127
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (90) · ■ won by another party (36) · ▨ tied (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 1,548 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 3.5% of the 43,969 valid votes, 3.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative21,988
Liberal18,893
Still Conservative by 3,095 votes. Actual margin: 3,095.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 46.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 51.8%, the Liberals 40.1% and the New Democrats 6.5%; in advance and special ballots, 48.5%, 45.4% and 5.3%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Regina—Lewvan, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Regina—Lewvan, April 28, 2025On election day the Conservatives took 51.8%, the Liberals 40.1% and the New Democrats 6.5%; in advance and special ballots, 48.5%, 45.4% and 5.3%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapConservative51.8%48.5%−3.3 ptsLiberal40.1%45.4%+5.3 ptsNew Democratic6.5%5.3%−1.2 pts050%100%
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Regina—Lewvan, April 28, 2025On election day the Conservatives took 51.8%, the Liberals 40.1% and the New Democrats 6.5%; in advance and special ballots, 48.5%, 45.4% and 5.3%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapConservative51.8%48.5%−3.3 ptsLiberal40.1%45.4%+5.3 ptsNew Democratic6.5%5.3%−1.2 pts050%100%
Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
PartyElection dayAdvance and specialGap
Conservative51.8%48.5%−3.3
Liberal40.1%45.4%+5.3
New Democratic6.5%5.3%−1.2
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Regina—Lewvan and its 3 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Regina—Lewvan — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/regina-lewvan/ Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.