The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 47006Saskatchewan
Regina— Lewvan
Regina—
Who represents Regina— Lewvan
Warren Steinley
Member of Parliament for Regina—
Conservative
MP since · 3 terms
172 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 1.
The 2025 result: Conservative hold
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Regina—Lewvan, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Steinley | Conservative | 21,988 | 50.0% |
| Mac Hird | Liberal | 18,893 | 43.0% |
| Ray Aldinger | New Democratic | 2,573 | 5.9% |
| Others (2) | 515 | 1.2% |
Warren Steinley (Conservative) won Regina—
Of the 43,969 valid votes, Warren Steinley (Conservative) took 50.0%, Mac Hird (Liberal) 43.0% and Ray Aldinger (New Democratic) 5.9%; the 2 other candidates took 1.2% together. Turnout was 71.7% of 61,753 electors: 44,264 ballots cast, 43,969 of them valid, for 5 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 4.0 (46.0% to 50.0%), the Liberals up 28.8 (14.2% to 43.0%) and the New Democrats down 28.8 (34.7% to 5.9%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: held by the Conservatives
The party first in Regina—Lewvan at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Conservative34.4%by 3.8 points over the New Democrats
- 2006Conservative42.5%by 12.2 points over the New Democrats
- 2008Conservative48.0%by 17.2 points over the New Democrats
- 2011Conservative50.5%by 10.2 points over the New Democrats
- 2015†Conservative35.6%by 0.8 points over the New Democrats
- 2019Conservative53.2%by 25.0 points over the New Democrats
- 2021Conservative46.0%by 11.3 points over the New Democrats
- 2025Conservative50.0%by 7.0 points over the Liberals
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Conservative | 34.4% | New Democratic | 3.8 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Conservative | 42.5% | New Democratic | 12.2 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Conservative | 48.0% | New Democratic | 17.2 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | Conservative | 50.5% | New Democratic | 10.2 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015† | Conservative | 35.6% | New Democratic | 0.8 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Conservative | 53.2% | New Democratic | 25.0 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Conservative | 46.0% | New Democratic | 11.3 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Conservative | 50.0% | Liberal | 7.0 | official result |
The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 10.9 points over the next party, short of the 20 a stronghold needs. In 2025 the Conservatives took 50.0% of the vote here, 5.7 points above their average of 44.3% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (34.4%), 2006 (42.5%), 2008 (48.0%), 2011 (50.5%), 2015 (35.6%), 2019 (53.2%), 2021 (46.0%) and 2025 (50.0%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 23 of the 343 ridings are held without being strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2015 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.
- 2021 Conservative · Warren Steinley, by 5,612 votes (12.3 pts)
- 2019 Conservative · Warren Steinley, by 12,321 votes (23.9 pts)
- 2015 New Democratic · Erin Weir, by 132 votes (0.3 pts)
In the old Regina—Lewvan on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Regina—Lewvan lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Regina— Lewvan is
- Population
- 86,9002021 census
- Area
- 84km²
- Density
- 1,037people per km²
- Electors
- 61,753on the 2025 lists
- 2nd-closest race in SaskatchewanWon by 3,095 votes (7.0 pts) · 2nd of 14 in Saskatchewan · 62nd of 343 in Canada
- 2nd-most candidates on the ballot in Saskatchewan5 candidates stood · 2nd of 14 in Saskatchewan · 156th of 343 in Canada
- Median age is 37.2 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest46th lowest of 343
- Median total household income is $96,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest85th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.0% — about 63 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest101st lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 38.6% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest109th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 69.6% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest153rd lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 19.1% — a little higher than the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest166th highest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 97% of the 2025 electors in today's Regina—Lewvan lived in the old Regina—Lewvan; by area, 37% of the riding came from other ridings.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Steinley | Conservative | 21,988 | 50.0% | 46.0% | +4.0 |
| Mac Hird | Liberal | 18,893 | 43.0% | 14.2% | +28.8 |
| Ray Aldinger | New Democratic | 2,573 | 5.9% | 34.7% | −28.8 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Michael Wright | Green | 272 | 0.6% |
| Godwin Ezizor | People's | 243 | 0.6% |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 1,548 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 3.5% of the 43,969 valid votes, 3.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 46.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Conservatives took 51.8%, the Liberals 40.1% and the New Democrats 6.5%; in advance and special ballots, 48.5%, 45.4% and 5.3%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Regina—Lewvan, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 51.8% | 48.5% | −3.3 |
| Liberal | 40.1% | 45.4% | +5.3 |
| New Democratic | 6.5% | 5.3% | −1.2 |