44 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Food Taxation.
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Saskatoon South comes from the old Saskatoon—Grasswood, but it is only 16% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.8%Saskatoon—Grasswood 16% of it kept
0.2%Saskatoon—University 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Kevin Waugh
Conservative
24,516
49.3% of valid votes
Margin
4,409
votes · +8.9 pts
Runner-up
Rokhan Sarwar
Liberal
20,107
40.4% of valid votes
Conservative 49.3% · Liberal 40.4% · New Democratic 9.1%
Turnout72.4% of 69,288 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Kevin Waugh
Conservative
24,516
49.3%
48.9%
+0.4
Rokhan Sarwar
Liberal
20,107
40.4%
14.3%
+26.1
Jacob Gadzella
New Democratic
4,515
9.1%
30.4%
−21.3
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Hamish Graham
Green
310
0.6%
Richard Brent Wintringham
People's
308
0.6%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
4.5 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
4,515 votes
New Democratic took more than the 4,409-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
30 of 142
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (110) · ■ won by another party (30) · ▨ tied (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 2,205 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 4.4% of the 49,756 valid votes, 4.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative24,516
Liberal20,107
Still Conservative by 4,409 votes. Actual margin: 4,409.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 49.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative49.9%48.6%−1.3
Liberal38.8%42.0%+3.2
New Democratic9.7%8.5%−1.2
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $89,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest122nd highest of 343
Median age is 37.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest52nd lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 44.2% — about 1.6 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest66th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 20.0% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest156th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 69.2% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest147th lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.3% — about 81 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest141st lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Saskatoon South and its 3 neighbouring ridings.
Smallest by area in SaskatchewanMost populous in SaskatchewanMost candidates on the ballot in Saskatchewan
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.