The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 47009Saskatchewan

Saskatoon South

Saskatoon-Sud

Saskatoon South is a federal riding in Saskatchewan. Kevin Waugh (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2015) represents Saskatoon South. Kevin Waugh (Conservative) held Saskatoon South for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 4,409 votes (8.9 points), with 49.3% of the vote. Rokhan Sarwar (Liberal) was second with 40.4%, on a turnout of 72.4% of 69,288 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Saskatoon South on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Saskatoon South

Kevin Waugh's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Kevin Waugh

Member of Parliament for Saskatoon South

Conservative

MP since 2015-10-19 · 4 terms

Canadian Heritage committee

48 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Food Taxation.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Saskatoon South, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 49,756 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Kevin Waugh	Conservative	24,516	49.3%
Rokhan Sarwar	Liberal	20,107	40.4%
Jacob Gadzella	New Democratic	4,515	9.1%
Others (2)		618	1.2%

Kevin Waugh (Conservative) won Saskatoon South on April 28, 2025 with 24,516 votes, 49.3% of the 49,756 valid votes. Rokhan Sarwar (Liberal) was second with 20,107 (40.4%), 4,409 votes and 8.9 points behind.

Of the 49,756 valid votes, Kevin Waugh (Conservative) took 49.3%, Rokhan Sarwar (Liberal) 40.4% and Jacob Gadzella (New Democratic) 9.1%; the 2 other candidates took 1.2% together. Turnout was 72.4% of 69,288 electors: 50,170 ballots cast, 49,756 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 0.4 (48.9% to 49.3%), the Liberals up 26.1 (14.3% to 40.4%) and the New Democrats down 21.3 (30.4% to 9.1%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: held by the Conservatives

The party first in Saskatoon South at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Conservative40.8%by 9.7 points over the Liberals
2006Conservative48.0%by 17.5 points over the New Democrats
2008Conservative53.9%by 28.2 points over the New Democrats
2011Conservative54.3%by 17.6 points over the New Democrats
2015Conservative41.6%by 11.4 points over the New Democrats
2019Conservative53.3%by 27.7 points over the New Democrats
2021Conservative48.9%by 18.5 points over the New Democrats
2025Conservative49.3%by 8.9 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Conservative	40.8%	Liberal	9.7	carried, our estimate
2006	Conservative	48.0%	New Democratic	17.5	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	53.9%	New Democratic	28.2	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	54.3%	New Democratic	17.6	carried, our estimate
2015	Conservative	41.6%	New Democratic	11.4	carried, our estimate
2019	Conservative	53.3%	New Democratic	27.7	carried, our estimate
2021	Conservative	48.9%	New Democratic	18.5	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	49.3%	Liberal	8.9	official result

The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 17.4 points over the next party, short of the 20 a stronghold needs. In 2025 the Conservatives took 49.3% of the vote here, 0.6 points above their average of 48.7% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (40.8%), 2006 (48.0%), 2008 (53.9%), 2011 (54.3%), 2015 (41.6%), 2019 (53.3%), 2021 (48.9%) and 2025 (49.3%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 23 of the 343 ridings are held without being strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · Kevin Waugh, by 9,040 votes (19.8 pts)
2019 Conservative · Kevin Waugh, by 13,664 votes (27.7 pts)
2015 Conservative · Kevin Waugh, by 5,257 votes (11.4 pts)

In Saskatoon—Grasswood on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Saskatoon South lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Saskatoon South is

Population: 89,5652021 census
Area: 53km²
Density: 1,687people per km²
Electors: 69,288on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

Smallest by area in Saskatchewan
53 km² · 1st of 14 in Saskatchewan · 71st of 343 in Canada
Most populous in Saskatchewan
89,565 people, 2021 census · 1st of 14 in Saskatchewan · 295th of 343 in Canada
2nd-most candidates on the ballot in Saskatchewan
5 candidates stood · 2nd of 14 in Saskatchewan · 156th of 343 in Canada

Median age is 37.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest52nd lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 44.2% — about 1.6 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest66th highest of 343
Median total household income is $89,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest122nd highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.3% — about 81 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest141st lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 69.2% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest147th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 20.0% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest156th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Saskatoon South, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old Saskatoon—Grasswood, but it is only 16% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

100.0%Saskatoon—Grasswood 99.8% of the area · 16% of it kept

0.0%Saskatoon—University 0.2% of the area · 0.1% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Kevin Waugh	Conservative	24,516	49.3%	48.9%	+0.4
Rokhan Sarwar	Liberal	20,107	40.4%	14.3%	+26.1
Jacob Gadzella	New Democratic	4,515	9.1%	30.4%	−21.3

2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

Hamish Graham	Green	310	0.6%
Richard Brent Wintringham	People's	308	0.6%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

4,515 votes

New Democratic took more than the 4,409-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.

Election-day polls won by others

30 of 142

2 polls ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (110) · ■ won by another party (30) · ▨ tied (2).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,205 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 4.4% of the 49,756 valid votes, 4.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 004,410

Conservative24,516

Liberal20,107

Still Conservative by 4,409 votes. Actual margin: 4,409.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 49.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 49.9%, the Liberals 38.8% and the New Democrats 9.7%; in advance and special ballots, 48.6%, 42.0% and 8.5%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Saskatoon South, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Conservative	49.9%	48.6%	−1.3
Liberal	38.8%	42.0%	+3.2
New Democratic	9.7%	8.5%	−1.2

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Saskatoon South and its 3 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Saskatoon South — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/saskatoon-south/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.