The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Saskatoon South

Saskatoon-Sud
Federal riding · SK · No. 47009 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Saskatoon South, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Kevin Waugh Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 4,409 votes
Turnout
72.4% of 69,288 electors
Population
89,565 2021 census
Area
53 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Smallest by area in Saskatchewan: 53 km² · 1st of 14 in Saskatchewan · 71st of 343 in Canada1st
    Smallest by area in Saskatchewan
    53 km² · 1st of 14 in Saskatchewan · 71st of 343 in Canada
  • Most populous in Saskatchewan: 89,565 people, 2021 census · 1st of 14 in Saskatchewan · 295th of 343 in Canada1st
    Most populous in Saskatchewan
    89,565 people, 2021 census · 1st of 14 in Saskatchewan · 295th of 343 in Canada
  • Most candidates on the ballot in Saskatchewan: 5 candidates stood · 2nd of 14 in Saskatchewan · 156th of 343 in Canada2nd
    Most candidates on the ballot in Saskatchewan
    5 candidates stood · 2nd of 14 in Saskatchewan · 156th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Kevin Waugh held the seat for the Conservatives by 4,409 votes (+8.9 points).
  2. The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 16% of the old Saskatoon—Grasswood.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 49.9% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median age is the 52nd lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Kevin Waugh
Conservative · first elected 2015-10-19 · 4 terms
  • Member: Canadian Heritage
44 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Food Taxation.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Saskatoon South comes from the old Saskatoon—Grasswood, but it is only 16% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.8%Saskatoon—Grasswood 16% of it kept
0.2%Saskatoon—University 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Kevin Waugh
Conservative
24,516
49.3% of valid votes
Margin
4,409
votes · +8.9 pts
Runner-up
Rokhan Sarwar
Liberal
20,107
40.4% of valid votes
Conservative 49.3% · Liberal 40.4% · New Democratic 9.1%
Turnout72.4% of 69,288 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Kevin WaughConservative24,51649.3%48.9%+0.4
Rokhan SarwarLiberal20,10740.4%14.3%+26.1
Jacob GadzellaNew Democratic4,5159.1%30.4%−21.3
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Hamish GrahamGreen3100.6%
Richard Brent WintringhamPeople's3080.6%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
4.5 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
4,515 votes
New Democratic took more than the 4,409-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
30 of 142
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (110) · ■ won by another party (30) · ▨ tied (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,205 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 4.4% of the 49,756 valid votes, 4.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative24,516
Liberal20,107
Still Conservative by 4,409 votes. Actual margin: 4,409.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 49.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative49.9%48.6%−1.3
Liberal38.8%42.0%+3.2
New Democratic9.7%8.5%−1.2
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Saskatoon South and its 3 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 47009SK · 2025
Saskatoon South
Kevin Waugh
Result
Conservative hold by 4,409
Turnout
72.4%
Population
89,565
Area
53 km²
Smallest by area in Saskatchewan: 53 km² · 1st of 14 in Saskatchewan · 71st of 343 in Canada1stSmallest by area in SaskatchewanMost populous in Saskatchewan: 89,565 people, 2021 census · 1st of 14 in Saskatchewan · 295th of 343 in Canada1stMost populous in SaskatchewanMost candidates on the ballot in Saskatchewan: 5 candidates stood · 2nd of 14 in Saskatchewan · 156th of 343 in Canada2ndMost candidates on the ballot in Saskatchewan
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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