The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 47002Saskatchewan

Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek

Sentier Carlton—Eagle Creek

Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek is a federal riding in Saskatchewan. Kelly Block (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2008) represents Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek. Kelly Block (Conservative) held Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 28,419 votes (60.4 points), with 77.4% of the vote. Katelyn Zimmer (Liberal) was second with 17.0%, on a turnout of 75.2% of 62,947 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek

Kelly Block's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Kelly Block

Member of Parliament for Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek

Conservative

MP since 2008-10-14 · 6 terms

Government Operations and Estimates committee
Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure

108 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Public Services and Procurement.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 47,051 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Kelly Block	Conservative	36,427	77.4%
Katelyn Zimmer	Liberal	8,008	17.0%
Cheryl Loadman	New Democratic	2,616	5.6%

Kelly Block (Conservative) won Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek on April 28, 2025 with 36,427 votes, 77.4% of the 47,051 valid votes. Katelyn Zimmer (Liberal) was second with 8,008 (17.0%), 28,419 votes and 60.4 points behind.

Of the 47,051 valid votes, Kelly Block (Conservative) took 77.4%, Katelyn Zimmer (Liberal) 17.0% and Cheryl Loadman (New Democratic) 5.6%. Turnout was 75.2% of 62,947 electors: 47,363 ballots cast, 47,051 of them valid, for 3 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 9.7 (67.7% to 77.4%), the Liberals up 11.5 (5.5% to 17.0%) and the New Democrats down 8.4 (14.0% to 5.6%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: a Conservative stronghold

The party first in Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Conservative40.9%by 11.9 points over the Liberals
2006Conservative48.9%by 22.5 points over the New Democrats
2008Conservative54.6%by 27.2 points over the New Democrats
2011Conservative55.7%by 21.4 points over the New Democrats
2015Conservative62.6%by 42.8 points over the New Democrats
2019Conservative76.7%by 63.4 points over the New Democrats
2021Conservative67.7%by 53.7 points over the New Democrats
2025Conservative77.4%by 60.4 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Conservative	40.9%	Liberal	11.9	carried, our estimate
2006	Conservative	48.9%	New Democratic	22.5	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	54.6%	New Democratic	27.2	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	55.7%	New Democratic	21.4	carried, our estimate
2015	Conservative	62.6%	New Democratic	42.8	carried, our estimate
2019	Conservative	76.7%	New Democratic	63.4	carried, our estimate
2021	Conservative	67.7%	New Democratic	53.7	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	77.4%	Liberal	60.4	official result

The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 37.9 points over the next party. In 2025 the Conservatives took 77.4% of the vote here, 19.2 points above their average of 58.2% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (40.9%), 2006 (48.9%), 2008 (54.6%), 2011 (55.7%), 2015 (62.6%), 2019 (76.7%), 2021 (67.7%) and 2025 (77.4%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · Kelly Block, by 22,584 votes (55.0 pts)
2019 Conservative · Kelly Block, by 29,778 votes (66.3 pts)
2015 Conservative · Kelly Block, by 18,505 votes (46.0 pts)

In the old Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek is

Population: 84,1052021 census
Area: 24,157km²
Density: 3.5people per km²
Electors: 62,947on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

Highest turnout in Saskatchewan
75.2% of 62,947 electors voted · 1st of 14 in Saskatchewan · 29th of 343 in Canada

Share of households that own their home is 84.8% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest17th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 5.9% — about 34 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest64th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 19.4% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest86th lowest of 343
Median age is 38.8 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest89th lowest of 343
Median total household income is $95,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest90th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.6% — about the same as the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest165th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 86% of the 2025 electors in today's Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek lived in the old Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek; by area, 19% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

85.8%Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek 81.4% of the area · 68% of it kept

4.5%Saskatoon—Grasswood 1.2% of the area · 84% of it kept

4.2%Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan 3.5% of the area · 3% of it kept

3.7%Prince Albert 10.7% of the area · 13% of it kept

1.8%Yorkton—Melville 3.2% of the area · 2% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Kelly Block	Conservative	36,427	77.4%	67.7%	+9.7
Katelyn Zimmer	Liberal	8,008	17.0%	5.5%	+11.5
Cheryl Loadman	New Democratic	2,616	5.6%	14.0%	−8.4

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

2,616 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 28,419-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

4 of 151

No poll ended in a tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (147) · ■ won by another party (4).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 14,210 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 30.2% of the 47,051 valid votes, 30.2 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0028,420

Conservative36,427

Liberal8,008

Still Conservative by 28,419 votes. Actual margin: 28,419.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 57.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 77.7%, the Liberals 16.4% and the New Democrats 5.8%; in advance and special ballots, 77.0%, 17.8% and 5.2%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Conservative	77.7%	77.0%	−0.7
Liberal	16.4%	17.8%	+1.4
New Democratic	5.8%	5.2%	−0.6

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek and its 8 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/carlton-trail-eagle-creek/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.