The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek
Sentier Carlton—Eagle Creek
Federal riding · SK · No. 47002 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Kelly Block Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 28,419 votes
- Turnout
- 75.2% of 62,947 electors
- Population
- 84,105 2021 census
- Area
- 24,157 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Highest turnout in Saskatchewan75.2% of 62,947 electors voted · 1st of 14 in Saskatchewan · 29th of 343 in Canada
- Width of the marginWon by 60.4 points (28,419 votes) · 11th of 343 in Canada
- Population, smallest first84,105 people, 2021 census · 35th of 343 in Canada
In brief
- Kelly Block held the seat for the Conservatives by 28,419 votes (+60.4 points).
- 19% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 57.1% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share of households that own their home is the 17th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Kelly Block
- Member: Government Operations and Estimates
- Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 19% of today's Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek came from ridings other than the old Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
81.4%Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek 68% of it kept
10.7%Prince Albert 13% of it kept
3.5%Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan 3% of it kept
3.2%Yorkton—Melville 2% of it kept
1.2%Saskatoon—Grasswood 84% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Kelly Block
Conservative
36,427
77.4% of valid votes
Margin
28,419
votes · +60.4 pts
Runner-up
Katelyn Zimmer
Liberal
8,008
17.0% of valid votes
Conservative 77.4% · Liberal 17.0% · New Democratic 5.6%
Turnout75.2% of 62,947 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Block | Conservative | 36,427 | 77.4% | 67.7% | +9.7 |
| Katelyn Zimmer | Liberal | 8,008 | 17.0% | 5.5% | +11.5 |
| Cheryl Loadman | New Democratic | 2,616 | 5.6% | 14.0% | −8.4 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
30.2 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,616 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 28,419-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
4 of 151
No poll ended in a tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 14,210 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 30.2% of the 47,051 valid votes, 30.2 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative36,427
Liberal8,008
Still Conservative by 28,419 votes. Actual margin: 28,419.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 57.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative77.7%77.0%−0.7
Liberal16.4%17.8%+1.4
New Democratic5.8%5.2%−0.6
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $95,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest90th highest of 343
- Median age is 38.8 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest89th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 19.4% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest86th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 5.9% — about 34 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest64th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 84.8% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest17th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.6% — about the same as the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest165th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 47002SK · 2025
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek
Kelly Block
- Result
- Conservative hold by 28,419
- Turnout
- 75.2%
- Population
- 84,105
- Area
- 24,157 km²
Highest turnout in SaskatchewanWidth of the marginPopulation, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.