The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 59032British Columbia
South Surrey— White Rock
Surrey-Sud—
South Surrey—
Who represents South Surrey— White Rock
Ernie Klassen
Member of Parliament for South Surrey—
Liberal
MP since · first term
- Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister of Fisheries
- Fisheries and Oceans committee
54 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Fisheries and Oceans.
The 2025 result: Liberal gain from the Conservatives
Share of the valid votes by candidate, South Surrey—White Rock, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ernie Klassen | Liberal | 33,094 | 50.5% |
| Kerry-Lynne Findlay | Conservative | 29,924 | 45.7% |
| Jureun Park | New Democratic | 1,634 | 2.5% |
| Christine Kinnie | Green | 875 | 1.3% |
Ernie Klassen (Liberal) won South Surrey—
Of the 65,527 valid votes, Ernie Klassen (Liberal) took 50.5%, Kerry-Lynne Findlay (Conservative) 45.7%, Jureun Park (New Democratic) 2.5% and Christine Kinnie (Green) 1.3%. Turnout was 71.6% of 92,041 electors: 65,895 ballots cast, 65,527 of them valid, for 4 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 11.8 (38.7% to 50.5%), the Conservatives up 3.5 (42.2% to 45.7%) and the New Democrats down 12.2 (14.7% to 2.5%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: no party has held it
The party first in South Surrey—White Rock at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Conservative42.4%by 5.8 points over the Liberals
- 2006Conservative46.2%by 15.4 points over the Liberals
- 2008Conservative55.9%by 34.6 points over the Liberals
- 2011Conservative53.9%by 33.3 points over the New Democrats
- 2015Conservative44.0%by 2.5 points over the Liberals
- 2019Conservative41.9%by 4.5 points over the Liberals
- 2021Conservative42.2%by 3.5 points over the Liberals
- 2025changed handsLiberal50.5%by 4.8 points over the Conservatives
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Conservative | 42.4% | Liberal | 5.8 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Conservative | 46.2% | Liberal | 15.4 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Conservative | 55.9% | Liberal | 34.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | Conservative | 53.9% | New Democratic | 33.3 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | Conservative | 44.0% | Liberal | 2.5 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Conservative | 41.9% | Liberal | 4.5 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Conservative | 42.2% | Liberal | 3.5 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Liberal | 50.5% | Conservative | 4.8 | official result |
The Conservatives were first at seven of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at one; it changed hands once. In 2025 the Liberals took 50.5% of the vote here, 18.6 points above their average of 31.9% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (42.4%), 2006 (46.2%), 2008 (55.9%), 2011 (53.9%), 2015 (44.0%), 2019 (41.9%) and 2021 (42.2%) and the Liberals in 2025 (50.5%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.
- 2021 Conservative · Kerry-Lynne Findlay, by 1,992 votes (3.5 pts)
- 2019 Conservative · Kerry-Lynne Findlay, by 2,618 votes (4.5 pts)
- 2015 Conservative · Dianne Lynn Watts, by 1,439 votes (2.5 pts)
In the old South Surrey—White Rock on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's South Surrey—White Rock lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place South Surrey— White Rock is
- Population
- 118,2802021 census
- Area
- 193km²
- Density
- 613people per km²
- Electors
- 92,041on the 2025 lists
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (14 of 43 in British Columbia)
- Decided before election dayOn election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343
- Median age is 47.6 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest41st highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.9% — about 56 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest79th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 42.0% — about 1.5 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest83rd highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 33.4% — about 1.9 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest85th highest of 343
- Median total household income is $94,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest93rd highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 76.5% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest102nd highest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's South Surrey—White Rock, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old South Surrey—White Rock, but it is only 99% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernie Klassen | Liberal | 33,094 | 50.5% | 38.7% | +11.8 |
| Kerry-Lynne Findlay | Conservative | 29,924 | 45.7% | 42.2% | +3.5 |
| Jureun Park | New Democratic | 1,634 | 2.5% | 14.7% | −12.2 |
| Christine Kinnie | Green | 875 | 1.3% | — | +1.3 |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 1,586 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 2.4% of the 65,527 valid votes, 2.4 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 46.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.
On election day the Liberals took 46.1%, the Conservatives 49.0%, the New Democrats 3.1% and the Greens 1.8%; in advance and special ballots, 54.3%, 42.7%, 2.0% and 0.9%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, South Surrey—White Rock, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 46.1% | 54.3% | +8.2 |
| Conservative | 49.0% | 42.7% | −6.3 |
| New Democratic | 3.1% | 2.0% | −1.1 |
| Green | 1.8% | 0.9% | −0.9 |