The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Surrey Centre
Surrey-Centre
Federal riding · BC · No. 59033 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Randeep Sarai Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 1,980 votes
- Turnout
- 58.5% of 71,528 electors
- Population
- 119,730 2021 census
- Area
- 43 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Lowest turnout in British Columbia58.5% of 71,528 electors voted · 1st of 43 in British Columbia · 17th of 343 in Canada
- Closeness of the raceWon by 1,980 votes (4.8 pts) · 43rd of 343 in Canada
- Area, smallest first43 km² · 54th of 343 in Canada
In brief
- Randeep Sarai held the seat for the Liberals by 1,980 votes (+4.8 points).
- The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 97% of the old Surrey Centre.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 51.5% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share with French as a mother tongue is the 20th lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Randeep Sarai
- Secretary of State (International Development)
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Surrey Centre comes from the old Surrey Centre, but it is only 97% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Surrey Centre 97% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Randeep Sarai
Liberal
19,900
48.0% of valid votes
Margin
1,980
votes · +4.8 pts
Runner-up
Rajvir Dhillon
Conservative
17,920
43.2% of valid votes
Liberal 48.0% · Conservative 43.2% · New Democratic 6.8% · Green 1.0%
Turnout58.5% of 71,528 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randeep Sarai | Liberal | 19,900 | 48.0% | 44.1% | +3.9 |
| Rajvir Dhillon | Conservative | 17,920 | 43.2% | 20.4% | +22.8 |
| Dominic Denofrio | New Democratic | 2,811 | 6.8% | 27.2% | −20.4 |
| Krishan Khurana | Green | 395 | 1.0% | 2.2% | −1.2 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Beverly Tanchak | People's | 246 | 0.6% |
| Ryan Abbott | Other | 182 | 0.4% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
2.4 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,811 votes
New Democratic took more than the 1,980-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
62 of 134
7 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 991 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 2.4% of the 41,454 valid votes, 2.4 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal19,900
Conservative17,920
Still Liberal by 1,980 votes. Actual margin: 1,980.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 51.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal45.6%50.6%+5.0
Conservative45.1%41.3%−3.8
New Democratic7.3%6.3%−1.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $84,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest162nd highest of 343
- Median age is 35.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest26th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 29.7% — a little higher than the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest160th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 48.6% — about 2.8 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest36th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 54.2% — about 76 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest60th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.5% — about 31 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest20th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 59033BC · 2025
Surrey Centre
Randeep Sarai
- Result
- Liberal hold by 1,980
- Turnout
- 58.5%
- Population
- 119,730
- Area
- 43 km²
Lowest turnout in British ColumbiaCloseness of the raceArea, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.