The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 59033British Columbia

Surrey Centre

Surrey-Centre

Surrey Centre is a federal riding in British Columbia. Randeep Sarai (Liberal, first elected to the House in 2015) represents Surrey Centre. Randeep Sarai (Liberal) held Surrey Centre for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 1,980 votes (4.8 points), with 48.0% of the vote. Rajvir Dhillon (Conservative) was second with 43.2%, on a turnout of 58.5% of 71,528 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Surrey Centre on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Surrey Centre

Randeep Sarai's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Randeep Sarai

Member of Parliament for Surrey Centre

Liberal

MP since 2015-10-19 · 4 terms

Secretary of State (International Development)

54 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Bail and Sentencing Reform Act.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Surrey Centre, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 41,454 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Randeep Sarai	Liberal	19,900	48.0%
Rajvir Dhillon	Conservative	17,920	43.2%
Dominic Denofrio	New Democratic	2,811	6.8%
Krishan Khurana	Green	395	1.0%
Others (2)		428	1.0%

Randeep Sarai (Liberal) won Surrey Centre on April 28, 2025 with 19,900 votes, 48.0% of the 41,454 valid votes. Rajvir Dhillon (Conservative) was second with 17,920 (43.2%), 1,980 votes and 4.8 points behind.

Of the 41,454 valid votes, Randeep Sarai (Liberal) took 48.0%, Rajvir Dhillon (Conservative) 43.2%, Dominic Denofrio (New Democratic) 6.8% and Krishan Khurana (Green) 1.0%; the 2 other candidates took 1.0% together. Turnout was 58.5% of 71,528 electors: 41,841 ballots cast, 41,454 of them valid, for 6 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 3.9 (44.1% to 48.0%), the Conservatives up 22.8 (20.4% to 43.2%), the New Democrats down 20.4 (27.2% to 6.8%) and the Greens down 1.2 (2.2% to 1.0%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Surrey Centre at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Independent43.8%by 19.7 points over the New Democrats
2006changed handsNew Democratic45.7%by 18.0 points over the Conservatives
2008changed handsConservative39.4%by 3.2 points over the New Democrats
2011changed handsNew Democratic39.7%by 4.0 points over the Conservatives
2015changed handsLiberal45.1%by 15.0 points over the New Democrats
2019Liberal37.4%by 9.9 points over the New Democrats
2021Liberal44.1%by 16.9 points over the New Democrats
2025Liberal48.0%by 4.8 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Independent	43.8%	New Democratic	19.7	carried, our estimate
2006	New Democratic	45.7%	Conservative	18.0	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	39.4%	New Democratic	3.2	carried, our estimate
2011	New Democratic	39.7%	Conservative	4.0	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	45.1%	New Democratic	15.0	carried, our estimate
2019	Liberal	37.4%	New Democratic	9.9	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	44.1%	New Democratic	16.9	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	48.0%	Conservative	4.8	official result

The Liberals were first at four of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the NDP at two, an independent at one and the Conservatives at one; it changed hands four times. In 2025 the Liberals took 48.0% of the vote here, 20.1 points above their average of 27.9% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries an independent was first here in 2004 (43.8%), the NDP in 2006 (45.7%) and 2011 (39.7%), the Conservatives in 2008 (39.4%) and the Liberals in 2015 (45.1%), 2019 (37.4%), 2021 (44.1%) and 2025 (48.0%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Randeep Sarai, by 6,235 votes (16.2 pts)
2019 Liberal · Randeep Singh Sarai, by 4,100 votes (9.9 pts)
2015 Liberal · Randeep Sarai, by 6,479 votes (15.0 pts)

In the old Surrey Centre on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Surrey Centre lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Surrey Centre is

Population: 119,7302021 census
Area: 43km²
Density: 2,817people per km²
Electors: 71,528on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

Lowest turnout in British Columbia
58.5% of 71,528 electors voted · 1st of 43 in British Columbia · 17th of 343 in Canada

Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.5% — about 31 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest20th lowest of 343
Median age is 35.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest26th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 48.6% — about 2.8 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest36th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 54.2% — about 76 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest60th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 29.7% — a little higher than the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest160th highest of 343
Median total household income is $84,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest162nd highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Surrey Centre, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old Surrey Centre, but it is only 97% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

100.0%Surrey Centre 100.0% of the area · 97% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Randeep Sarai	Liberal	19,900	48.0%	44.1%	+3.9
Rajvir Dhillon	Conservative	17,920	43.2%	20.4%	+22.8
Dominic Denofrio	New Democratic	2,811	6.8%	27.2%	−20.4
Krishan Khurana	Green	395	1.0%	2.2%	−1.2

2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

Beverly Tanchak	People's	246	0.6%
Ryan Abbott	Other	182	0.4%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

2,811 votes

New Democratic took more than the 1,980-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.

Election-day polls won by others

62 of 134

7 polls ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (65) · ■ won by another party (62) · ▨ tied (7).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 991 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 2.4% of the 41,454 valid votes, 2.4 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 001,982

Liberal19,900

Conservative17,920

Still Liberal by 1,980 votes. Actual margin: 1,980.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 51.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 45.6%, the Conservatives 45.1% and the New Democrats 7.3%; in advance and special ballots, 50.6%, 41.3% and 6.3%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Surrey Centre, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	45.6%	50.6%	+5.0
Conservative	45.1%	41.3%	−3.8
New Democratic	7.3%	6.3%	−1.0

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Surrey Centre and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Surrey Centre — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/surrey-centre/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.