The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 59042British Columbia

Victoria

Name: 2025 Canadian federal election in Victoria
Start: 2025-04-28
End: 2025-04-28

Victoria is a federal riding in British Columbia. Will Greaves (Liberal) has represented Victoria since the 2025 election. Will Greaves (Liberal) took Victoria from the New Democrats in the 2025 election by 22,251 votes (29.4 points), with 54.3% of the vote. Laurel Collins (NDP) was second with 24.9%, on a turnout of 74.4% of 102,322 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Victoria on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Victoria

Will Greaves's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Will Greaves

Member of Parliament for Victoria

Liberal

MP since 2025-04-28 · first term

Environment and Sustainable Development committee
Indigenous and Northern Affairs committee

54 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Resumption of Debate on Address in Reply.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal gain from the New Democrats

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Victoria, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 75,768 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Will Greaves	Liberal	41,128	54.3%
Laurel Collins	New Democratic	18,877	24.9%
Angus Ross	Conservative	12,870	17.0%
Michael Doherty	Green	2,350	3.1%
Others (4)		543	0.7%

Will Greaves (Liberal) won Victoria on April 28, 2025 with 41,128 votes, 54.3% of the 75,768 valid votes. Laurel Collins (New Democratic) was second with 18,877 (24.9%), 22,251 votes and 29.4 points behind.

Of the 75,768 valid votes, Will Greaves (Liberal) took 54.3%, Laurel Collins (New Democratic) 24.9%, Angus Ross (Conservative) 17.0% and Michael Doherty (Green) 3.1%; the 4 other candidates took 0.7% together. Turnout was 74.4% of 102,322 electors: 76,138 ballots cast, 75,768 of them valid, for 8 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 27.2 (27.1% to 54.3%), the New Democrats down 18.7 (43.6% to 24.9%), the Conservatives up 3.4 (13.6% to 17.0%) and the Greens down 8.0 (11.1% to 3.1%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Victoria at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal35.0%by 4.0 points over the New Democrats
2006changed handsNew Democratic38.5%by 10.9 points over the Liberals
2008New Democratic44.6%by 17.1 points over the Conservatives
2011New Democratic50.8%by 27.2 points over the Conservatives
2015New Democratic42.3%by 9.4 points over the Greens
2019New Democratic33.2%by 3.3 points over the Greens
2021New Democratic43.6%by 16.5 points over the Liberals
2025changed handsLiberal54.3%by 29.4 points over the New Democrats

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	35.0%	New Democratic	4.0	carried, our estimate
2006	New Democratic	38.5%	Liberal	10.9	carried, our estimate
2008	New Democratic	44.6%	Conservative	17.1	carried, our estimate
2011	New Democratic	50.8%	Conservative	27.2	carried, our estimate
2015	New Democratic	42.3%	Green	9.4	carried, our estimate
2019	New Democratic	33.2%	Green	3.3	carried, our estimate
2021	New Democratic	43.6%	Liberal	16.5	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	54.3%	New Democratic	29.4	official result

The NDP were first at six of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at two; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Liberals took 54.3% of the vote here, 32.2 points above their average of 22.1% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (35.0%) and 2025 (54.3%) and the NDP in 2006 (38.5%), 2008 (44.6%), 2011 (50.8%), 2015 (42.3%), 2019 (33.2%) and 2021 (43.6%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 New Democratic · Laurel Collins, by 11,107 votes (16.6 pts)
2019 New Democratic · Laurel Collins, by 2,382 votes (3.3 pts)
2015 New Democratic · Murray Rankin, by 6,731 votes (9.4 pts)

In the old Victoria on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Victoria lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Victoria is

Population: 123,4852021 census
Area: 431km²
Density: 286people per km²
Electors: 102,322on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

Most candidates on the ballot in British Columbia
8 candidates stood · 1st of 43 in British Columbia · 11th of 343 in Canada
2nd-highest turnout in British Columbia
74.4% of 102,322 electors voted · 2nd of 43 in British Columbia · 41st of 343 in Canada
3rd-most populous in British Columbia
123,485 people, 2021 census · 3rd of 43 in British Columbia · 38th of 343 in Canada

Share of households that own their home is 46.0% — about 64 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest38th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 50.9% — about 1.8 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest43rd highest of 343
Median total household income is $72,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest76th lowest of 343
Median age is 44.4 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest87th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 20.5% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest153rd highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.7% — a little higher than the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest158th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 100% of the 2025 electors in today's Victoria lived in the old Victoria; by area, 1% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

100.0%Victoria 98.9% of the area

0.0%Saanich—Gulf Islands 1.1% of the area · 0.3% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Will Greaves	Liberal	41,128	54.3%	27.1%	+27.2
Laurel Collins	New Democratic	18,877	24.9%	43.6%	−18.7
Angus Ross	Conservative	12,870	17.0%	13.6%	+3.4
Michael Doherty	Green	2,350	3.1%	11.1%	−8.0

4 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

David Mohr	People's	278	0.4%
Cody Fraser	Other	109	0.1%
Mary Moreau	Other	83	0.1%
Steve Filipovic	Independent	73	0.1%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

12,870 votes

Conservative took fewer than the 22,251-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

21 of 198

1 poll ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (176) · ■ won by another party (21) · ▨ tied (1).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 11,126 voters switching from Liberal to New Democratic — 14.7% of the 75,768 valid votes, 14.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0022,252

Liberal41,128

New Democratic18,877

Still Liberal by 22,251 votes. Actual margin: 22,251.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 37.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 48.0%, the New Democrats 27.4%, the Conservatives 19.6% and the Greens 4.0%; in advance and special ballots, 58.1%, 23.4%, 15.4% and 2.6%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Victoria, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	48.0%	58.1%	+10.1
New Democratic	27.4%	23.4%	−4.0
Conservative	19.6%	15.4%	−4.2
Green	4.0%	2.6%	−1.4

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Victoria and its 2 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Victoria — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/victoria/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.