The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Saanich—Gulf Islands
Federal riding · BC · No. 59029 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Elizabeth May Green
- 2025 result
- Green hold by 5,790 votes
- Turnout
- 77.9% of 102,890 electors
- Population
- 122,150 2021 census
- Area
- 1,577 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Highest turnout in Canada77.9% of 102,890 electors voted · 6th of 343
- Population, largest first122,150 people, 2021 census · 44th of 343 in Canada
- Closeness of the raceWon by 5,790 votes (7.3 pts) · 126th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Elizabeth May
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 1% of today's Saanich—Gulf Islands came from ridings other than the old Saanich—Gulf Islands.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
98.8%Saanich—Gulf Islands
1.2%Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke 2% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Green hold
Elected
Elizabeth May
Green
31,199
39.1% of valid votes
Margin
5,790
votes · +7.3 pts
Runner-up
David Beckham
Liberal
25,409
31.8% of valid votes
Green 39.1% · Liberal 31.8% · Conservative 25.1% · New Democratic 4.0%
Turnout77.9% of 102,890 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth May | Green | 31,199 | 39.1% | 35.6% | +3.5 |
| David Beckham | Liberal | 25,409 | 31.8% | 18.7% | +13.1 |
| Cathie Ounsted | Conservative | 20,015 | 25.1% | 22.5% | +2.6 |
| Colin Plant | New Democratic | 3,163 | 4.0% | 19.4% | −15.4 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
3.6 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
20,015 votes
Conservative took more than the 5,790-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
64 of 222
5 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 2,896 voters switching from Green to Liberal — 3.6% of the 79,786 valid votes, 3.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Green31,199
Liberal25,409
Still Green by 5,790 votes. Actual margin: 5,790.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 43.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Green40.0%38.4%−1.6
Liberal27.7%35.1%+7.4
Conservative27.3%23.3%−4.0
New Democratic4.9%3.2%−1.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $93,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest97th highest of 343
- Median age is 52.4 — about 1.3 times the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest12th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 41.2% — about 1.5 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest90th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 21.8% — about 1.3 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest147th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 77.7% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest86th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.2% — about 75 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest126th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 59029BC · 2025
Saanich—Gulf Islands
Elizabeth May
- Result
- Green hold by 5,790
- Turnout
- 77.9%
- Population
- 122,150
- Area
- 1,577 km²
Highest turnout in CanadaPopulation, largest firstCloseness of the race
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.