The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore

Federal riding · ON · No. 35118 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Kathy Borrelli Conservative
2025 result
Conservative gain by 4 votes
Turnout
66.5% of 106,151 electors
Population
130,960 2021 census
Area
310 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Closest race in Canada: Won by 4 votes (0.1 pts) · 2nd of 3432nd
    Closest race in Canada
    Won by 4 votes (0.1 pts) · 2nd of 343
  • Most populous in Canada: 130,960 people, 2021 census · 6th of 3436th
    Most populous in Canada
    130,960 people, 2021 census · 6th of 343
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)
In brief
  1. Kathy Borrelli took the seat for the Conservatives by 4 votes (+0.1 points).
  2. 39% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 60.6% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median age is the 97th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Kathy Borrelli
Conservative · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
  • Member: Industry and Technology
37 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Automotive Industry.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 39% of today's Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore came from ridings other than the old Windsor—Tecumseh.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
61.2%Windsor—Tecumseh
35.6%Essex 5% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative gain
Elected
Kathy Borrelli
Conservative
32,090
45.8% of valid votes
Margin
4
votes · +0.1 pts
Runner-up
Irek Kusmierczyk
Liberal
32,086
45.7% of valid votes
Conservative 45.8% · Liberal 45.7% · New Democratic 6.0% · People's 1.2%
Turnout66.5% of 106,151 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Kathy BorrelliConservative32,09045.8%26.8%+19.0
Irek KusmierczykLiberal32,08645.7%30.6%+15.1
Alex IlijoskiNew Democratic4,2406.0%30.0%−24.0
Nick BabicPeople's8281.2%10.2%−9.0
3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Roxanne TellierGreen4680.7%
Helmi CharifOther2230.3%
Beth St DenisOther2030.3%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
0.1 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
4,240 votes
New Democratic took more than the 4-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
77 of 250
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (170) · ■ won by another party (77) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 3 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 0.00% of the 70,138 valid votes, 0.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative32,090
Liberal32,086
Still Conservative by 4 votes. Actual margin: 4.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 60.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative49.1%40.7%−8.4
Liberal41.3%52.5%+11.2
New Democratic6.7%5.0%−1.7
People's1.4%0.9%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore and its 3 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35118ON · 2025
Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore
Kathy Borrelli
Result
Conservative gain by 4
Turnout
66.5%
Population
130,960
Area
310 km²
Closest race in Canada: Won by 4 votes (0.1 pts) · 2nd of 3432ndClosest race in CanadaMost populous in Canada: 130,960 people, 2021 census · 6th of 3436thMost populous in CanadaChanged hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)58Changed hands in 2025
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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