The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong

Federal riding · ON · No. 35090 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Marilyn Gladu Liberal
2025 result
Conservative hold by 11,657 votes
Turnout
71.7% of 107,133 electors
Population
128,155 2021 census
Area
4,173 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Population, largest first: 128,155 people, 2021 census · 11th of 343 in Canada11th
    Population, largest first
    128,155 people, 2021 census · 11th of 343 in Canada
  • Length of the ballot: 7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada24th
    Length of the ballot
    7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada
  • Area, largest first: 4,173 km² · 98th of 343 in Canada98th
    Area, largest first
    4,173 km² · 98th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Marilyn Gladu held the seat for the Conservatives by 11,657 votes (+15.2 points).
  2. 44% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 60.2% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median age is the 59th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Marilyn Gladu
Liberal · first elected 2015-10-19 · 4 terms
  • Member: Justice and Human Rights
  • Member: Status of Women
  • Vice-Chair: Status of Women
175 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 1.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 44% of today's Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong came from ridings other than the old Lambton—Kent—Middlesex.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
55.8%Lambton—Kent—Middlesex 39% of it kept
44.2%Sarnia—Lambton
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Marilyn Gladu
Conservative
40,597
53.1% of valid votes
Margin
11,657
votes · +15.2 pts
Runner-up
George Vandenberg
Liberal
28,940
37.9% of valid votes
Conservative 53.1% · Liberal 37.9% · New Democratic 5.4% · People's 1.5% · Other 1.3%
Turnout71.7% of 107,133 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Marilyn GladuConservative40,59753.1%46.2%+6.9
George VandenbergLiberal28,94037.9%19.3%+18.6
Lo-Anne ChanNew Democratic4,0885.4%20.9%−15.5
Brian EveraertPeople's1,1361.5%10.9%−9.4
Jacques Y BoudreauOther9901.3%0.6%+1.6
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Mark LamoreOther4370.6%
Tony MitchellOther2010.3%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
7.6 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
4,088 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 11,657-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
35 of 231
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (194) · ■ won by another party (35) · ▨ tied (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 5,829 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 7.6% of the 76,389 valid votes, 7.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative40,597
Liberal28,940
Still Conservative by 11,657 votes. Actual margin: 11,657.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 60.2% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative55.6%49.5%−6.1
Liberal34.3%43.3%+9.0
New Democratic6.0%4.4%−1.6
Other2.4%1.7%−0.7
People's1.8%1.1%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35090ON · 2025
Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong
Marilyn Gladu
Result
Conservative hold by 11,657
Turnout
71.7%
Population
128,155
Area
4,173 km²
Population, largest first: 128,155 people, 2021 census · 11th of 343 in Canada11thPopulation, largest firstLength of the ballot: 7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada24thLength of the ballotArea, largest first: 4,173 km² · 98th of 343 in Canada98thArea, largest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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