A figure drawn from the article’s own data stands in until its painting is drawn.
Where do the national polls stand in November 2026?
November, So Far · figures as of
No national poll with its fieldwork ending in November 2026 is listed as of November 1, 2026: the month’s figures are entered with its first poll. This chapter is open: its figures move with every sync until November 30, 2026, when it closes.
Every figure is in the tables below, in the chart and in the CSV files; while the chapter is open every sentence is filled from them, and nothing is written by hand until it closes. Sources and their terms are in the foot.
The rule. Two series may be shown moving together, each dated and both figures printed. The page never states a cause as fact: each reading below is labelled a reading, with what would confirm or refute it. A move inside the pollsters’ stated error is said to be inside it. A census figure describes a riding, never its voters.
I. The month so far
1Election, Apr 28, 2025
The 14-day trailing mean of the national polls, taken weekly, from the election to November 1, 2026; each poll a dot; the numbered rules are the round’s opening and the month’s dated entries of §II, printed where they fall and nothing more. All 79 weeks are in weekly.csv, every poll in polls.csv.
The trailing weekly mean is the mean of the polls in the fourteen days to each Sunday.
Every national poll with fieldwork ending in November 2026: no row yet.
Released in November 2026: consumer prices, unemployment, the policy rate
Measure
For
Value
Released
Note
Policy rate
November 2026
2.5%
—
Unchanged through the month; at this value since 2026-10-29
The month week by week, newest first, each week Monday to Sunday and entered by its Sunday. Each entry gives the fourteen-day mean the week leaves and its largest move from the week before, against the pollsters’ typical stated error. Beside them it sets what Statistics Canada, the Bank of Canada and Hansard dated in the week, and reads nothing further from the two. The month’s Sundays still to come stand as lines until their weeks are entered. Every week’s figures are in weeks.csv.
· to come
Entered on the first sync after November 29, 2026, once the week’s polls are in.
· to come
Entered on the first sync after November 22, 2026, once the week’s polls are in.
· to come
Entered on the first sync after November 15, 2026, once the week’s polls are in.
· to come
Entered on the first sync after November 8, 2026, once the week’s polls are in.
No national poll ended in the week to November 1, 2026, and the fourteen-day mean stands at 46.4% Liberal, 30.3% Conservative and 12.0% NDP. The largest move from the week before, 0.8 points in the NDP mean, is set beside no stated error: the month has no poll stating one yet. The Bank of Canada’s target for the overnight rate went to 2.5% from October 29, 2026. Hansard lists 5 sitting days of the House in the week.