Articles
7 so far · each rebuilt from the data
Data-rich, neutral articles rebuilt from the record’s data: the polls against dated events, ridings in the census, the seats by province. Every figure dated and sourced; no cause stated.
Standing137of 144Conservative members listedSeven Fewer Than ElectedAt 137 members listed on November 1, 2026, the Conservatives are seven under the 144 the 2025 election returned, the largest change of any party since the vote.Figures as of November 1, 2026
Poll watch · October 202629.8%Conservative meanLow Water in OctoberAt 29.8%, the Conservative mean of the national polls in October 2026 was the lowest of the 18 months since the 2025 election, under September’s 31.3.Figures as of October 31, 2026
Poll watch · September 202615.5ptsLiberal leadThe Widest Gap Since the VoteAt 15.5 points, the Liberal lead over the Conservatives in September 2026’s poll average is the widest in the 17 months since the 2025 election, past March’s 13.3.Figures as of September 30, 2026
Cross-section1voteClosest marginDecided by One VoteBy one vote, Terrebonne in Quebec was the closest of the 343 ridings at the 2025 election, won by Tatiana Auguste, Liberal, with 38.7% of the valid votes.Figures as of April 28, 2025
Poll watch · November 2024 to April 20252.1ptsThe lead changesThe Week the Lead ChangedIn the week to March 16, 2025, the trailing mean of the national polls put the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives for the first time in the series, 38.4% to 36.3%, a lead of 2.1 points.Figures as of April 28, 2025