The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 13001New Brunswick

Acadie—Bathurst

Acadie—Bathurst is a federal riding in New Brunswick. Serge Cormier (Liberal, first elected to the House in 2015) represents Acadie—Bathurst. Serge Cormier (Liberal) held Acadie—Bathurst for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 20,015 votes (41.5 points), with 67.5% of the vote. James Brown (Conservative) was second with 26.0%, on a turnout of 70.3% of 69,444 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Acadie—Bathurst on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Acadie—Bathurst

Serge Cormier's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Serge Cormier

Member of Parliament for Acadie—Bathurst

Liberal

MP since 2015-10-19 · 4 terms

Fisheries and Oceans committee
Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure

25 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Build Canada Homes Act.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Acadie—Bathurst, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 48,248 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Serge Cormier	Liberal	32,556	67.5%
James Brown	Conservative	12,541	26.0%
Ty Boulay	New Democratic	2,108	4.4%
Randi Rachelle Raynard	People's Party	1,043	2.2%

Serge Cormier (Liberal) won Acadie—Bathurst on April 28, 2025 with 32,556 votes, 67.5% of the 48,248 valid votes. James Brown (Conservative) was second with 12,541 (26.0%), 20,015 votes and 41.5 points behind.

Of the 48,248 valid votes, Serge Cormier (Liberal) took 67.5%, James Brown (Conservative) 26.0%, Ty Boulay (New Democratic) 4.4% and Randi Rachelle Raynard (People's Party) 2.2%. Turnout was 70.3% of 69,444 electors: 48,842 ballots cast, 48,248 of them valid, for 4 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 3.3 (64.2% to 67.5%), the Conservatives up 12.3 (13.7% to 26.0%), the New Democrats down 6.7 (11.1% to 4.4%) and the People's Party down 3.6 (5.8% to 2.2%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Acadie—Bathurst at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004New Democratic49.3%by 14.6 points over the Liberals
2006New Democratic45.6%by 13.4 points over the Liberals
2008New Democratic52.3%by 28.4 points over the Liberals
2011New Democratic63.6%by 42.7 points over the Conservatives
2015changed handsLiberal50.6%by 11.9 points over the New Democrats
2019Liberal54.6%by 32.7 points over the Conservatives
2021Liberal64.2%by 50.5 points over the Conservatives
2025Liberal67.5%by 41.5 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	New Democratic	49.3%	Liberal	14.6	carried, our estimate
2006	New Democratic	45.6%	Liberal	13.4	carried, our estimate
2008	New Democratic	52.3%	Liberal	28.4	carried, our estimate
2011	New Democratic	63.6%	Conservative	42.7	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	50.6%	New Democratic	11.9	carried, our estimate
2019	Liberal	54.6%	Conservative	32.7	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	64.2%	Conservative	50.5	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	67.5%	Conservative	41.5	official result

The NDP were first at four of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at four; it changed hands once. In 2025 the Liberals took 67.5% of the vote here, 28.2 points above their average of 39.3% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the NDP were first here in 2004 (49.3%), 2006 (45.6%), 2008 (52.3%) and 2011 (63.6%) and the Liberals in 2015 (50.6%), 2019 (54.6%), 2021 (64.2%) and 2025 (67.5%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Serge Cormier, by 21,901 votes (51.0 pts)
2019 Liberal · Serge Cormier, by 16,195 votes (33.6 pts)
2015 Liberal · Serge Cormier, by 5,766 votes (11.3 pts)

In the old Acadie—Bathurst on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Acadie—Bathurst lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Acadie—Bathurst is

Population: 79,5802021 census
Area: 6,322km²
Density: 13people per km²
Electors: 69,444on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

7th-oldest median age
Median age 53.6, 7th highest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)
Widest margin in New Brunswick
Won by 41.5 points (20,015 votes) · 1st of 10 in New Brunswick · 41st of 343 in Canada
3rd-lowest turnout in New Brunswick
70.3% of 69,444 electors voted · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 195th of 343 in Canada

Median age is 53.6 — about 1.3 times the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest7th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 1.5% — about 9 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest15th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 14.2% — about 50 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest17th lowest of 343
Median total household income is $60,800 — about 72 percent of the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest18th lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 81.4% — about 50.9 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest46th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 78.2% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest80th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 97% of the 2025 electors in today's Acadie—Bathurst lived in the old Acadie—Bathurst; by area, 2% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

97.3%Acadie—Bathurst 98.3% of the area

2.7%Miramichi—Grand Lake 1.7% of the area · 1% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Serge Cormier	Liberal	32,556	67.5%	64.2%	+3.3
James Brown	Conservative	12,541	26.0%	13.7%	+12.3
Ty Boulay	New Democratic	2,108	4.4%	11.1%	−6.7
Randi Rachelle Raynard	People's	1,043	2.2%	5.8%	−3.6

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

2,108 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 20,015-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

15 of 198

4 polls ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (179) · ■ won by another party (15) · ▨ tied (4).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 10,008 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 20.7% of the 48,248 valid votes, 20.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0020,016

Liberal32,556

Conservative12,541

Still Liberal by 20,015 votes. Actual margin: 20,015.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 49.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 61.3%, the Conservatives 30.9%, the New Democrats 5.2% and the People's Party 2.6%; in advance and special ballots, 73.5%, 21.2%, 3.6% and 1.7%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Acadie—Bathurst, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	61.3%	73.5%	+12.2
Conservative	30.9%	21.2%	−9.7
New Democratic	5.2%	3.6%	−1.6
People's Party	2.6%	1.7%	−0.9

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Acadie—Bathurst and its 3 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Acadie—Bathurst — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/acadie-bathurst/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.