The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Madawaska—Restigouche

Federal riding · NB · No. 13005 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Madawaska—Restigouche, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Guillaume Deschênes-Thériault Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 6,400 votes
Turnout
70.1% of 59,312 electors
Population
70,560 2021 census
Area
13,722 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Lowest turnout in New Brunswick: 70.1% of 59,312 electors voted · 2nd of 10 in New Brunswick · 187th of 343 in Canada2nd
    Lowest turnout in New Brunswick
    70.1% of 59,312 electors voted · 2nd of 10 in New Brunswick · 187th of 343 in Canada
  • Largest by area in New Brunswick: 13,722 km² · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 61st of 343 in Canada3rd
    Largest by area in New Brunswick
    13,722 km² · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 61st of 343 in Canada
  • Least populous in New Brunswick: 70,560 people, 2021 census · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 13th of 343 in Canada3rd
    Least populous in New Brunswick
    70,560 people, 2021 census · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 13th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Guillaume Deschênes-Thériault held the seat for the Liberals by 6,400 votes (+15.6 points).
  2. 10% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 50.7% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median age is the 12th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Guillaume Deschênes-Thériault
Liberal · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
  • Member: Official Languages
  • Member: Science and Research
  • Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
242 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Resumption of Debate on Address in Reply.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 10% of today's Madawaska—Restigouche came from ridings other than the old Madawaska—Restigouche.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
90.1%Madawaska—Restigouche
9.2%Tobique—Mactaquac 9% of it kept
0.7%Miramichi—Grand Lake 1% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Guillaume Deschênes-Thériault
Liberal
22,720
55.2% of valid votes
Margin
6,400
votes · +15.6 pts
Runner-up
Michel Morin
Conservative
16,320
39.6% of valid votes
Liberal 55.2% · Conservative 39.6% · New Democratic 3.0% · People's 2.2%
Turnout70.1% of 59,312 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Guillaume Deschênes-ThériaultLiberal22,72055.2%51.3%+3.9
Michel MorinConservative16,32039.6%27.4%+12.2
Daisy PetersenNew Democratic1,2513.0%6.1%−3.1
Nancy MercierPeople's8872.2%7.4%−5.2
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
7.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,251 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 6,400-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
62 of 149
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (86) · ■ won by another party (62) · ▨ tied (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 3,201 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 7.8% of the 41,178 valid votes, 7.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal22,720
Conservative16,320
Still Liberal by 6,400 votes. Actual margin: 6,400.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 50.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal49.1%61.4%+12.3
Conservative45.1%34.1%−11.0
New Democratic3.2%2.8%−0.4
People's2.6%1.7%−0.9
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Madawaska—Restigouche and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 13005NB · 2025
Madawaska—Restigouche
Guillaume Deschênes-Thériault
Result
Liberal hold by 6,400
Turnout
70.1%
Population
70,560
Area
13,722 km²
Lowest turnout in New Brunswick: 70.1% of 59,312 electors voted · 2nd of 10 in New Brunswick · 187th of 343 in Canada2ndLowest turnout in New BrunswickLargest by area in New Brunswick: 13,722 km² · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 61st of 343 in Canada3rdLargest by area in New BrunswickLeast populous in New Brunswick: 70,560 people, 2021 census · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 13th of 343 in Canada3rdLeast populous in New Brunswick
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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