242 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Resumption of Debate on Address in Reply.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 10% of today's Madawaska—Restigouche came from ridings other than the old Madawaska—Restigouche.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
90.1%Madawaska—Restigouche
9.2%Tobique—Mactaquac 9% of it kept
0.7%Miramichi—Grand Lake 1% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Guillaume Deschênes-Thériault
Liberal
22,720
55.2% of valid votes
Margin
6,400
votes · +15.6 pts
Runner-up
Michel Morin
Conservative
16,320
39.6% of valid votes
Liberal 55.2% · Conservative 39.6% · New Democratic 3.0% · People's 2.2%
Turnout70.1% of 59,312 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Guillaume Deschênes-Thériault
Liberal
22,720
55.2%
51.3%
+3.9
Michel Morin
Conservative
16,320
39.6%
27.4%
+12.2
Daisy Petersen
New Democratic
1,251
3.0%
6.1%
−3.1
Nancy Mercier
People's
887
2.2%
7.4%
−5.2
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
7.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,251 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 6,400-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
62 of 149
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (86) · ■ won by another party (62) · ▨ tied (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 3,201 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 7.8% of the 41,178 valid votes, 7.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal22,720
Conservative16,320
Still Liberal by 6,400 votes. Actual margin: 6,400.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 50.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal49.1%61.4%+12.3
Conservative45.1%34.1%−11.0
New Democratic3.2%2.8%−0.4
People's2.6%1.7%−0.9
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $60,800 — about 72 percent of the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest18th lowest of 343
Median age is 52.4 — about 1.3 times the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest12th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 15.8% — about 56 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest43rd lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 2.8% — about 16 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest26th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 74.0% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest136th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 78.3% — about 48.9 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest48th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Madawaska—Restigouche and its 6 neighbouring ridings.
Lowest turnout in New BrunswickLargest by area in New BrunswickLeast populous in New Brunswick
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.