The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Calgary Confederation
Federal riding · AB · No. 48005 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Corey Hogan Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal gain by 1,273 votes
- Turnout
- 74.5% of 93,071 electors
- Population
- 119,505 2021 census
- Area
- 53 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Closest race in AlbertaWon by 1,273 votes (1.8 pts) · 1st of 37 in Alberta · 26th of 343 in Canada
- Most candidates on the ballot in Alberta7 candidates stood · 3rd of 37 in Alberta · 24th of 343 in Canada
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (4 of 37 in Alberta)
- Decided before election dayOn election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343
In brief
- Corey Hogan took the seat for the Liberals by 1,273 votes (+1.8 points).
- 14% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
- On election day alone, the Conservatives led; advance and special ballots decided it.
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 24th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Corey Hogan
- Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister of Energy and Natural Resources
- Member: Exercise of Powers Under the Building Canada Act
- Member: Natural Resources
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 14% of today's Calgary Confederation came from ridings other than the old Calgary Confederation.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
86.0%Calgary Confederation 84% of it kept
13.8%Calgary Signal Hill 11% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal gain
Elected
Corey Hogan
Liberal
33,112
48.1% of valid votes
Margin
1,273
votes · +1.8 pts
Runner-up
Jeremy Nixon
Conservative
31,839
46.3% of valid votes
Liberal 48.1% · Conservative 46.3% · New Democratic 4.1%
Turnout74.5% of 93,071 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hogan | Liberal | 33,112 | 48.1% | 27.7% | +20.4 |
| Jeremy Nixon | Conservative | 31,839 | 46.3% | 45.4% | +0.9 |
| Keira Gunn | New Democratic | 2,844 | 4.1% | 17.6% | −13.5 |
4 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Richard Willott | Green | 400 | 0.6% |
| Artyom Ovsepyan | People's | 302 | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Reid Marsh | Other | 198 | 0.3% |
| Kevan Hunter | Other | 144 | 0.2% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
0.9 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,844 votes
New Democratic took more than the 1,273-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
113 of 199
5 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 637 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 0.9% of the 68,839 valid votes, 0.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal33,112
Conservative31,839
Still Liberal by 1,273 votes. Actual margin: 1,273.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 50.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative48.1%44.4%−3.7
Liberal45.5%50.8%+5.3
New Democratic4.6%3.6%−1.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $87,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest138th highest of 343
- Median age is 38.4 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest76th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 55.7% — about 2.0 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest24th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 20.8% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest151st highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 54.6% — about 76 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest63rd lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.5% — a little lower than the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest166th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 48005AB · 2025
Calgary Confederation
Corey Hogan
- Result
- Liberal gain by 1,273
- Turnout
- 74.5%
- Population
- 119,505
- Area
- 53 km²
Closest race in AlbertaMost candidates on the ballot in AlbertaChanged hands in 2025Decided before election day
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.