The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 48005Alberta
Calgary Confederation
Calgary Confederation is a federal riding in Alberta. Corey Hogan (Liberal) has represented Calgary Confederation since the 2025 election. Corey Hogan (Liberal) took Calgary Confederation from the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 1,273 votes (1.8 points), with 48.1% of the vote. Jeremy Nixon (Conservative) was second with 46.3%, on a turnout of 74.5% of 93,071 electors. Member as of .
Who represents Calgary Confederation
Corey Hogan
Member of Parliament for Calgary Confederation
Liberal
MP since · first term
- Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister of Energy and Natural Resources
- Exercise of Powers Under the Building Canada Act committee
- Natural Resources committee
160 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Forestry Industry.
The 2025 result: Liberal gain from the Conservatives
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Calgary Confederation, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hogan | Liberal | 33,112 | 48.1% |
| Jeremy Nixon | Conservative | 31,839 | 46.3% |
| Keira Gunn | New Democratic | 2,844 | 4.1% |
| Others (4) | 1,044 | 1.5% |
Corey Hogan (Liberal) won Calgary Confederation on with 33,112 votes, 48.1% of the 68,839 valid votes. Jeremy Nixon (Conservative) was second with 31,839 (46.3%), 1,273 votes and 1.8 points behind.
Of the 68,839 valid votes, Corey Hogan (Liberal) took 48.1%, Jeremy Nixon (Conservative) 46.3% and Keira Gunn (New Democratic) 4.1%; the 4 other candidates took 1.5% together. Turnout was 74.5% of 93,071 electors: 69,322 ballots cast, 68,839 of them valid, for 7 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 20.4 (27.7% to 48.1%), the Conservatives up 0.9 (45.4% to 46.3%) and the New Democrats down 13.5 (17.6% to 4.1%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: no party has held it
The party first in Calgary Confederation at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Conservative54.8%by 30.7 points over the Liberals
- 2006Conservative56.9%by 40.4 points over the Liberals
- 2008Conservative56.8%by 41.6 points over the Liberals
- 2011Conservative58.4%by 43.2 points over the Liberals
- 2015Conservative47.6%by 5.6 points over the Liberals
- 2019Conservative56.8%by 35.1 points over the Liberals
- 2021Conservative45.4%by 17.7 points over the Liberals
- 2025changed handsLiberal48.1%by 1.8 points over the Conservatives
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Conservative | 54.8% | Liberal | 30.7 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Conservative | 56.9% | Liberal | 40.4 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Conservative | 56.8% | Liberal | 41.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | Conservative | 58.4% | Liberal | 43.2 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | Conservative | 47.6% | Liberal | 5.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Conservative | 56.8% | Liberal | 35.1 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Conservative | 45.4% | Liberal | 17.7 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Liberal | 48.1% | Conservative | 1.8 | official result |
The Conservatives were first at seven of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at one; it changed hands once. In 2025 the Liberals took 48.1% of the vote here, 24.9 points above their average of 23.2% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (54.8%), 2006 (56.9%), 2008 (56.8%), 2011 (58.4%), 2015 (47.6%), 2019 (56.8%) and 2021 (45.4%) and the Liberals in 2025 (48.1%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.
- 2021 Conservative · Len Webber, by 10,807 votes (17.5 pts)
- 2019 Conservative · Len Webber, by 21,404 votes (32.5 pts)
- 2015 Conservative · Len Webber, by 1,586 votes (2.4 pts)
In the old Calgary Confederation on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Calgary Confederation lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Calgary Confederation is
- Population
- 119,5052021 census
- Area
- 53km²
- Density
- 2,255people per km²
- Electors
- 93,071on the 2025 lists
- Closest race in AlbertaWon by 1,273 votes (1.8 pts) · 1st of 37 in Alberta · 26th of 343 in Canada
- 3rd-most candidates on the ballot in Alberta7 candidates stood · 3rd of 37 in Alberta · 24th of 343 in Canada
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (4 of 37 in Alberta)
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 55.7% — about 2.0 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest24th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 54.6% — about 76 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest63rd lowest of 343
- Median age is 38.4 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest76th lowest of 343
- Median total household income is $87,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest138th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 20.8% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest151st highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.5% — a little lower than the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest166th lowest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 89% of the 2025 electors in today's Calgary Confederation lived in the old Calgary Confederation; by area, 14% of the riding came from other ridings.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hogan | Liberal | 33,112 | 48.1% | 27.7% | +20.4 |
| Jeremy Nixon | Conservative | 31,839 | 46.3% | 45.4% | +0.9 |
| Keira Gunn | New Democratic | 2,844 | 4.1% | 17.6% | −13.5 |
4 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Richard Willott | Green | 400 | 0.6% |
| Artyom Ovsepyan | People's | 302 | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Reid Marsh | Other | 198 | 0.3% |
| Kevan Hunter | Other | 144 | 0.2% |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 637 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 0.9% of the 68,839 valid votes, 0.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 50.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.
On election day the Liberals took 45.5%, the Conservatives 48.1% and the New Democrats 4.6%; in advance and special ballots, 50.8%, 44.4% and 3.6%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Calgary Confederation, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 45.5% | 50.8% | +5.3 |
| Conservative | 48.1% | 44.4% | −3.7 |
| New Democratic | 4.6% | 3.6% | −1.0 |