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The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 48011Alberta

Calgary Nose Hill

Calgary Nose Hill is a federal riding in Alberta. Michelle Rempel Garner (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2011) represents Calgary Nose Hill. Michelle Rempel Garner (Conservative) held Calgary Nose Hill for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 14,321 votes (23.2 points), with 59.4% of the vote. Tom Becker (Liberal) was second with 36.2%, on a turnout of 69.2% of 89,425 electors. Member as of .

Calgary Confederation · LiberalCalgary Crowfoot · ConservativeCalgary McKnight · ConservativeCalgary Skyview · ConservativeCalgary Nose Hill
Fig. 1 — Calgary Nose Hill on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents Calgary Nose Hill

CMichelle Rempel Garner
Michelle Rempel Garner's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Michelle Rempel Garner

Member of Parliament for Calgary Nose Hill

Conservative

MP since · 5 terms

  • Citizenship and Immigration committee
  • Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
  • Vice-Chair, Citizenship and Immigration committee

287 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Calgary Nose Hill, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Calgary Nose Hill, April 28, 2025Of the 61,592 valid votes, Michelle Rempel Garner (Conservative) took 59.4%, Tom Becker (Liberal) 36.2% and Ahmed Khan (New Democratic) 3.2%; the 3 other candidates took 1.2% together.2025Turnout 69.2% of 89,425 electorsMichelle RempelGarnerConservative59.4% · 36,59714,321 votes ahead · 23.3 ptsTom BeckerLiberal36.2% · 22,276Ahmed KhanNew Democratic3.2% · 1,975Others (3)1.2% · 744050%100%
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Calgary Nose Hill, April 28, 2025Of the 61,592 valid votes, Michelle Rempel Garner (Conservative) took 59.4%, Tom Becker (Liberal) 36.2% and Ahmed Khan (New Democratic) 3.2%; the 3 other candidates took 1.2% together.2025Turnout 69.2% of 89,425 electorsMichelle Rempel GarnerConservative59.4% · 36,59714,321 votes ahead · 23.3 ptsTom BeckerLiberal36.2% · 22,276Ahmed KhanNew Democratic3.2% · 1,975Others (3)1.2% · 744050%100%
Shares of the 61,592 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Michelle Rempel GarnerConservative36,59759.4%
Tom BeckerLiberal22,27636.2%
Ahmed KhanNew Democratic1,9753.2%
Others (3)7441.2%

Michelle Rempel Garner (Conservative) won Calgary Nose Hill on with 36,597 votes, 59.4% of the 61,592 valid votes. Tom Becker (Liberal) was second with 22,276 (36.2%), 14,321 votes and 23.2 points behind.

Of the 61,592 valid votes, Michelle Rempel Garner (Conservative) took 59.4%, Tom Becker (Liberal) 36.2% and Ahmed Khan (New Democratic) 3.2%; the 3 other candidates took 1.2% together. Turnout was 69.2% of 89,425 electors: 61,890 ballots cast, 61,592 of them valid, for 6 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 4.4 (55.0% to 59.4%), the Liberals up 16.1 (20.1% to 36.2%) and the New Democrats down 13.6 (16.8% to 3.2%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: a Conservative stronghold

The party first in Calgary Nose Hill at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

  1. 2004Conservative60.4%by 38.0 points over the Liberals
  2. 2006Conservative63.5%by 47.4 points over the Liberals
  3. 2008Conservative63.4%by 50.2 points over the Liberals
  4. 2011Conservative64.1%by 50.4 points over the New Democrats
  5. 2015Conservative56.6%by 25.8 points over the Liberals
  6. 2019Conservative66.5%by 48.7 points over the Liberals
  7. 2021Conservative55.0%by 34.9 points over the Liberals
  8. 2025Conservative59.4%by 23.2 points over the Liberals
Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.
The figures
YearFirstShareSecondMargin (pts)Basis
2004Conservative60.4%Liberal38.0carried, our estimate
2006Conservative63.5%Liberal47.4carried, our estimate
2008Conservative63.4%Liberal50.2carried, our estimate
2011Conservative64.1%New Democratic50.4carried, our estimate
2015Conservative56.6%Liberal25.8carried, our estimate
2019Conservative66.5%Liberal48.7carried, our estimate
2021Conservative55.0%Liberal34.9transposed by Elections Canada
2025Conservative59.4%Liberal23.2official result

The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 39.8 points over the next party. In 2025 the Conservatives took 59.4% of the vote here, 2.0 points below their average of 61.4% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (60.4%), 2006 (63.5%), 2008 (63.4%), 2011 (64.1%), 2015 (56.6%), 2019 (66.5%), 2021 (55.0%) and 2025 (59.4%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025
  • 2021 Conservative · Michelle Rempel Garner, by 17,690 votes (35.1 pts)
  • 2019 Conservative · Michelle Rempel, by 29,885 votes (54.1 pts)
  • 2015 Conservative · Michelle Rempel, by 18,089 votes (33.1 pts)

In the old Calgary Nose Hill on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Calgary Nose Hill lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Calgary Nose Hill is

Population
117,8852021 census
Area
61km²
Density
1,926people per km²
Electors
89,425on the 2025 lists
  • Share who are immigrants is 35.3% — about 2.0 times the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest78th highest of 343
  • Median total household income is $96,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest85th highest of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.0% — about 63 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest101st lowest of 343
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 39.0% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest104th highest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 72.3% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest157th highest of 343
  • Median age is 41.6 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest163rd highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 74% of the 2025 electors in today's Calgary Nose Hill lived in the old Calgary Nose Hill; by area, 28% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
73.6%Calgary Nose Hill 71.7% of the area · 77% of it kept
13.6%Calgary Confederation 13.8% of the area · 16% of it kept
7.3%Calgary Skyview 10.8% of the area · 5% of it kept
5.4%Calgary Rocky Ridge 3.7% of the area · 3% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Michelle Rempel GarnerConservative36,59759.4%55.0%+4.4
Tom BeckerLiberal22,27636.2%20.1%+16.1
Ahmed KhanNew Democratic1,9753.2%16.8%−13.6
3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Addison FachGreen4300.7%
Vanessa WangOther1990.3%
Peggy AskinOther1150.2%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
1,975 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 14,321-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
2 of 143
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (141) · ■ won by another party (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 7,161 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 11.6% of the 61,592 valid votes, 11.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative36,597
Liberal22,276
Still Conservative by 14,321 votes. Actual margin: 14,321.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 52.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 60.0%, the Liberals 35.0% and the New Democrats 3.6%; in advance and special ballots, 58.8%, 37.5% and 2.8%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Calgary Nose Hill, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Calgary Nose Hill, April 28, 2025On election day the Conservatives took 60.0%, the Liberals 35.0% and the New Democrats 3.6%; in advance and special ballots, 58.8%, 37.5% and 2.8%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapConservative60.0%58.8%−1.2 ptsLiberal35.0%37.5%+2.5 ptsNew Democratic3.6%2.8%−0.8 pts050%100%
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Calgary Nose Hill, April 28, 2025On election day the Conservatives took 60.0%, the Liberals 35.0% and the New Democrats 3.6%; in advance and special ballots, 58.8%, 37.5% and 2.8%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapConservative60.0%58.8%−1.2 ptsLiberal35.0%37.5%+2.5 ptsNew Democratic3.6%2.8%−0.8 pts050%100%
Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
PartyElection dayAdvance and specialGap
Conservative60.0%58.8%−1.2
Liberal35.0%37.5%+2.5
New Democratic3.6%2.8%−0.8
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Calgary Nose Hill and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Calgary Nose Hill — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/calgary-nose-hill/ Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.