The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Calgary Nose Hill
Federal riding · AB · No. 48011 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Michelle Rempel Garner Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 14,321 votes
- Turnout
- 69.2% of 89,425 electors
- Population
- 117,885 2021 census
- Area
- 61 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Length of the ballot6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
- Area, smallest first61 km² · 83rd of 343 in Canada
- Population, largest first117,885 people, 2021 census · 88th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Michelle Rempel Garner
- Member: Citizenship and Immigration
- Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
- Vice-Chair: Citizenship and Immigration
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 28% of today's Calgary Nose Hill came from ridings other than the old Calgary Nose Hill.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
71.7%Calgary Nose Hill 77% of it kept
13.8%Calgary Confederation 16% of it kept
10.8%Calgary Skyview 5% of it kept
3.7%Calgary Rocky Ridge 3% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Michelle Rempel Garner
Conservative
36,597
59.4% of valid votes
Margin
14,321
votes · +23.2 pts
Runner-up
Tom Becker
Liberal
22,276
36.2% of valid votes
Conservative 59.4% · Liberal 36.2% · New Democratic 3.2%
Turnout69.2% of 89,425 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Rempel Garner | Conservative | 36,597 | 59.4% | 55.0% | +4.4 |
| Tom Becker | Liberal | 22,276 | 36.2% | 20.1% | +16.1 |
| Ahmed Khan | New Democratic | 1,975 | 3.2% | 16.8% | −13.6 |
3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Addison Fach | Green | 430 | 0.7% |
| Vanessa Wang | Other | 199 | 0.3% |
| Peggy Askin | Other | 115 | 0.2% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
11.6 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,975 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 14,321-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
2 of 143
No poll ended in a tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 7,161 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 11.6% of the 61,592 valid votes, 11.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative36,597
Liberal22,276
Still Conservative by 14,321 votes. Actual margin: 14,321.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 52.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative60.0%58.8%−1.2
Liberal35.0%37.5%+2.5
New Democratic3.6%2.8%−0.8
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $96,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest85th highest of 343
- Median age is 41.6 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest163rd highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 39.0% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest104th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 35.3% — about 2.0 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest78th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 72.3% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest157th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.0% — about 63 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest101st lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 48011AB · 2025
Calgary Nose Hill
Michelle Rempel Garner
- Result
- Conservative hold by 14,321
- Turnout
- 69.2%
- Population
- 117,885
- Area
- 61 km²
Length of the ballotArea, smallest firstPopulation, largest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.