The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Cardigan
Federal riding · PE · No. 11001 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Kent MacDonald Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 4,962 votes
- Turnout
- 79.0% of 32,251 electors
- Population
- 39,230 2021 census
- Area
- 4,089 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Highest turnout in Canada79.0% of 32,251 electors voted · 3rd of 343
- Least populous in Canada39,230 people, 2021 census · 7th of 343
- Most candidates on the ballot in Prince Edward Island6 candidates stood · 1st of 4 in Prince Edward Island · 61st of 343 in Canada
- Largest by area in Prince Edward Island4,089 km² · 1st of 4 in Prince Edward Island · 100th of 343 in Canada
- Most populous in Prince Edward Island39,230 people, 2021 census · 1st of 4 in Prince Edward Island · 337th of 343 in Canada
- Closest race in Prince Edward IslandWon by 4,962 votes (19.6 pts) · 2nd of 4 in Prince Edward Island · 108th of 343 in Canada
In brief
- Kent MacDonald held the seat for the Liberals by 4,962 votes (+19.6 points).
- The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 99% of the old Cardigan.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 50.6% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share of households that own their home is the 60th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Kent MacDonald
- Member: Agriculture and Agri-Food
- Member: Finance
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Cardigan comes from the old Cardigan, but it is only 99% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Cardigan 99% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Kent MacDonald
Liberal
14,404
57.0% of valid votes
Margin
4,962
votes · +19.6 pts
Runner-up
James Aylward
Conservative
9,442
37.4% of valid votes
Liberal 57.0% · Conservative 37.4% · New Democratic 2.0% · Independent 1.6% · Green 1.3%
Turnout79.0% of 32,251 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent MacDonald | Liberal | 14,404 | 57.0% | 50.1% | +6.9 |
| James Aylward | Conservative | 9,442 | 37.4% | 30.6% | +6.8 |
| Lynne Thiele | New Democratic | 505 | 2.0% | 9.7% | −7.7 |
| Wayne Phelan | Independent | 404 | 1.6% | — | +1.6 |
| Maria Rodriguez | Green | 326 | 1.3% | 4.8% | −3.5 |
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
| Adam Harding | People's | 180 | 0.7% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
9.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
505 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 4,962-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
20 of 78
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 2,482 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 9.8% of the 25,261 valid votes, 9.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal14,404
Conservative9,442
Still Liberal by 4,962 votes. Actual margin: 4,962.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 50.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal52.0%62.2%+10.2
Conservative41.3%33.3%−8.0
New Democratic2.1%1.8%−0.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $77,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest112th lowest of 343
- Median age is 43.6 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest106th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 27.5% — about the same as the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest168th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 6.6% — about 38 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest75th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 80.2% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest60th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.4% — a little lower than the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest152nd lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 11001PE · 2025
Cardigan
Kent MacDonald
- Result
- Liberal hold by 4,962
- Turnout
- 79.0%
- Population
- 39,230
- Area
- 4,089 km²
Highest turnout in CanadaLeast populous in CanadaMost candidates on the ballot in Prince Edward IslandLargest by area in Prince Edward IslandMost populous in Prince Edward IslandClosest race in Prince Edward Island
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.