The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Central Nova
Nova-Centre
Federal riding · NS · No. 12003 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Sean Fraser Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 4,613 votes
- Turnout
- 74.6% of 67,801 electors
- Population
- 76,215 2021 census
- Area
- 11,811 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Highest turnout in Nova Scotia74.6% of 67,801 electors voted · 2nd of 11 in Nova Scotia · 38th of 343 in Canada
- Most candidates on the ballot in Nova Scotia6 candidates stood · 2nd of 11 in Nova Scotia · 61st of 343 in Canada
- Largest by area in Nova Scotia11,811 km² · 3rd of 11 in Nova Scotia · 68th of 343 in Canada
- Least populous in Nova Scotia76,215 people, 2021 census · 3rd of 11 in Nova Scotia · 22nd of 343 in Canada
- Decided before election dayOn election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Sean Fraser
- Attorney General of Canada
- Minister of Justice
- Minister responsible for the Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 3% of today's Central Nova came from ridings other than the old Central Nova.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
97.0%Central Nova 87% of it kept
3.0%Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook 39% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Sean Fraser
Liberal
26,078
51.9% of valid votes
Margin
4,613
votes · +9.2 pts
Runner-up
Brycen Jenkins
Conservative
21,465
42.7% of valid votes
Liberal 51.9% · Conservative 42.7% · New Democratic 3.3%
Turnout74.6% of 67,801 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Fraser | Liberal | 26,078 | 51.9% | 44.1% | +7.8 |
| Brycen Jenkins | Conservative | 21,465 | 42.7% | 32.7% | +10.0 |
| Jesiah MacDonald | New Democratic | 1,649 | 3.3% | 16.1% | −12.8 |
3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Gerald Romsa | Green | 455 | 0.9% |
| Charlie MacEachern | People's | 331 | 0.7% |
| Alexander MacKenzie | Independent | 235 | 0.5% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
4.6 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,649 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 4,613-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
110 of 196
5 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 2,307 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 4.6% of the 50,213 valid votes, 4.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal26,078
Conservative21,465
Still Liberal by 4,613 votes. Actual margin: 4,613.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 51.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative47.7%37.5%−10.2
Liberal45.8%58.5%+12.7
New Democratic3.9%2.6%−1.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $71,000 — about 85 percent of the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest66th lowest of 343
- Median age is 49.6 — about 1.2 times the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest28th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 18.7% — about 66 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest76th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 3.6% — about 21 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest37th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 80.8% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest53rd highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.4% — a little lower than the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest152nd lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 12003NS · 2025
Central Nova
Sean Fraser
- Result
- Liberal hold by 4,613
- Turnout
- 74.6%
- Population
- 76,215
- Area
- 11,811 km²
Highest turnout in Nova ScotiaMost candidates on the ballot in Nova ScotiaLargest by area in Nova ScotiaLeast populous in Nova ScotiaDecided before election day
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.