The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 11004Prince Edward Island

Malpeque

Malpeque is a federal riding in Prince Edward Island. Heath MacDonald (Liberal, first elected to the House in 2021) represents Malpeque. Heath MacDonald (Liberal) held Malpeque for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 5,639 votes (21.0 points), with 57.6% of the vote. Jamie Fox (Conservative) was second with 36.6%, on a turnout of 81.9% of 33,088 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Malpeque on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Malpeque

Heath MacDonald's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Heath MacDonald

Member of Parliament for Malpeque

Liberal

MP since 2021-09-20 · 2 terms

Minister of Agriculture and Agri-Food

63 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Agriculture and Agri-Food.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Malpeque, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 26,883 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Heath MacDonald	Liberal	15,485	57.6%
Jamie Fox	Conservative	9,846	36.6%
Anna Keenan	Green	1,049	3.9%
Cassie Mackay	New Democratic	371	1.4%
Other (1)		132	0.5%

Heath MacDonald (Liberal) won Malpeque on April 28, 2025 with 15,485 votes, 57.6% of the 26,883 valid votes. Jamie Fox (Conservative) was second with 9,846 (36.6%), 5,639 votes and 21.0 points behind.

Of the 26,883 valid votes, Heath MacDonald (Liberal) took 57.6%, Jamie Fox (Conservative) 36.6%, Anna Keenan (Green) 3.9% and Cassie Mackay (New Democratic) 1.4%; one other candidate took 0.5%. Turnout was 81.9% of 33,088 electors: 27,099 ballots cast, 26,883 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 15.9 (41.7% to 57.6%), the Conservatives up 3.7 (32.9% to 36.6%), the Greens down 10.0 (13.9% to 3.9%) and the New Democrats down 6.6 (8.0% to 1.4%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: held by the Liberals

The party first in Malpeque at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal51.9%by 19.4 points over the Conservatives
2006Liberal50.6%by 16.0 points over the Conservatives
2008Liberal44.4%by 5.3 points over the Conservatives
2011Liberal42.6%by 3.5 points over the Conservatives
2015Liberal62.2%by 44.6 points over the Conservatives
2019Liberal41.6%by 15.4 points over the Greens
2021Liberal41.7%by 8.8 points over the Conservatives
2025Liberal57.6%by 21.0 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	51.9%	Conservative	19.4	carried, our estimate
2006	Liberal	50.6%	Conservative	16.0	carried, our estimate
2008	Liberal	44.4%	Conservative	5.3	carried, our estimate
2011	Liberal	42.6%	Conservative	3.5	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	62.2%	Conservative	44.6	carried, our estimate
2019	Liberal	41.6%	Green	15.4	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	41.7%	Conservative	8.8	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	57.6%	Conservative	21.0	official result

The Liberals were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 16.8 points over the next party, short of the 20 a stronghold needs. In 2025 the Liberals took 57.6% of the vote here, 9.7 points above their average of 47.9% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021. The Liberals have been first here at every general election since 1988, twelve in a row.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (51.9%), 2006 (50.6%), 2008 (44.4%), 2011 (42.6%), 2015 (62.2%), 2019 (41.6%), 2021 (41.7%) and 2025 (57.6%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 23 of the 343 ridings are held without being strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Heath MacDonald, by 2,076 votes (8.7 pts)
2019 Liberal · Wayne Easter, by 3,430 votes (14.9 pts)
2015 Liberal · Wayne Easter, by 10,003 votes (44.5 pts)

In the old Malpeque on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Malpeque lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Malpeque is

Population: 38,5352021 census
Area: 2,514km²
Density: 15people per km²
Electors: 33,088on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

Highest turnout in Canada
81.9% of 33,088 electors voted · 1st of 343
5th-least populous in Canada
38,535 people, 2021 census · 5th of 343
2nd-widest margin in Prince Edward Island
Won by 21.0 points (5,639 votes) · 2nd of 4 in Prince Edward Island · 129th of 343 in Canada

Share of households that own their home is 82.4% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest37th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 6.0% — about 35 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest66th lowest of 343
Median age is 44.8 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest81st highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 2.1% — about 1.3 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest135th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 25.8% — a little lower than the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest150th lowest of 343
Median total household income is $84,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest162nd highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 98% of the 2025 electors in today's Malpeque lived in the old Malpeque; by area, 2% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

97.8%Malpeque 98.4% of the area · 95% of it kept

2.2%Cardigan 1.6% of the area · 1% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Heath MacDonald	Liberal	15,485	57.6%	41.7%	+15.9
Jamie Fox	Conservative	9,846	36.6%	32.9%	+3.7
Anna Keenan	Green	1,049	3.9%	13.9%	−10.0
Cassie Mackay	New Democratic	371	1.4%	8.0%	−6.6

1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote

Hilda Baughan

People's

132

0.5%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,049 votes

Green took fewer than the 5,639-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

19 of 81

5 polls ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (57) · ■ won by another party (19) · ▨ tied (5).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,820 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 10.5% of the 26,883 valid votes, 10.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 005,640

Liberal15,485

Conservative9,846

Still Liberal by 5,639 votes. Actual margin: 5,639.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 50.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 52.6%, the Conservatives 40.8% and the Greens 4.5%; in advance and special ballots, 62.7%, 32.4% and 3.3%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Malpeque, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	52.6%	62.7%	+10.1
Conservative	40.8%	32.4%	−8.4
Green	4.5%	3.3%	−1.2

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Malpeque and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Malpeque — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/malpeque/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.