The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Central Newfoundland

Federal riding · NL · No. 10003 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Central Newfoundland, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Clifford Small Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 4,279 votes
Turnout
64.2% of 64,095 electors
Population
74,120 2021 census
Area
57,536 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Fewest university degrees: 11.6% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 3rd lowest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)3rd
    Fewest university degrees
    11.6% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 3rd lowest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)
  • Least French mother tongue: 0.2% have French as a mother tongue, 4th lowest of 343 (Share with French as a mother tongue, 2021 census)4th
    Least French mother tongue
    0.2% have French as a mother tongue, 4th lowest of 343 (Share with French as a mother tongue, 2021 census)
  • Smallest immigrant share: 1.2% are immigrants, 5th lowest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)5th
    Smallest immigrant share
    1.2% are immigrants, 5th lowest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)
  • Lowest turnout in Newfoundland and Labrador: 64.2% of 64,095 electors voted · 2nd of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 70th of 343 in Canada2nd
    Lowest turnout in Newfoundland and Labrador
    64.2% of 64,095 electors voted · 2nd of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 70th of 343 in Canada
  • Least populous in Newfoundland and Labrador: 74,120 people, 2021 census · 2nd of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 16th of 343 in Canada2nd
    Least populous in Newfoundland and Labrador
    74,120 people, 2021 census · 2nd of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 16th of 343 in Canada
  • Largest by area in Newfoundland and Labrador: 57,536 km² · 3rd of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 22nd of 343 in Canada3rd
    Largest by area in Newfoundland and Labrador
    57,536 km² · 3rd of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 22nd of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Clifford Small held the seat for the Conservatives by 4,279 votes (+10.6 points).
  2. 1% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 69.8% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 3rd lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Clifford Small
Conservative · first elected 2021-09-20 · 2 terms
  • Member: Fisheries and Oceans
57 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Food Inflation and Budgetary Policy — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 1% of today's Central Newfoundland came from ridings other than the old Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.4%Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame
0.3%Bonavista—Burin—Trinity 1% of it kept
0.2%Long Range Mountains 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Clifford Small
Conservative
21,975
54.1% of valid votes
Margin
4,279
votes · +10.6 pts
Runner-up
Lynette Powell
Liberal
17,696
43.5% of valid votes
Conservative 54.1% · Liberal 43.5% · New Democratic 2.4%
Turnout64.2% of 64,095 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Clifford SmallConservative21,97554.1%45.9%+8.2
Lynette PowellLiberal17,69643.5%45.0%−1.5
Darian VincentNew Democratic9652.4%7.0%−4.6
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
5.3 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
965 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 4,279-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
54 of 196
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (139) · ■ won by another party (54) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,140 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 5.3% of the 40,636 valid votes, 5.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative21,975
Liberal17,696
Still Conservative by 4,279 votes. Actual margin: 4,279.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 69.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative57.7%45.6%−12.1
Liberal39.7%52.5%+12.8
New Democratic2.6%1.9%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Central Newfoundland and its 2 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 10003NL · 2025
Central Newfoundland
Clifford Small
Result
Conservative hold by 4,279
Turnout
64.2%
Population
74,120
Area
57,536 km²
Fewest university degrees: 11.6% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 3rd lowest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)3rdFewest university degreesLeast French mother tongue: 0.2% have French as a mother tongue, 4th lowest of 343 (Share with French as a mother tongue, 2021 census)4thLeast French mother tongueSmallest immigrant share: 1.2% are immigrants, 5th lowest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)5thSmallest immigrant shareLowest turnout in Newfoundland and Labrador: 64.2% of 64,095 electors voted · 2nd of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 70th of 343 in Canada2ndLowest turnout in Newfoundland and LabradorLeast populous in Newfoundland and Labrador: 74,120 people, 2021 census · 2nd of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 16th of 343 in Canada2ndLeast populous in Newfoundland and LabradorLargest by area in Newfoundland and Labrador: 57,536 km² · 3rd of 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador · 22nd of 343 in Canada3rdLargest by area in Newfoundland and Labrador
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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