Conservative · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
Member: Environment and Sustainable Development
Member: Exercise of Powers Under the Building Canada Act
173 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on The Economy.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 1% of today's Long Range Mountains came from ridings other than the old Long Range Mountains.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.1%Long Range Mountains
0.9%Labrador 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative gain
Elected
Carol Anstey
Conservative
23,232
50.3% of valid votes
Margin
3,506
votes · +7.6 pts
Runner-up
Don Bradshaw
Liberal
19,726
42.7% of valid votes
Conservative 50.3% · Liberal 42.7% · New Democratic 4.4% · Independent 1.4% · People's 1.2%
Turnout65.0% of 71,680 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Carol Anstey
Conservative
23,232
50.3%
38.9%
+11.4
Don Bradshaw
Liberal
19,726
42.7%
43.8%
−1.1
Sarah Parsons
New Democratic
2,011
4.4%
11.8%
−7.4
Robbie Coles
Independent
637
1.4%
—
+1.4
Pamela Geiger
People's
537
1.2%
4.3%
−3.1
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
3.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,011 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 3,506-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
60 of 211
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (149) · ■ won by another party (60) · ▨ tied (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 1,754 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 3.8% of the 46,143 valid votes, 3.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative23,232
Liberal19,726
Still Conservative by 3,506 votes. Actual margin: 3,506.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 68.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative52.5%45.7%−6.8
Liberal39.8%49.3%+9.5
New Democratic4.8%3.4%−1.4
Independent1.5%1.1%−0.4
People's1.5%0.5%−1.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $62,000 — about 74 percent of the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest23rd lowest of 343
Median age is 53.2 — about 1.3 times the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest9th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 14.8% — about 52 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest31st lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 1.7% — about 10 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest17th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 77.1% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest95th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.6% — about 37 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest30th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Long Range Mountains and its 3 neighbouring ridings.
Oldest median ageMost candidates on the ballot in Newfoundland and LabradorLargest by area in Newfoundland and LabradorClosest race in Newfoundland and LabradorMost populous in Newfoundland and LabradorChanged hands in 2025
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.