The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 24017Quebec
Châteauguay— Les Jardins-de-Napierville
Châteauguay—
Who represents Châteauguay— Les Jardins-de-Napierville
Nathalie Provost
Member of Parliament for Châteauguay—
Liberal
MP since · first term
- Secretary of State (Nature)
100 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on The Economy.
The 2025 result: Liberal gain from the Bloc Québécois
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathalie Provost | Liberal | 28,224 | 45.2% |
| Patrick O'Hara | Bloc Québécois | 18,160 | 29.1% |
| David De Repentigny | Conservative | 13,538 | 21.7% |
| Hannah Wolker | New Democratic | 1,377 | 2.2% |
| Martine Desrochers | Green | 773 | 1.2% |
| Other (1) | 429 | 0.7% |
Nathalie Provost (Liberal) won Châteauguay—
Of the 62,501 valid votes, Nathalie Provost (Liberal) took 45.2%, Patrick O'Hara (Bloc Québécois) 29.1%, David De Repentigny (Conservative) 21.7%, Hannah Wolker (New Democratic) 2.2% and Martine Desrochers (Green) 1.2%; one other candidate took 0.7%. Turnout was 69.3% of 91,599 electors: 63,476 ballots cast, 62,501 of them valid, for 6 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 9.5 (35.7% to 45.2%), the Bloc Québécois down 6.7 (35.8% to 29.1%), the Conservatives up 9.8 (11.9% to 21.7%), the New Democrats down 5.5 (7.7% to 2.2%) and the Greens down 0.3 (1.5% to 1.2%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: no party has held it
The party first in Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Bloc Québécois54.6%by 22.7 points over the Liberals
- 2006Bloc Québécois49.8%by 27.0 points over the Conservatives
- 2008Bloc Québécois47.4%by 28.6 points over the Conservatives
- 2011changed handsNew Democratic48.7%by 19.4 points over the Bloc Québécois
- 2015changed handsLiberal38.2%by 13.4 points over the Bloc Québécois
- 2019†changed handsBloc Québécois38.2%by 0.6 points over the Liberals
- 2021Bloc Québécois35.8%by 0.1 points over the Liberals
- 2025changed handsLiberal45.2%by 16.1 points over the Bloc Québécois
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Bloc Québécois | 54.6% | Liberal | 22.7 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Bloc Québécois | 49.8% | Conservative | 27.0 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Bloc Québécois | 47.4% | Conservative | 28.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | New Democratic | 48.7% | Bloc Québécois | 19.4 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | Liberal | 38.2% | Bloc Québécois | 13.4 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019† | Bloc Québécois | 38.2% | Liberal | 0.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Bloc Québécois | 35.8% | Liberal | 0.1 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Liberal | 45.2% | Bloc Québécois | 16.1 | official result |
The Bloc Québécois were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at two and the NDP at one; it changed hands four times. In 2025 the Liberals took 45.2% of the vote here, 18.6 points above their average of 26.6% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Bloc Québécois were first here in 2004 (54.6%), 2006 (49.8%), 2008 (47.4%), 2019 (38.2%) and 2021 (35.8%), the NDP in 2011 (48.7%) and the Liberals in 2015 (38.2%) and 2025 (45.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2019 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.
- 2021 Liberal · Brenda Shanahan, by 12 votes (0.0 pts)
- 2019 Liberal · Brenda Shanahan, by 639 votes (1.2 pts)
- 2015 Liberal · Brenda Shanahan, by 7,630 votes (14.7 pts)
In Châteauguay—Lacolle on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Châteauguay— Les Jardins-de-Napierville is
- Population
- 114,9452021 census
- Area
- 1,554km²
- Density
- 74people per km²
- Electors
- 91,599on the 2025 lists
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (12 of 78 in Quebec)
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 71.6% — about 44.7 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest54th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 18.1% — about 64 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest69th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 74.2% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest129th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 12.3% — about 71 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest136th lowest of 343
- Median age is 41.6 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest163rd highest of 343
- Median total household income is $82,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest167th lowest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 91% of the 2025 electors in today's Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville lived in the old Châteauguay—Lacolle; by area, 37% of the riding came from other ridings.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathalie Provost | Liberal | 28,224 | 45.2% | 35.7% | +9.5 |
| Patrick O'Hara | Bloc Québécois | 18,160 | 29.1% | 35.8% | −6.7 |
| David De Repentigny | Conservative | 13,538 | 21.7% | 11.9% | +9.8 |
| Hannah Wolker | New Democratic | 1,377 | 2.2% | 7.7% | −5.5 |
| Martine Desrochers | Green | 773 | 1.2% | 1.5% | −0.3 |
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
| Nicolas Guérin | People's | 429 | 0.7% |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 5,033 voters switching from Liberal to Bloc Québécois — 8.1% of the 62,501 valid votes, 8.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 64.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Liberals took 41.2%, the Bloc Québécois 29.7%, the Conservatives 24.4%, the New Democrats 2.4% and the Greens 1.5%; in advance and special ballots, 52.2%, 27.9%, 16.7%, 1.8% and 0.8%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 41.2% | 52.2% | +11.0 |
| Bloc Québécois | 29.7% | 27.9% | −1.8 |
| Conservative | 24.4% | 16.7% | −7.7 |
| New Democratic | 2.4% | 1.8% | −0.6 |
| Green | 1.5% | 0.8% | −0.7 |