The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville

Federal riding · QC · No. 24017 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Nathalie Provost Liberal
2025 result
Liberal gain by 10,064 votes
Turnout
69.3% of 91,599 electors
Population
114,945 2021 census
Area
1,554 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (12 of 78 in Quebec)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (12 of 78 in Quebec)
  • Length of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61st
    Length of the ballot
    6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
  • Population, largest first: 114,945 people, 2021 census · 134th of 343 in Canada134th
    Population, largest first
    114,945 people, 2021 census · 134th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Nathalie Provost took the seat for the Liberals by 10,064 votes (+16.1 points).
  2. 37% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 64.4% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share with French as a mother tongue is the 54th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Nathalie Provost
Liberal · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
  • Secretary of State (Nature)

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 37% of today's Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville came from ridings other than the old Châteauguay—Lacolle.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
62.7%Châteauguay—Lacolle
37.3%Salaberry—Suroît 24% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal gain
Elected
Nathalie Provost
Liberal
28,224
45.2% of valid votes
Margin
10,064
votes · +16.1 pts
Runner-up
Patrick O'Hara
Bloc Québécois
18,160
29.1% of valid votes
Liberal 45.2% · Bloc Québécois 29.1% · Conservative 21.7% · New Democratic 2.2% · Green 1.2%
Turnout69.3% of 91,599 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Nathalie ProvostLiberal28,22445.2%35.7%+9.5
Patrick O'HaraBloc Québécois18,16029.1%35.8%−6.7
David De RepentignyConservative13,53821.7%11.9%+9.8
Hannah WolkerNew Democratic1,3772.2%7.7%−5.5
Martine DesrochersGreen7731.2%1.5%−0.3
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Nicolas GuérinPeople's4290.7%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
8.1 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
13,538 votes
Conservative took more than the 10,064-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
85 of 216
5 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (126) · ■ won by another party (85) · ▨ tied (5).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 5,033 voters switching from Liberal to Bloc Québécois — 8.1% of the 62,501 valid votes, 8.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal28,224
Bloc Québécois18,160
Still Liberal by 10,064 votes. Actual margin: 10,064.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 64.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal41.2%52.2%+11.0
Bloc Québécois29.7%27.9%−1.8
Conservative24.4%16.7%−7.7
New Democratic2.4%1.8%−0.6
Green1.5%0.8%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 24017QC · 2025
Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville
Nathalie Provost
Result
Liberal gain by 10,064
Turnout
69.3%
Population
114,945
Area
1,554 km²
Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (12 of 78 in Quebec)58Changed hands in 2025Length of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61stLength of the ballotPopulation, largest first: 114,945 people, 2021 census · 134th of 343 in Canada134thPopulation, largest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.