The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Lac-Saint-Louis

Federal riding · QC · No. 24034 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Lac-Saint-Louis, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Francis Scarpaleggia Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 28,243 votes
Turnout
75.1% of 86,164 electors
Population
110,090 2021 census
Area
127 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Boundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59
    Boundaries unchanged in 2023
    Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
  • Turnout: 75.1% of 86,164 electors voted · 30th of 343 in Canada30th
    Turnout
    75.1% of 86,164 electors voted · 30th of 343 in Canada
  • Width of the margin: Won by 43.9 points (28,243 votes) · 33rd of 343 in Canada33rd
    Width of the margin
    Won by 43.9 points (28,243 votes) · 33rd of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Francis Scarpaleggia held the seat for the Liberals by 28,243 votes (+43.9 points).
  2. The boundaries did not change in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 49.0% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 36th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Francis Scarpaleggia
Liberal · first elected 2004-06-28 · 8 terms
  • Chair of the Board of Internal Economy
  • Speaker
1 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Election of Speaker.

IDid this riding change?

Essentially no. Today's Lac-Saint-Louis covers almost exactly the same ground as the Lac-Saint-Louis riding it replaced.

How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Francis Scarpaleggia
Liberal
43,446
67.6% of valid votes
Margin
28,243
votes · +43.9 pts
Runner-up
Matthew Rusniak
Conservative
15,203
23.7% of valid votes
Liberal 67.6% · Conservative 23.7% · Bloc Québécois 3.6% · New Democratic 2.9% · Green 1.4%
Turnout75.1% of 86,164 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Francis ScarpaleggiaLiberal43,44667.6%55.8%+11.8
Matthew RusniakConservative15,20323.7%18.7%+5.0
Tommy FournierBloc Québécois2,3303.6%5.3%−1.7
Gregory EvdokiasNew Democratic1,8772.9%13.2%−10.3
Raymond FrizzellGreen9151.4%3.2%−1.8
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Mathieu DufortPeople's4710.7%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
21.9 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,330 votes
Bloc Québécois took fewer than the 28,243-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
6 of 186
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (180) · ■ won by another party (6).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 14,122 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 22.0% of the 64,242 valid votes, 21.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal43,446
Conservative15,203
Still Liberal by 28,243 votes. Actual margin: 28,243.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 49.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal61.0%74.0%+13.0
Conservative28.8%18.7%−10.1
Bloc Québécois4.1%3.2%−0.9
New Democratic3.5%2.3%−1.2
Green1.7%1.2%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Lac-Saint-Louis and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 24034QC · 2025
Lac-Saint-Louis
Francis Scarpaleggia
Result
Liberal hold by 28,243
Turnout
75.1%
Population
110,090
Area
127 km²
Boundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59Boundaries unchanged in 2023Turnout: 75.1% of 86,164 electors voted · 30th of 343 in Canada30thTurnoutWidth of the margin: Won by 43.9 points (28,243 votes) · 33rd of 343 in Canada33rdWidth of the margin
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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