The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 59010British Columbia
Cowichan— Malahat— Langford
Cowichan—
Who represents Cowichan— Malahat— Langford
Jeff Kibble
Member of Parliament for Cowichan—
Conservative
MP since · first term
- National Defence committee
146 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Strengthening Canada's Defence Sector Act.
The 2025 result: Conservative gain from the New Democrats
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Cowichan—Malahat—Langford, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Kibble | Conservative | 28,370 | 37.2% |
| Alistair MacGregor | New Democratic | 24,826 | 32.6% |
| Blair Herbert | Liberal | 21,478 | 28.2% |
| Kathleen Code | Green | 1,500 | 2.0% |
Jeff Kibble (Conservative) won Cowichan—
Of the 76,174 valid votes, Jeff Kibble (Conservative) took 37.2%, Alistair MacGregor (New Democratic) 32.6%, Blair Herbert (Liberal) 28.2% and Kathleen Code (Green) 2.0%. Turnout was 72.4% of 105,698 electors: 76,535 ballots cast, 76,174 of them valid, for 4 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 9.0 (28.2% to 37.2%), the New Democrats down 10.0 (42.6% to 32.6%), the Liberals up 11.9 (16.3% to 28.2%) and the Greens down 4.2 (6.2% to 2.0%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: no party has held it
The party first in Cowichan—Malahat—Langford at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004New Democratic38.5%by 9.1 points over the Conservatives
- 2006New Democratic40.6%by 10.3 points over the Conservatives
- 2008†New Democratic36.2%by less than 0.1 points over the Conservatives
- 2011New Democratic45.7%by 6.6 points over the Conservatives
- 2015New Democratic35.9%by 12.1 points over the Liberals
- 2019New Democratic36.1%by 10.1 points over the Conservatives
- 2021New Democratic42.6%by 14.4 points over the Conservatives
- 2025changed handsConservative37.2%by 4.6 points over the New Democrats
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | New Democratic | 38.5% | Conservative | 9.1 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | New Democratic | 40.6% | Conservative | 10.3 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008† | New Democratic | 36.2% | Conservative | 0.0 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | New Democratic | 45.7% | Conservative | 6.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | New Democratic | 35.9% | Liberal | 12.1 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | New Democratic | 36.1% | Conservative | 10.1 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | New Democratic | 42.6% | Conservative | 14.4 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Conservative | 37.2% | New Democratic | 4.6 | official result |
The NDP were first at seven of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at one; it changed hands once. In 2025 the Conservatives took 37.2% of the vote here, 6.9 points above their average of 30.3% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the NDP were first here in 2004 (38.5%), 2006 (40.6%), 2008 (36.2%), 2011 (45.7%), 2015 (35.9%), 2019 (36.1%) and 2021 (42.6%) and the Conservatives in 2025 (37.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2008 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.
- 2021 New Democratic · Alistair MacGregor, by 9,098 votes (14.4 pts)
- 2019 New Democratic · Alistair MacGregor, by 6,560 votes (10.1 pts)
- 2015 New Democratic · Alistair MacGregor, by 7,515 votes (12.1 pts)
In the old Cowichan—Malahat—Langford on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Cowichan—Malahat—Langford lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Cowichan— Malahat— Langford is
- Population
- 124,1052021 census
- Area
- 5,325km²
- Density
- 23people per km²
- Electors
- 105,698on the 2025 lists
- 2nd-most populous in British Columbia124,105 people, 2021 census · 2nd of 43 in British Columbia · 32nd of 343 in Canada
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (14 of 43 in British Columbia)
- Median age is 44.8 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest81st highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 23.4% — about 83 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest131st lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.3% — about 81 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest141st lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 73.4% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest142nd highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 13.4% — about 77 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest147th lowest of 343
- Median total household income is $85,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest153rd highest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 99% of the 2025 electors in today's Cowichan—Malahat—Langford lived in the old Cowichan—Malahat—Langford; by area, nearly all of the riding came from it.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Kibble | Conservative | 28,370 | 37.2% | 28.2% | +9.0 |
| Alistair MacGregor | New Democratic | 24,826 | 32.6% | 42.6% | −10.0 |
| Blair Herbert | Liberal | 21,478 | 28.2% | 16.3% | +11.9 |
| Kathleen Code | Green | 1,500 | 2.0% | 6.2% | −4.2 |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 1,773 voters switching from Conservative to New Democratic — 2.3% of the 76,174 valid votes, 2.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 49.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Conservatives took 39.1%, the Liberals 24.1%, the New Democrats 34.4% and the Greens 2.4%; in advance and special ballots, 35.5%, 32.2%, 30.8% and 1.5%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Cowichan—Malahat—Langford, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 39.1% | 35.5% | −3.6 |
| Liberal | 24.1% | 32.2% | +8.1 |
| New Democratic | 34.4% | 30.8% | −3.6 |
| Green | 2.4% | 1.5% | −0.9 |