The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Etobicoke Centre
Etobicoke-Centre
Federal riding · ON · No. 35029 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Yvan Baker Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 6,473 votes
- Turnout
- 68.9% of 98,795 electors
- Population
- 125,605 2021 census
- Area
- 40 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Population, largest first125,605 people, 2021 census · 23rd of 343 in Canada
- Area, smallest first40 km² · 50th of 343 in Canada
- Closeness of the raceWon by 6,473 votes (9.6 pts) · 142nd of 343 in Canada
In brief
- Yvan Baker held the seat for the Liberals by 6,473 votes (+9.6 points).
- 14% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 58.5% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 45th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Yvan Baker
- Chair: Official Languages
- Chair: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
- Member: Liaison
- Member: Official Languages
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 14% of today's Etobicoke Centre came from ridings other than the old Etobicoke Centre.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
85.6%Etobicoke Centre 87% of it kept
10.8%Etobicoke—Lakeshore 8% of it kept
3.5%Etobicoke North 3% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Yvan Baker
Liberal
36,186
53.6% of valid votes
Margin
6,473
votes · +9.6 pts
Runner-up
Ted Opitz
Conservative
29,713
44.0% of valid votes
Liberal 53.6% · Conservative 44.0% · New Democratic 2.4%
Turnout68.9% of 98,795 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvan Baker | Liberal | 36,186 | 53.6% | 47.7% | +5.9 |
| Ted Opitz | Conservative | 29,713 | 44.0% | 33.8% | +10.2 |
| Ji Won Jung | New Democratic | 1,611 | 2.4% | 10.7% | −8.3 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
4.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,611 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 6,473-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
74 of 165
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 3,237 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 4.8% of the 67,510 valid votes, 4.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal36,186
Conservative29,713
Still Liberal by 6,473 votes. Actual margin: 6,473.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 58.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal50.4%58.1%+7.7
Conservative46.7%40.2%−6.5
New Democratic2.9%1.6%−1.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $97,000 — about 1.2 times the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest79th highest of 343
- Median age is 43.6 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest106th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 49.0% — about 1.7 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest45th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 42.5% — about 2.5 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest48th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 63.4% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest101st lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.0% — about 63 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest101st lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 35029ON · 2025
Etobicoke Centre
Yvan Baker
- Result
- Liberal hold by 6,473
- Turnout
- 68.9%
- Population
- 125,605
- Area
- 40 km²
Population, largest firstArea, smallest firstCloseness of the race
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
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