The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35031Ontario
Etobicoke North
Etobicoke-Nord
Etobicoke North is a federal riding in Ontario. John Zerucelli (Liberal) has represented Etobicoke North since the 2025 election. John Zerucelli (Liberal) held Etobicoke North for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 4,911 votes (11.6 points), with 52.6% of the vote. Natalie Weed (Conservative) was second with 41.0%, on a turnout of 56.0% of 76,238 electors. Member as of .
Who represents Etobicoke North
John Zerucelli
Member of Parliament for Etobicoke North
Liberal
MP since · first term
- Secretary of State (Labour)
76 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on The Economy.
The 2025 result: Liberal hold
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Etobicoke North, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Zerucelli | Liberal | 22,270 | 52.6% |
| Natalie Weed | Conservative | 17,359 | 41.0% |
| Benjamin Abis | New Democratic | 1,354 | 3.2% |
| Andy D'Andrea | People's Party | 846 | 2.0% |
| Others (2) | 526 | 1.2% |
John Zerucelli (Liberal) won Etobicoke North on with 22,270 votes, 52.6% of the 42,355 valid votes. Natalie Weed (Conservative) was second with 17,359 (41.0%), 4,911 votes and 11.6 points behind.
Of the 42,355 valid votes, John Zerucelli (Liberal) took 52.6%, Natalie Weed (Conservative) 41.0%, Benjamin Abis (New Democratic) 3.2% and Andy D'Andrea (People's Party) 2.0%; the 2 other candidates took 1.2% together. Turnout was 56.0% of 76,238 electors: 42,659 ballots cast, 42,355 of them valid, for 6 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are down 5.5 (58.1% to 52.6%), the Conservatives up 15.9 (25.1% to 41.0%), the New Democrats down 7.2 (10.4% to 3.2%) and the People's Party down 2.3 (4.3% to 2.0%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: a Liberal stronghold
The party first in Etobicoke North at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Liberal62.8%by 43.1 points over the Conservatives
- 2006Liberal60.7%by 37.2 points over the Conservatives
- 2008Liberal48.6%by 17.8 points over the Conservatives
- 2011Liberal42.3%by 9.2 points over the Conservatives
- 2015Liberal61.7%by 37.6 points over the Conservatives
- 2019Liberal60.7%by 37.6 points over the Conservatives
- 2021Liberal58.1%by 33.0 points over the Conservatives
- 2025Liberal52.6%by 11.6 points over the Conservatives
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Liberal | 62.8% | Conservative | 43.1 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Liberal | 60.7% | Conservative | 37.2 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Liberal | 48.6% | Conservative | 17.8 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | Liberal | 42.3% | Conservative | 9.2 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | Liberal | 61.7% | Conservative | 37.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Liberal | 60.7% | Conservative | 37.6 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Liberal | 58.1% | Conservative | 33.0 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Liberal | 52.6% | Conservative | 11.6 | official result |
The Liberals were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 28.4 points over the next party. In 2025 the Liberals took 52.6% of the vote here, 3.8 points below their average of 56.4% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021. The Liberals have been first here at every general election since 1988, twelve in a row.
On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (62.8%), 2006 (60.7%), 2008 (48.6%), 2011 (42.3%), 2015 (61.7%), 2019 (60.7%), 2021 (58.1%) and 2025 (52.6%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.
- 2021 Liberal · Kirsty Duncan, by 12,335 votes (34.7 pts)
- 2019 Liberal · Kirsty Duncan, by 16,864 votes (39.2 pts)
- 2015 Liberal · Kirsty Duncan, by 16,578 votes (39.4 pts)
In the old Etobicoke North on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Etobicoke North lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Etobicoke North is
- Population
- 116,8902021 census
- Area
- 51km²
- Density
- 2,296people per km²
- Electors
- 76,238on the 2025 lists
- 9th-lowest turnout in Canada56.0% of 76,238 electors voted · 9th of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 55.4% — about 3.2 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest19th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.7% — about 44 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest48th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 55.4% — about 78 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest65th lowest of 343
- Median age is 38.0 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest66th lowest of 343
- Median total household income is $82,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest167th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 28.6% — about the same as the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest168th highest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 93% of the 2025 electors in today's Etobicoke North lived in the old Etobicoke North; by area, 4% of the riding came from other ridings.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zerucelli | Liberal | 22,270 | 52.6% | 58.1% | −5.5 |
| Natalie Weed | Conservative | 17,359 | 41.0% | 25.1% | +15.9 |
| Benjamin Abis | New Democratic | 1,354 | 3.2% | 10.4% | −7.2 |
| Andy D'Andrea | People's | 846 | 2.0% | 4.3% | −2.3 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Sarun Balaranjan | Green | 394 | 0.9% |
| Neil Simon | Independent | 132 | 0.3% |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 2,456 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 5.8% of the 42,355 valid votes, 5.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 68.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Liberals took 51.3%, the Conservatives 42.2%, the New Democrats 3.2% and the People's Party 2.0%; in advance and special ballots, 55.4%, 38.3%, 3.3% and 1.9%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Etobicoke North, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 51.3% | 55.4% | +4.1 |
| Conservative | 42.2% | 38.3% | −3.9 |
| New Democratic | 3.2% | 3.3% | +0.1 |
| People's Party | 2.0% | 1.9% | −0.1 |