The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Etobicoke—Lakeshore
Federal riding · ON · No. 35030 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- James Maloney Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 12,164 votes
- Turnout
- 69.9% of 93,945 electors
- Population
- 120,955 2021 census
- Area
- 50 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Population, largest first120,955 people, 2021 census · 52nd of 343 in Canada
- Area, smallest first50 km² · 65th of 343 in Canada
- Width of the marginWon by 18.6 points (12,164 votes) · 151st of 343 in Canada
In brief
- James Maloney held the seat for the Liberals by 12,164 votes (+18.6 points).
- 1% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 59.8% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 42nd highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
James Maloney
- Caucus Chair
- Member: Justice and Human Rights
- Member: Medical Assistance in Dying
- Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 1% of today's Etobicoke—Lakeshore came from ridings other than the old Etobicoke—Lakeshore.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.2%Etobicoke—Lakeshore 92% of it kept
0.8%Etobicoke Centre 1% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
James Maloney
Liberal
37,512
57.4% of valid votes
Margin
12,164
votes · +18.6 pts
Runner-up
Bernard Trottier
Conservative
25,348
38.8% of valid votes
Liberal 57.4% · Conservative 38.8% · New Democratic 2.5%
Turnout69.9% of 93,945 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Maloney | Liberal | 37,512 | 57.4% | 46.8% | +10.6 |
| Bernard Trottier | Conservative | 25,348 | 38.8% | 32.3% | +6.5 |
| Cory Wagar | New Democratic | 1,665 | 2.5% | 13.4% | −10.9 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Thomas Fanjoy | People's | 616 | 0.9% |
| Janice Murray | Other | 197 | 0.3% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
9.3 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,665 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 12,164-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
53 of 198
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 6,083 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 9.3% of the 65,338 valid votes, 9.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal37,512
Conservative25,348
Still Liberal by 12,164 votes. Actual margin: 12,164.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 59.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal52.8%64.3%+11.5
Conservative42.7%33.0%−9.7
New Democratic2.9%2.0%−0.9
People's1.2%0.5%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $91,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest108th highest of 343
- Median age is 41.2 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest161st lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 51.4% — about 1.8 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest42nd highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 37.2% — about 2.2 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest69th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 59.3% — about 83 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest83rd lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.5% — a little lower than the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest166th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 35030ON · 2025
Etobicoke—Lakeshore
James Maloney
- Result
- Liberal hold by 12,164
- Turnout
- 69.9%
- Population
- 120,955
- Area
- 50 km²
Population, largest firstArea, smallest firstWidth of the margin
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.