1 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Finance.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 30% of today's Gatineau came from ridings other than the old Gatineau.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
69.6%Gatineau 50% of it kept
30.3%Pontiac 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Steven MacKinnon
Liberal
34,751
60.5% of valid votes
Margin
23,769
votes · +41.4 pts
Runner-up
Kethlande Pierre
Conservative
10,982
19.1% of valid votes
Liberal 60.5% · Conservative 19.1% · Bloc Québécois 16.3% · New Democratic 2.8%
Turnout68.1% of 85,183 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Steven MacKinnon
Liberal
34,751
60.5%
49.3%
+11.2
Kethlande Pierre
Conservative
10,982
19.1%
10.9%
+8.2
Richard Nadeau
Bloc Québécois
9,373
16.3%
23.1%
−6.8
Daniel Simoncic
New Democratic
1,615
2.8%
8.5%
−5.7
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Mathieu Saint-Jean
People's
505
0.9%
Pierre Soublière
Other
173
0.3%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
20.7 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
9,373 votes
Bloc Québécois took fewer than the 23,769-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
3 of 200
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (197) · ■ won by another party (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 11,885 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 20.7% of the 57,399 valid votes, 20.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal34,751
Conservative10,982
Still Liberal by 23,769 votes. Actual margin: 23,769.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 56.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal55.2%67.4%+12.2
Conservative23.3%13.7%−9.6
Bloc Québécois16.7%15.8%−0.9
New Democratic3.2%2.3%−0.9
People's1.2%0.5%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $82,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest167th lowest of 343
Median age is 42.4 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest143rd highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 25.9% — a little lower than the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest153rd lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 11.9% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest134th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 65.4% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest112th lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 79.7% — about 49.8 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest47th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
Width of the marginLength of the ballotPopulation, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.