The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35077Ontario

Orléans

Orléans is a federal riding in Ontario. Marie-France Lalonde (Liberal, first elected to the House in 2019) represents Orléans. Marie-France Lalonde (Liberal) held Orléans for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 31,074 votes (39.4 points), with 67.4% of the vote. Steve Mansour (Conservative) was second with 28.0%, on a turnout of 76.9% of 103,193 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Orléans on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Orléans

Marie-France Lalonde's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Marie-France Lalonde

Member of Parliament for Orléans

Liberal

MP since 2019-10-21 · 3 terms

Chair, Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
Chair, Veterans Affairs committee
Liaison committee
Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure

53 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Building Canada Strong Act.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Orléans, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 78,803 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Marie-France Lalonde	Liberal	53,146	67.4%
Steve Mansour	Conservative	22,072	28.0%
Oulai B. Goué	New Democratic	2,063	2.6%
Others (5)		1,522	1.9%

Marie-France Lalonde (Liberal) won Orléans on April 28, 2025 with 53,146 votes, 67.4% of the 78,803 valid votes. Steve Mansour (Conservative) was second with 22,072 (28.0%), 31,074 votes and 39.4 points behind.

Of the 78,803 valid votes, Marie-France Lalonde (Liberal) took 67.4%, Steve Mansour (Conservative) 28.0% and Oulai B. Goué (New Democratic) 2.6%; the 5 other candidates took 1.9% together. Turnout was 76.9% of 103,193 electors: 79,351 ballots cast, 78,803 of them valid, for 8 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 15.5 (51.9% to 67.4%), the Conservatives down 0.4 (28.4% to 28.0%) and the New Democrats down 11.7 (14.3% to 2.6%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Orléans at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal45.1%by 4.9 points over the Conservatives
2006†changed handsConservative41.1%by 1.9 points over the Liberals
2008Conservative45.0%by 6.3 points over the Liberals
2011Conservative44.8%by 6.7 points over the Liberals
2015changed handsLiberal59.7%by 29.2 points over the Conservatives
2019Liberal54.3%by 26.1 points over the Conservatives
2021Liberal51.9%by 23.5 points over the Conservatives
2025Liberal67.4%by 39.4 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	45.1%	Conservative	4.9	carried, our estimate
2006†	Conservative	41.1%	Liberal	1.9	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	45.0%	Liberal	6.3	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	44.8%	Liberal	6.7	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	59.7%	Conservative	29.2	carried, our estimate
2019	Liberal	54.3%	Conservative	26.1	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	51.9%	Conservative	23.5	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	67.4%	Conservative	39.4	official result

The Liberals were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at three; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Liberals took 67.4% of the vote here, 20.7 points above their average of 46.7% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021. It has gone with the party that formed the government at all eleven general elections from 1993 to 2025.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (45.1%), 2015 (59.7%), 2019 (54.3%), 2021 (51.9%) and 2025 (67.4%) and the Conservatives in 2006 (41.1%), 2008 (45.0%) and 2011 (44.8%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2006 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Marie-France Lalonde, by 17,401 votes (23.1 pts)
2019 Liberal · Marie-France Lalonde, by 21,199 votes (26.1 pts)
2015 Liberal · Andrew Leslie, by 22,721 votes (29.2 pts)

In the old Orléans on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Orléans lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Orléans is

Population: 127,0002021 census
Area: 74km²
Density: 1,712people per km²
Electors: 103,193on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

Won every election-day poll
All 223 election-day polls went to the winner · one of 15 of 343

Share of households that own their home is 85.7% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest11th highest of 343
Median total household income is $123,000 — about 1.5 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest12th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 44.0% — about 1.6 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest68th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 28.4% — about 17.7 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest81st highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 22.6% — about 1.3 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest140th highest of 343
Median age is 41.2 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest161st lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Orléans, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old Orléans, but it is only 34% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

100.0%Orléans 100.0% of the area · 34% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Marie-France Lalonde	Liberal	53,146	67.4%	51.9%	+15.5
Steve Mansour	Conservative	22,072	28.0%	28.4%	−0.4
Oulai B. Goué	New Democratic	2,063	2.6%	14.3%	−11.7

5 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

Jaycob Jacques	Green	652	0.8%
Tafiqul Abu Mohammad	People's	331	0.4%
Arlo Arrowsmith	Other	301	0.4%
Mazhar Choudhry	Independent	162	0.2%
Arabella Vida	Independent	76	0.1%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

2,063 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 31,074-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

0 of 223

No poll ended in a tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (223) · ■ won by another party (0).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 15,538 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 19.7% of the 78,803 valid votes, 19.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0031,076

Liberal53,146

Conservative22,072

Still Liberal by 31,074 votes. Actual margin: 31,074.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 49.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 63.4%, the Conservatives 31.1%, the New Democrats 3.1% and the Greens 1.1%; in advance and special ballots, 71.5%, 25.0%, 2.1% and 0.6%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Orléans, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	63.4%	71.5%	+8.1
Conservative	31.1%	25.0%	−6.1
New Democratic	3.1%	2.1%	−1.0
Green	1.1%	0.6%	−0.5

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Orléans and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Orléans — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/orleans/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.