The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 48026Alberta

Grande Prairie

Grande Prairie is a federal riding in Alberta. Chris Warkentin (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2006) represents Grande Prairie. Chris Warkentin (Conservative) held Grande Prairie for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 40,958 votes (69.9 points), with 81.7% of the vote. Maureen Mcleod (Liberal) was second with 11.8%, on a turnout of 69.4% of 84,961 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Grande Prairie on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Grande Prairie

Chris Warkentin's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Chris Warkentin

Member of Parliament for Grande Prairie

Conservative

MP since 2006-01-23 · 7 terms

Member of the Board of Internal Economy
chief opposition whip

82 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Military Justice System Modernization Act.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Grande Prairie, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 58,652 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Chris Warkentin	Conservative	47,904	81.7%
Maureen Mcleod	Liberal	6,946	11.8%
Jennifer Villebrun	New Democratic	2,460	4.2%
Shawn McLean	People's Party	828	1.4%
Others (2)		514	0.9%

Chris Warkentin (Conservative) won Grande Prairie on April 28, 2025 with 47,904 votes, 81.7% of the 58,652 valid votes. Maureen Mcleod (Liberal) was second with 6,946 (11.8%), 40,958 votes and 69.9 points behind.

Of the 58,652 valid votes, Chris Warkentin (Conservative) took 81.7%, Maureen Mcleod (Liberal) 11.8%, Jennifer Villebrun (New Democratic) 4.2% and Shawn McLean (People's Party) 1.4%; the 2 other candidates took 0.9% together. Turnout was 69.4% of 84,961 electors: 59,000 ballots cast, 58,652 of them valid, for 6 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 13.1 (68.6% to 81.7%), the Liberals up 7.6 (4.2% to 11.8%), the New Democrats down 7.6 (11.8% to 4.2%) and the People's Party down 8.7 (10.1% to 1.4%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: a Conservative stronghold

The party first in Grande Prairie at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Conservative65.1%by 46.2 points over the Liberals
2006Conservative57.0%by 36.7 points over the independents
2008Conservative69.5%by 55.1 points over the New Democrats
2011Conservative75.8%by 59.6 points over the New Democrats
2015Conservative72.9%by 58.2 points over the Liberals
2019Conservative84.0%by 77.0 points over the New Democrats
2021Conservative68.6%by 56.8 points over the New Democrats
2025Conservative81.7%by 69.9 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Conservative	65.1%	Liberal	46.2	carried, our estimate
2006	Conservative	57.0%	Independent	36.7	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	69.5%	New Democratic	55.1	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	75.8%	New Democratic	59.6	carried, our estimate
2015	Conservative	72.9%	Liberal	58.2	carried, our estimate
2019	Conservative	84.0%	New Democratic	77.0	carried, our estimate
2021	Conservative	68.6%	New Democratic	56.8	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	81.7%	Liberal	69.9	official result

The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 57.4 points over the next party. In 2025 the Conservatives took 81.7% of the vote here, 11.3 points above their average of 70.4% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (65.1%), 2006 (57.0%), 2008 (69.5%), 2011 (75.8%), 2015 (72.9%), 2019 (84.0%), 2021 (68.6%) and 2025 (81.7%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · Chris Warkentin, by 29,899 votes (56.2 pts)
2019 Conservative · Chris Warkentin, by 46,953 votes (77.0 pts)
2015 Conservative · Chris Warkentin, by 31,076 votes (58.2 pts)

In Grande Prairie—Mackenzie on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Grande Prairie lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Grande Prairie is

Population: 112,9052021 census
Area: 56,997km²
Density: 2.0people per km²
Electors: 84,961on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

5th-widest margin in Canada
Won by 69.9 points (40,958 votes) · 5th of 343

Median age is 35.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest26th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 16.1% — about 57 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest49th lowest of 343
Median total household income is $102,000 — about 1.2 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest58th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 9.7% — about 56 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest111th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 73.4% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest142nd highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.8% — a little higher than the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest146th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Grande Prairie, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old Grande Prairie—Mackenzie, but it is only 50% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

100.0%Grande Prairie—Mackenzie 100.0% of the area · 50% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Chris Warkentin	Conservative	47,904	81.7%	68.6%	+13.1
Maureen Mcleod	Liberal	6,946	11.8%	4.2%	+7.6
Jennifer Villebrun	New Democratic	2,460	4.2%	11.8%	−7.6
Shawn McLean	People's	828	1.4%	10.1%	−8.7

2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

Donovan Eckstrom	Other	291	0.5%
Elliot McDavid	Independent	223	0.4%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

2,460 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 40,958-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

1 of 198

No poll ended in a tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (197) · ■ won by another party (1).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 20,480 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 34.9% of the 58,652 valid votes, 35.0 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0040,960

Conservative47,904

Liberal6,946

Still Conservative by 40,958 votes. Actual margin: 40,958.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 58.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 81.9%, the Liberals 11.0%, the New Democrats 4.5% and the People's Party 1.6%; in advance and special ballots, 81.4%, 13.0%, 3.7% and 1.1%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Grande Prairie, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Conservative	81.9%	81.4%	−0.5
Liberal	11.0%	13.0%	+2.0
New Democratic	4.5%	3.7%	−0.8
People's Party	1.6%	1.1%	−0.5

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Grande Prairie and its 3 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Grande Prairie — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/grande-prairie/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.