The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Grande Prairie

Federal riding · AB · No. 48026 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Grande Prairie, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Chris Warkentin Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 40,958 votes
Turnout
69.4% of 84,961 electors
Population
112,905 2021 census
Area
56,997 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Widest margin in Canada: Won by 69.9 points (40,958 votes) · 5th of 3435th
    Widest margin in Canada
    Won by 69.9 points (40,958 votes) · 5th of 343
  • Area, largest first: 56,997 km² · 24th of 343 in Canada24th
    Area, largest first
    56,997 km² · 24th of 343 in Canada
  • Length of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61st
    Length of the ballot
    6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Chris Warkentin held the seat for the Conservatives by 40,958 votes (+69.9 points).
  2. The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 50% of the old Grande Prairie—Mackenzie.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 58.0% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median age is the 26th lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Chris Warkentin
Conservative · first elected 2006-01-23 · 7 terms
  • Member of the Board of Internal Economy
  • chief opposition whip
81 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Military Justice System Modernization Act.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Grande Prairie comes from the old Grande Prairie—Mackenzie, but it is only 50% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Grande Prairie—Mackenzie 50% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Chris Warkentin
Conservative
47,904
81.7% of valid votes
Margin
40,958
votes · +69.9 pts
Runner-up
Maureen Mcleod
Liberal
6,946
11.8% of valid votes
Conservative 81.7% · Liberal 11.8% · New Democratic 4.2% · People's 1.4%
Turnout69.4% of 84,961 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Chris WarkentinConservative47,90481.7%68.6%+13.1
Maureen McleodLiberal6,94611.8%4.2%+7.6
Jennifer VillebrunNew Democratic2,4604.2%11.8%−7.6
Shawn McLeanPeople's8281.4%10.1%−8.7
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Donovan EckstromOther2910.5%
Elliot McDavidIndependent2230.4%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
35.0 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,460 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 40,958-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
1 of 198
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (197) · ■ won by another party (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 20,480 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 34.9% of the 58,652 valid votes, 35.0 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative47,904
Liberal6,946
Still Conservative by 40,958 votes. Actual margin: 40,958.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 58.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative81.9%81.4%−0.5
Liberal11.0%13.0%+2.0
New Democratic4.5%3.7%−0.8
People's1.6%1.1%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Grande Prairie and its 3 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 48026AB · 2025
Grande Prairie
Chris Warkentin
Result
Conservative hold by 40,958
Turnout
69.4%
Population
112,905
Area
56,997 km²
Widest margin in Canada: Won by 69.9 points (40,958 votes) · 5th of 3435thWidest margin in CanadaArea, largest first: 56,997 km² · 24th of 343 in Canada24thArea, largest firstLength of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61stLength of the ballot
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.